Padres vs Brewers Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 16th 2024

Get ready to brew up some excitement as the San Diego Padres, sitting just a whisper away from the top in the National League, roll into the suds of Milwaukee to clash with the Brewers at American Family Field tonight at 07:40PM EST. Fresh off a spicy win against these very Brewers, the Padres are looking to keep the spice flowing and the bats swinging. Meanwhile, Milwaukee, not ones to let the foam settle after their recent stumble, are set to pour everything they’ve got into flipping the script. With the sun shining down, the wind kicking up a brisk breeze, and the over/under teasing a potentially high-scoring affair, tonight’s matchup is brewing with potential. So, as the Padres try to hop past the Brewers in the standings, let’s see if they can truly ‘craft’ a victory or if Milwaukee will ‘tap’ into their home field advantage!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 16, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Sunny with winds from the E at 17.4 mph. Temperature is at 48.2° with 62% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-126	+106	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-125	+105	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+1	-1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

117W-128L

55.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

141W-105L

44.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+1.5
04/15/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Over	+1.5
04/13/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-1.5
04/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-1.5
04/14/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	11	Over	+4.5
04/14/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Over	+4.5
04/15/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Over	+4.5
04/15/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+4.5
04/16/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-7.5
04/16/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-7.5
08/25/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+1.5
08/25/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+1.5
08/26/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+0.5
08/26/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+0.5
08/27/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+7.5
08/27/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	10	Over	+7.5

Padres Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Dylan Cease

ERA 4.627 | IP 177.0 | 7.0W-9.0L | KO 214.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-10-24	vsCHC	2-10W	6.0	2	2	7	Over
04-05-24	@SF	2-3L	6.0	4	2	7	Under
03-30-24	vsSF	9-6L	4.7	2	3	6	Over
09-29-23	@SD	3-2W	5.0	4	1	7	Under
09-23-23	@BOS	1-0L	7.0	6	0	11	Under
09-17-23	@MIN	4-0L	6.0	4	3	5	Under
09-12-23	@KC	2-6W	5.3	4	1	8	Under
09-05-23	@KC	6-7W	5.3	8	5	7	Over
08-30-23	@BAL	10-5L	6.0	6	5	7	Over
08-25-23	@OAK	12-4L	4.3	9	9	6	Over

Wade Miley

ERA 3.306 | IP 114.3 | 8.0W-4.0L | KO 71.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-10-24	@CIN	7-2W	4.0	1	1	0	Over
09-27-23	vsSTL	2-3W	5.0	6	1	2	Under
09-21-23	@STL	6-0W	6.0	3	0	7	Under
09-15-23	vsWAS	3-5W	5.7	5	3	3	Under
09-09-23	@NYY	9-2W	3.7	1	2	3	Over
09-03-23	vsPHI	4-2L	6.3	4	4	4	Under
08-28-23	@CHC	6-2W	6.0	4	2	1	Under
08-22-23	vsMIN	3-7W	5.0	5	3	4	Over
08-16-23	@LAD	1-7L	5.0	7	4	2	Under
08-08-23	vsCOL	7-3L	6.0	2	1	2	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	vs MIL	7-3W	12	0	Over
04/16	vs LAD	6-3W	8	1	Over
04/15	vs LAD	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/14	vs LAD	8-7W	10	4	Over
04/12	@ CHC	10-2W	12	2	Over
04/11	@ CHC	1-5L	4	1	Under
04/10	@ CHC	9-8W	8	3	Over
04/09	vs SF	2-3L	11	0	Under
04/08	vs SF	4-0W	5	1	Under
04/07	vs SF	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/05	@ STL	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/04	@ STL	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/03	@ STL	2-6L	5	2	Under
04/02	@ SF	13-4W	16	2	Over
04/01	@ SF	6-9L	7	2	Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	@ SD	3-7L	10	1	Over
04/16	vs BAL	4-6L	12	2	Over
04/15	vs BAL	11-5W	15	2	Over
04/14	vs BAL	11-1W	15	3	Over
04/12	vs CIN	7-2W	6	2	Over
04/11	vs CIN	9-5W	13	0	Over
04/10	vs CIN	8-10L	12	2	Over
04/09	@ SEA	12-4W	14	3	Over
04/08	@ SEA	3-5L	5	1	Under
04/07	@ SEA	6-5W	8	3	Over
04/05	@ MIN	3-7L	7	2	Over
04/04	@ MIN	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/02	vs NYM	4-1W	9	0	Under
04/01	vs NYM	7-6W	16	1	Over
03/31	vs NYM	3-1W	8	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Xander Bogaerts	8.4	10.8	0.285	0.441	39.2%	83.3%	3.2%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	9.9	13.0	0.257	0.448	35.6%	80.4%	4.4%
#3 Jake Cronenworth	6.9	9.0	0.229	0.379	35.2%	73.1%	2.2%
#4 Manny Machado	8.9	11.7	0.256	0.451	35.3%	80.3%	5.2%
#5 Jurickson Profar	7.0	9.2	0.244	0.371	36.7%	73.8%	2.0%
#6 Ha-Seong Kim	7.6	9.9	0.258	0.399	40.4%	80.3%	3.2%
#7 Luis Campusano	6.3	8.3	0.313	0.485	37.4%	85.9%	4.3%
#9 Eguy Rosario	5.6	7.4	0.25	0.5	27.8%	77.8%	5.6%

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#3 Sal Frelick	6.8	9.0	0.246	0.351	39.8%	74.9%	1.6%
#3 William Contreras	8.5	11.2	0.289	0.459	41.6%	87.5%	3.2%
#4 Willy Adames	7.5	10.0	0.219	0.408	35.9%	76.7%	4.4%
#5 Jake Bauers	6.1	8.1	0.202	0.413	31.4%	72.7%	5.0%
#6 Rhys Hoskins	nan	8.7	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#7 Brice Turang	5.9	7.5	0.222	0.304	31.9%	62.3%	1.5%
#8 Joey Ortiz	5.1	6.6	0.212	0.242	21.2%	45.5%	0.0%
#9 Blake Perkins	5.7	7.7	0.22	0.355	38.3%	73.8%	2.8%