Padres vs Reds Game Breakdown

Hey sports fans, get ready to dial in your DFS lineups because today’s showdown is sizzling! The San Diego Padres, sitting at a balanced .500, are rolling into the Great American Ball Park, ready to clash with the Cincinnati Reds, who are trying to claw back from a less-than-stellar start to the season. It’s a midday melee with the first pitch at 01:10 PM EST, and both teams are hungry to climb up from their spots in the National League standings. With the betting world holding its breath at an over/under of 9.5 and both teams neck-and-neck at -110, today’s game promises edge-of-your-seat action. The weather’s looking a bit misty with a gentle breeze from the south-southwest, perfect for a game that’s as unpredictable as the breeze itself. After their last encounter where the Padres showed their might, the Reds are eager for redemption. So, let’s see if the Reds can cook up a storm or if the Padres will ride the waves to another victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 23, 2024 01:10PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Mist with winds from the SSW at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 66.0° with 93% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-110	-110	9.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-107	-113	9.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+3	-3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

128W-135L

51.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

122W-141L

48.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/29/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-2.5
04/29/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-2.5
04/30/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+0.5
04/30/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+0.5
05/01/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-1.5
05/01/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-1.5
05/21/24	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-7.5
05/21/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-7.5
05/22/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+0.5
05/22/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+0.5
05/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+1.5
05/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+1.5
05/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-6.5
05/02/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-6.5
05/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-1.5
05/03/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Under	-1.5
06/30/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+2.5
06/30/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+2.5
07/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	12	Over	+7.5
07/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+7.5
07/02/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-2.5
07/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-2.5

Padres Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Matt Waldron

ERA 5.0 | IP 45.0 | 2.0W-5.0L | KO 45.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-17-24	@ATL	3-1W	5.7	5	1	10	Under
05-11-24	vsLAD	5-0L	5.3	2	2	6	Under
05-05-24	@ARI	4-11L	3.0	8	8	2	Over
04-29-24	vsCIN	5-2L	6.0	6	4	4	Under
04-24-24	@COL	5-2W	6.0	4	1	5	Under
04-19-24	vsTOR	5-1L	4.7	7	5	2	Under
04-13-24	@LAD	2-5L	5.0	3	1	4	Under
04-07-24	@SF	2-3L	5.3	3	1	5	Under
04-01-24	vsSTL	6-2L	4.0	9	4	7	Under
09-27-23	@SF	5-2W	6.0	5	2	2	Under

Frankie Montas

ERA 4.371 | IP 35.0 | 2.0W-3.0L | KO 25.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-17-24	@LAD	3-7L	5.0	4	3	1	Over
05-12-24	@SF	5-6L	4.7	7	5	3	Over
05-07-24	vsARI	6-2L	6.0	4	2	7	Under
04-21-24	vsLAA	0-3W	0.7	0	0	0	Under
04-15-24	@SEA	3-9L	2.0	3	5	1	Over
04-09-24	vsMIL	9-5L	5.0	6	5	4	Over
04-03-24	@PHI	4-1W	5.7	5	1	5	Under
03-28-24	vsWAS	2-8W	6.0	4	0	4	Over
09-30-23	@KC	5-2L	1.3	2	0	1	Under
09-16-22	@MIL	5-2L	3.3	4	4	2	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/24	vs CIN	7-3W	14	1	Over
05/23	vs CIN	0-2L	5	0	Under
05/22	vs ATL	0-3L	7	0	Under
05/22	vs ATL	6-5W	10	0	Over
05/21	vs ATL	9-1W	14	3	Over
05/19	vs ATL	3-1W	13	0	Under
05/17	@ COL	0-8L	4	0	Under
05/16	@ COL	3-6L	11	0	Under
05/15	@ COL	4-5L	4	3	Under
05/14	@ LAD	4-0W	9	3	Under
05/13	@ LAD	0-5L	6	0	Under
05/12	@ LAD	2-1W	3	1	Under
05/10	vs CHC	3-0W	8	0	Under
05/09	vs CHC	2-3L	9	1	Under
05/08	vs CHC	6-3W	11	0	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/24	@ SD	3-7L	6	1	Over
05/23	@ SD	2-0W	3	0	Under
05/21	vs LAD	2-3L	6	0	Under
05/20	vs LAD	0-4L	3	0	Under
05/19	vs LAD	3-7L	7	2	Over
05/18	vs LAD	7-2W	11	1	Under
05/17	vs ARI	1-2L	3	1	Under
05/16	vs ARI	6-2W	13	1	Under
05/15	vs ARI	5-6L	10	0	Over
05/14	vs SF	5-6L	10	1	Over
05/13	vs SF	1-5L	8	1	Under
05/12	vs SF	4-2W	9	1	Under
05/11	@ ARI	4-5L	9	1	Under
05/10	@ ARI	3-4L	9	0	Under
05/09	@ ARI	2-6L	3	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.8	10.8	0.33	0.408	39.8%	80.6%	0.5%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	9.5	12.5	0.242	0.412	36.6%	77.8%	4.1%
#3 Jurickson Profar	8.1	10.7	0.339	0.524	50.0%	102.4%	4.2%
#4 Jake Cronenworth	9.2	12.2	0.258	0.449	36.5%	81.5%	4.5%
#5 Manny Machado	8.1	10.5	0.229	0.346	28.5%	63.1%	2.2%
#7 Ha-Seong Kim	6.6	8.7	0.223	0.38	39.8%	77.7%	3.6%
#8 Jackson Merrill	7.2	9.1	0.285	0.377	35.8%	73.5%	2.0%
#9 Kyle Higashioka	5.5	6.9	0.15	0.275	15.0%	42.5%	2.5%

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jacob Hurtubise	8.2	10.7	0.154	0.154	38.5%	53.8%	0.0%
#2 Elly De La Cruz	10.9	14.1	0.256	0.472	39.8%	86.9%	5.1%
#3 Jeimer Candelario	8.9	11.7	0.223	0.401	31.8%	72.0%	3.2%
#4 Spencer Steer	7.9	10.6	0.224	0.376	39.4%	77.0%	2.4%
#5 Mike Ford	8.7	10.9	0.157	0.255	19.6%	45.1%	2.0%
#6 Nick Martini	7.0	9.6	0.169	0.313	20.5%	51.8%	3.6%
#7 Jonathan India	7.0	9.1	0.212	0.285	37.7%	66.2%	1.3%
#8 Will Benson	8.1	10.6	0.191	0.382	32.5%	70.7%	3.8%
#9 Luke Maile	5.0	6.7	0.158	0.246	31.6%	56.1%	1.8%