Padres vs Dodgers Game Breakdown

Get ready to light up the scoreboard tonight at Dodger Stadium, folks! The San Diego Padres, hot on the heels of their rivals, are looking to snatch a win from the Los Angeles Dodgers in a late-night showdown that promises more sparks than a Fourth of July fireworks display. With the Padres swinging to close a three-game gap and the Dodgers defending their top spot in the National League, this game is set to be a sizzler. The stakes? Sky high. The weather? Perfectly sunny with a slight breeze just right for home runs. And with the betting lines tipping slightly in favor of the home team, it’s anyone’s game. After yesterday’s nail-biter where the Dodgers edged out a victory, tonight’s matchup is not just another game—it’s a statement. So, as the sun sets in LA, let’s see if the Padres can ride the waves or if the Dodgers will once again be the stars of their own show.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 26, 2024 10:10PM EST

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SW at 5.8 mph. Temperature is at 70.0° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	LAD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+109	-131	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-102	-118	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-211	+13	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

158W-156L

50.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

216W-103L

49.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/20/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-1.5
03/20/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.5
03/21/24	San Diego Padres SD	15	Over	+17.5
03/21/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	11	Over	+17.5
04/12/24	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+6.5
04/12/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	7	Over	+6.5
04/13/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.5
04/13/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-1.5
04/14/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+0.5
04/14/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	3	Over	+0.5
05/10/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	1	Under	-5.5
05/10/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-5.5
05/11/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-3.5
05/11/24	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-3.5
05/12/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	0	Under	-4.5
05/12/24	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-4.5
07/30/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Over	+2.5
07/30/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+2.5
07/31/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	1	Over	+0.5
07/31/24	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+0.5
09/24/24	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-2.5
09/24/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Under	-2.5
09/25/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-1.5
09/25/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Under	-1.5
05/05/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Under	-1.5
05/05/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-1.5
05/06/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Under	-5.5
05/06/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-5.5
05/07/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-1.5
05/07/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.5
05/12/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-2.5
05/12/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Under	-2.5
05/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-2.5
05/13/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Under	-2.5
05/14/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-4.5
05/14/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Under	-4.5
08/04/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	10	Over	+6.5
08/04/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+6.5
08/05/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	3	Over	+2.5
08/05/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+2.5
08/06/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	8	Over	+1.5
08/06/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Over	+1.5
08/07/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	13	Over	+11.5
08/07/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+11.5
09/11/23	San Diego Padres SD	11	Over	+10.5
09/11/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	8	Over	+10.5
09/12/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Over	+4.5
09/12/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	11	Over	+4.5
09/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-1.5
09/13/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	1	Under	-1.5

Padres Vs Over/Under

Dodgers Vs Over/Under

Joe Musgrove

ERA 3.474 | IP 90.7 | 6.0W-5.0L | KO 93.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-20-24	vsCWS	2-3W	6.0	4	0	9	Under
09-14-24	@SF	8-0W	6.0	3	0	8	Under
09-08-24	vsSF	7-6L	4.3	8	6	7	Over
09-02-24	vsDET	0-3W	6.0	3	0	8	Under
08-28-24	@STL	3-4L	6.0	7	3	3	Under
08-23-24	vsNYM	0-7W	7.0	1	0	9	Under
08-18-24	@COL	2-3L	4.3	3	1	6	Under
08-12-24	vsPIT	1-2W	4.3	2	0	1	Under
05-26-24	vsNYY	2-5W	5.3	6	1	5	Under
05-21-24	@CIN	0-2L	3.0	3	2	3	Under

Walker Buehler

ERA 5.374 | IP 70.3 | 1.0W-6.0L | KO 63.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-21-24	vsCOL	6-3L	5.3	5	4	9	Over
09-15-24	@ATL	9-2W	6.0	3	2	5	Over
09-09-24	vsCHC	10-4L	5.0	9	5	4	Over
09-03-24	@LAA	6-2W	5.0	5	2	6	Under
08-28-24	vsBAL	4-6W	4.7	5	4	4	Over
08-20-24	vsSEA	3-6W	4.0	7	3	1	Over
08-14-24	@MIL	4-5L	3.3	3	4	3	Over
06-18-24	@COL	11-9W	4.0	7	7	2	Over
06-12-24	vsTEX	3-2L	5.0	7	3	2	Under
06-06-24	@PIT	11-7W	3.0	7	4	3	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/27	vs LAD	3-4L	4	1	Under
09/26	vs LAD	4-2W	8	1	Under
09/24	@ CWS	4-2W	5	2	Under
09/24	@ CWS	4-2W	5	2	Under
09/23	@ CWS	6-2W	11	3	Under
09/22	@ CWS	3-2W	10	0	Under
09/20	@ HOU	4-0W	9	4	Under
09/19	@ HOU	3-3L	6	1	Under
09/18	@ HOU	3-1W	13	2	Under
09/17	vs SF	4-3W	6	1	Under
09/16	vs SF	8-0W	17	1	Under
09/15	vs SF	5-0W	12	1	Under
09/13	vs SEA	2-5L	4	1	Under
09/12	vs SEA	7-3W	11	2	Over
09/10	@ SF	6-7L	8	2	Over

Dodgers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/27	@ SD	4-3W	8	0	Under
09/26	@ SD	2-4L	9	0	Under
09/24	@ COL	6-5W	11	4	Over
09/24	@ COL	6-5W	11	4	Over
09/23	@ COL	3-6L	7	1	Over
09/22	@ COL	6-4W	9	3	Over
09/21	vs MIA	20-4W	16	3	Over
09/20	vs MIA	8-4W	11	3	Over
09/19	vs MIA	9-11L	12	2	Over
09/18	vs ATL	9-0W	4	1	Over
09/17	vs ATL	9-2W	11	3	Over
09/16	vs ATL	1-10L	7	0	Over
09/15	vs ATL	2-6L	5	1	Under
09/13	@ CHC	10-8W	12	5	Over
09/12	@ CHC	3-6L	8	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.7	10.7	0.315	0.388	0.366	0.754	0.312	0.006
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	10.0	13.0	0.280	0.513	0.374	0.887	0.360	0.058
#3 Jurickson Profar	7.9	10.5	0.283	0.474	0.449	0.923	0.366	0.046
#4 Manny Machado	7.9	10.4	0.273	0.472	0.348	0.820	0.336	0.049
#5 Jackson Merrill	9.0	11.6	0.292	0.503	0.346	0.849	0.348	0.045
#6 Xander Bogaerts	7.4	9.4	0.253	0.373	0.322	0.695	0.288	0.027
#7 Jake Cronenworth	6.5	8.6	0.241	0.390	0.368	0.758	0.309	0.031
#8 Donovan Solano	6.0	7.7	0.276	0.404	0.360	0.764	0.314	0.025
#9 Kyle Higashioka	5.3	7.1	0.220	0.474	0.284	0.759	0.313	0.069

Los Angeles Dodgers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Shohei Ohtani	9.4	12.4	0.308	0.656	0.449	1.105	0.434	0.089
#2 Mookie Betts	9.1	11.9	0.284	0.490	0.423	0.912	0.363	0.044
#3 Freddie Freeman	7.8	10.4	0.287	0.482	0.441	0.923	0.367	0.041
#4 Teoscar Hernandez	7.3	9.6	0.272	0.504	0.375	0.879	0.356	0.057
#5 Max Muncy	6.8	9.4	0.230	0.502	0.438	0.940	0.368	0.069
#6 Will Smith	6.7	9.0	0.237	0.419	0.366	0.785	0.319	0.042
#7 Tommy Edman	6.0	7.8	0.258	0.453	0.328	0.781	0.321	0.047
#8 Andy Pages	5.8	7.6	0.251	0.401	0.336	0.736	0.304	0.028
#9 Gavin Lux	4.8	6.3	0.246	0.380	0.352	0.732	0.300	0.024

Padres Notable Injuries

Mason McCoy OUT (SS): Avg: 0.204 SLG:0.245 Last game: 09/16/24. Impact: 0.8

Dodgers Notable Injuries

Gavin Stone OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/02/24. Impact: 6.6
Clayton Kershaw OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/01/24. Impact: 4.3
Austin Barnes OUT (C): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.306 Last game: 09/17/24. Impact: 1.3
Anthony Banda OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/11/24. Impact: 0.4