Padres vs Brewers Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 15th 2024

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the San Diego Padres, balancing a .500 record, gear up to challenge the high-flying Milwaukee Brewers at the iconic American Family Field tonight at 07:40PM EST. With the Brewers leading the pack in the National League and the Padres not far behind, this matchup is more loaded than a ballpark hot dog. The stakes are high with the Padres looking to build on their recent victory and the Brewers itching to bounce back from a stumble. The odds makers have the line buzzing with an over/under of 8.5, hinting at some potential fireworks. And speaking of fireworks, the weather gods are blessing us with a perfect sunny sky, a gentle southwestern breeze, and just the right chill for a night of baseball. So, as the Padres try to brew up a storm against the Brewers, let’s see who really gets to hop on the victory wagon tonight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 15, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SW at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 55.4° with 51% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-124	+104	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-113	-107	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+11	-211	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

116W-128L

53.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

141W-104L

46.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/13/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-1.5
04/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-1.5
04/14/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	11	Over	+4.5
04/14/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Over	+4.5
04/15/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Over	+4.5
04/15/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+4.5
04/16/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-7.5
04/16/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-7.5
08/25/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+1.5
08/25/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+1.5
08/26/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+0.5
08/26/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+0.5
08/27/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+7.5
08/27/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	10	Over	+7.5

Padres Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Yu Darvish

ERA 4.555 | IP 136.3 | 8.0W-10.0L | KO 141.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	vsCHC	5-1L	4.0	5	4	5	Under
04-03-24	vsSTL	2-3W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
03-29-24	vsSF	8-3L	5.7	8	4	3	Over
07-28-23	vsTEX	1-7W	6.0	4	0	5	Under
07-23-23	@DET	1-3L	6.0	7	3	6	Under
07-18-23	@TOR	9-1W	6.0	5	1	7	Over
07-04-23	vsLAA	5-8W	7.0	3	1	11	Over
06-29-23	@PIT	4-5L	6.0	7	2	6	Over
06-23-23	vsWAS	3-13W	7.0	6	1	7	Over
06-18-23	vsTB	4-5W	6.0	6	2	1	Over
04-14-24	@LAD	6-3W	5.0	4	3	2	Over
04-08-24	vsCHC	8-9W	3.0	4	4	4	Over
04-02-24	vsSTL	5-2L	7.0	5	3	6	Under
03-28-24	vsSF	4-6W	5.0	5	1	7	Over
08-25-23	@MIL	3-7L	4.0	6	5	3	Over
08-19-23	vsARI	8-1L	5.0	9	4	7	Over
08-14-23	vsBAL	4-1L	7.0	8	4	6	Under
08-09-23	@SEA	1-6L	6.0	6	1	4	Under
08-04-23	vsLAD	10-5L	7.0	5	2	4	Over
07-29-23	vsTEX	0-4W	6.0	3	0	9	Under

Colin Rea

ERA 4.548 | IP 124.7 | 6.0W-6.0L | KO 110.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	@BAL	4-6L	5.7	5	3	6	Over
04-07-24	vsSEA	4-12W	6.0	7	2	3	Over
03-31-24	@NYM	4-1W	5.0	5	1	2	Under
09-29-23	vsCHC	3-4W	5.0	2	0	6	Under
09-26-23	vsSTL	4-1L	1.0	0	0	2	Under
09-19-23	@STL	7-3W	4.7	3	1	2	Over
09-13-23	vsMIA	2-0L	4.7	4	1	3	Under
09-08-23	@NYY	8-2W	4.7	3	2	6	Over
09-02-23	vsPHI	5-7W	4.3	3	2	6	Over
08-04-23	vsPIT	8-4L	4.0	8	6	2	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	vs LAD	6-3W	8	1	Over
04/15	vs LAD	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/14	vs LAD	8-7W	10	4	Over
04/12	@ CHC	10-2W	12	2	Over
04/11	@ CHC	1-5L	4	1	Under
04/10	@ CHC	9-8W	8	3	Over
04/09	vs SF	2-3L	11	0	Under
04/08	vs SF	4-0W	5	1	Under
04/07	vs SF	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/05	@ STL	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/04	@ STL	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/03	@ STL	2-6L	5	2	Under
04/02	@ SF	13-4W	16	2	Over
04/01	@ SF	6-9L	7	2	Over
03/31	@ SF	3-8L	9	3	Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	vs BAL	4-6L	12	2	Over
04/15	vs BAL	11-5W	15	2	Over
04/14	vs BAL	11-1W	15	3	Over
04/12	vs CIN	7-2W	6	2	Over
04/11	vs CIN	9-5W	13	0	Over
04/10	vs CIN	8-10L	12	2	Over
04/09	@ SEA	12-4W	14	3	Over
04/08	@ SEA	3-5L	5	1	Under
04/07	@ SEA	6-5W	8	3	Over
04/05	@ MIN	3-7L	7	2	Over
04/04	@ MIN	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/02	vs NYM	4-1W	9	0	Under
04/01	vs NYM	7-6W	16	1	Over
03/31	vs NYM	3-1W	8	1	Under
10/03	@ CHC	4-0W	6	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Xander Bogaerts	9.0	11.5	0.285	0.441	39.2%	83.3%	3.2%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	9.9	12.9	0.257	0.448	35.6%	80.4%	4.4%
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.3	9.6	0.229	0.379	35.2%	73.1%	2.2%
#4 Manny Machado	8.6	11.4	0.256	0.451	35.3%	80.3%	5.2%
#5 Jurickson Profar	7.0	9.1	0.244	0.371	36.7%	73.8%	2.0%
#6 Ha-Seong Kim	7.1	9.2	0.258	0.399	40.4%	80.3%	3.2%
#7 Luis Campusano	6.8	8.9	0.313	0.485	37.4%	85.9%	4.3%
#8 Eguy Rosario	5.8	7.6	0.25	0.5	27.8%	77.8%	5.6%
#9 Jose Azocar	4.8	6.2	0.228	0.359	29.3%	65.2%	2.2%
#9 Tyler Wade	5.1	6.3	0.25	0.312	31.2%	62.5%	0.0%

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#3 Sal Frelick	6.3	8.3	0.246	0.351	39.8%	74.9%	1.6%
#4 Willy Adames	7.5	10.1	0.219	0.408	35.9%	76.7%	4.4%
#5 Jake Bauers	5.8	7.7	0.202	0.413	31.4%	72.7%	5.0%
#5 William Contreras	6.9	9.1	0.289	0.459	41.6%	87.5%	3.2%
#6 Rhys Hoskins	nan	10.2	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#7 Brice Turang	5.2	6.6	0.222	0.304	31.9%	62.3%	1.5%
#9 Blake Perkins	5.1	6.9	0.22	0.355	38.3%	73.8%	2.8%