Padres vs Rockies Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 22nd 2024

Get ready to slide into some high-altitude action as the San Diego Padres, floating at an even .500, jet off to the mile-high city to duel with the struggling Colorado Rockies at the legendary Coors Field tonight at 08:40PM EST. With the Padres just a swing away from climbing higher in the National League standings and the Rockies looking to dig themselves out of a rocky start to the season, this game is set to explode with potential. The betting world’s buzzing too, pegging an over/under that promises a scoreboard workout, while the clear, cool Denver night whips up a partly cloudy sky with a brisk side of southern winds. Fresh off a solid win against Toronto and a Rockies team trying to shake off a recent tumble against Seattle, tonight’s matchup is anything but predictable. So, as the Padres aim to pad their stats and the Rockies seek to rock their recent form, it’s clear—this isn’t just any game, it’s a diamond duel where only the grittiest will glide to glory.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 22, 2024 08:40PM EST

Location: Coors Field, Colorado

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSW at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 48.9° with 37% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	COL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-185	+153	10.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-192	+157	10.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-7	+4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

118W-129L

65.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

127W-122L

34.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/30/23	Colorado Rockies COL	7	Under	-1.5
03/30/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.5
03/31/23	Colorado Rockies COL	4	Under	-5.5
03/31/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-5.5
04/01/23	Colorado Rockies COL	4	Over	+1.5
04/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+1.5
04/02/23	Colorado Rockies COL	1	Under	-6.5
04/02/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-6.5
06/09/23	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+4.5
06/09/23	Colorado Rockies COL	6	Over	+4.5
06/10/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-5.5
06/10/23	Colorado Rockies COL	2	Under	-5.5
06/11/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-1.5
06/11/23	Colorado Rockies COL	5	Under	-1.5
07/31/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-3.5
07/31/23	Colorado Rockies COL	4	Under	-3.5
08/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+2.5
08/01/23	Colorado Rockies COL	5	Over	+2.5
08/02/23	San Diego Padres SD	11	Over	+1.5
08/02/23	Colorado Rockies COL	1	Over	+1.5
09/18/23	Colorado Rockies COL	9	Over	+9.5
09/18/23	San Diego Padres SD	11	Over	+9.5
09/19/23	Colorado Rockies COL	0	Under	-8.5
09/19/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-8.5
09/20/23	Colorado Rockies COL	2	Under	-5.5
09/20/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-5.5

Padres Vs Over/Under

Rockies Vs Over/Under

Joe Musgrove

ERA 4.709 | IP 28.7 | 3.0W-2.0L | KO 21.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-16-24	@MIL	6-3W	6.0	2	1	7	Under
04-10-24	vsCHC	2-10W	6.0	2	2	7	Over
04-05-24	@SF	2-3L	6.0	4	2	7	Under
03-30-24	vsSF	9-6L	4.7	2	3	6	Over
09-29-23	@SD	3-2W	5.0	4	1	7	Under
09-23-23	@BOS	1-0L	7.0	6	0	11	Under
09-17-23	@MIN	4-0L	6.0	4	3	5	Under
09-12-23	@KC	2-6W	5.3	4	1	8	Under
09-05-23	@KC	6-7W	5.3	8	5	7	Over
08-30-23	@BAL	10-5L	6.0	6	5	7	Over
04-21-24	vsTOR	3-6W	7.0	5	3	3	Under
04-15-24	@MIL	7-3W	6.0	7	3	3	Under
04-09-24	vsCHC	5-1L	4.0	5	4	5	Under
04-03-24	vsSTL	2-3W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
03-29-24	vsSF	8-3L	5.7	8	4	3	Over
07-28-23	vsTEX	1-7W	6.0	4	0	5	Under
07-23-23	@DET	1-3L	6.0	7	3	6	Under
07-18-23	@TOR	9-1W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
07-04-23	vsLAA	5-8W	7.0	3	1	11	Over
06-29-23	@PIT	4-5L	6.0	7	2	6	Under

Austin Gomber

ERA 4.95 | IP 20.0 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 18.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-21-24	vsSEA	1-2W	6.0	3	0	4	Under
04-15-24	@PHI	1-2L	6.0	4	1	1	Under
04-09-24	vsARI	3-2L	6.0	8	3	6	Under
04-03-24	@CHC	8-9L	4.0	4	4	3	Over
03-29-24	@ARI	3-7L	5.0	9	5	1	Under
09-29-23	@DET	7-5L	5.0	8	4	3	Over
09-23-23	@BAL	2-1L	4.0	5	1	4	Under
09-18-23	@KC	4-6W	5.7	5	2	3	Under
09-12-23	@SF	3-1L	6.0	5	1	2	Under
09-07-23	@LAA	2-3W	6.0	3	0	6	Under
04-16-24	@PHI	0-5L	5.3	6	3	4	Under
04-10-24	vsARI	5-3L	6.0	6	2	4	Under
04-05-24	vsTB	7-10W	4.0	4	2	7	Over
03-30-24	@ARI	9-4W	4.7	6	4	3	Over
08-28-23	vsATL	14-4L	2.7	4	2	1	Over
08-23-23	@TB	5-6L	6.0	7	3	4	Over
08-16-23	vsARI	9-7L	5.3	7	6	1	Over
08-11-23	@LAD	1-6L	5.0	8	2	2	Under
08-06-23	@STL	1-0W	6.0	6	0	2	Under
07-31-23	vsSD	3-4W	6.0	6	2	5	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/23	@ TOR	6-3W	6	1	Under
04/22	@ TOR	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/21	@ TOR	1-5L	5	1	Under
04/19	vs MIL	0-1L	5	0	Under
04/18	vs MIL	6-3W	10	1	Under
04/17	vs MIL	7-3W	12	0	Under
04/16	vs LAD	6-3W	8	1	Under
04/15	vs LAD	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/14	vs LAD	8-7W	10	4	Over
04/12	@ CHC	10-2W	12	2	Over
04/11	@ CHC	1-5L	4	1	Under
04/10	@ CHC	9-8W	8	3	Over
04/09	vs SF	2-3L	11	0	Under
04/08	vs SF	4-0W	5	1	Under
04/07	vs SF	2-3L	6	0	Under

Rockies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/23	@ SEA	2-10L	6	0	Over
04/23	@ SEA	2-1W	10	0	Under
04/22	@ SEA	0-7L	3	0	Under
04/19	vs PHI	6-7L	11	0	Over
04/18	vs PHI	0-5L	7	0	Under
04/17	vs PHI	1-2L	5	1	Under
04/16	vs TOR	0-5L	2	0	Under
04/15	vs TOR	3-5L	7	1	Under
04/14	vs TOR	12-4W	20	2	Over
04/12	@ ARI	3-5L	6	1	Under
04/11	@ ARI	2-3L	8	0	Under
04/10	@ ARI	7-5W	13	1	Over
04/09	@ TB	2-3L	7	0	Under
04/08	@ TB	6-8L	11	3	Over
04/07	@ TB	10-7W	12	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Xander Bogaerts	7.2	9.5	0.179	0.274	27.4%	54.8%	2.4%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	8.4	11.1	0.25	0.488	36.9%	85.7%	7.1%
#3 Jake Cronenworth	8.1	10.8	0.23	0.405	37.8%	78.4%	4.1%
#4 Manny Machado	7.6	9.8	0.258	0.393	32.6%	71.9%	3.4%
#5 Jurickson Profar	6.9	9.2	0.294	0.471	47.1%	94.1%	2.9%
#6 Ha-Seong Kim	6.3	8.3	0.247	0.455	42.9%	88.3%	3.9%
#7 Jackson Merrill	6.9	8.7	0.314	0.414	42.9%	84.3%	1.4%
#8 Luis Campusano	5.2	6.8	0.274	0.355	33.9%	69.4%	1.6%
#8 Eguy Rosario	8.2	10.6	0.308	0.731	38.5%	111.5%	7.7%
#9 Jose Azocar	6.9	8.8	0.353	0.412	47.1%	88.2%	0.0%
#9 Graham Pauley	5.7	7.9	0.125	0.312	12.5%	43.8%	6.2%

Colorado Rockies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Charlie Blackmon	8.1	10.4	0.242	0.394	34.8%	74.2%	1.5%
#2 Ezequiel Tovar	7.5	9.6	0.306	0.471	38.8%	85.9%	3.5%
#3 Ryan McMahon	7.7	10.0	0.325	0.458	47.0%	92.8%	2.4%
#4 Elias Diaz	6.4	8.2	0.318	0.394	39.4%	78.8%	1.5%
#4 Elehuris Montero	7.2	8.6	0.22	0.237	28.8%	52.5%	0.0%
#5 Nolan Jones	7.9	10.5	0.148	0.259	24.7%	50.6%	1.2%
#6 Brenton Doyle	6.1	7.8	0.289	0.5	35.5%	85.5%	3.9%
#7 Brendan Rodgers	6.7	8.6	0.203	0.297	25.0%	54.7%	0.0%
#7 Michael Toglia	5.7	7.9	0.106	0.362	14.9%	51.1%	8.5%
#8 Alan Trejo	6.3	6.3	0.111	0.111	11.1%	22.2%	0.0%
#9 Jacob Stallings	4.3	5.5	0.316	0.421	57.9%	100.0%	0.0%