Padres vs Brewers Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 17th 2024

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the San Diego Padres, boasting a solid 11-9 record, gear up to clash with the Milwaukee Brewers, who are sitting pretty at 10-6, at the buzzing American Family Field today! With the first pitch set to soar at 01:10 PM EST, the stakes are high as both teams swing for supremacy in the National League. The Padres, hot off a recent victory, are looking to keep their momentum, while the Brewers are thirsty for redemption after their last encounter. The betting lines are dancing close, with an over/under that promises a scoreboard workout, and the damp, breezy weather might just add an extra twist to those curveballs. So, as these teams prepare to brew up a storm and pad their stats, make sure you’re tuned in for what’s shaping up to be a showdown sprinkled with suspense and strategy!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 17, 2024 01:10PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SW at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 57.2° with 100% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-112	-108	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-109	-111	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+3	-3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

118W-128L

52.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

141W-106L

47.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+1.0
04/15/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Over	+1.0
04/16/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Push	-0.0
04/16/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Push	-0.0
04/13/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-2.0
04/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-2.0
04/14/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	11	Over	+4.0
04/14/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Over	+4.0
04/15/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Over	+4.0
04/15/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+4.0
04/16/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-8.0
04/16/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-8.0
08/25/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+1.0
08/25/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+1.0
08/26/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Push	-0.0
08/26/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Push	-0.0
08/27/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+7.0
08/27/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	10	Over	+7.0

Padres Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Michael King

ERA 2.752 | IP 104.7 | 4.0W-8.0L | KO 127.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-16-24	@MIL	6-3W	6.0	2	1	7	Push
04-10-24	vsCHC	2-10W	6.0	2	2	7	Over
04-05-24	@SF	2-3L	6.0	4	2	7	Under
03-30-24	vsSF	9-6L	4.7	2	3	6	Over
09-29-23	@SD	3-2W	5.0	4	1	7	Under
09-23-23	@BOS	1-0L	7.0	6	0	11	Under
09-17-23	@MIN	4-0L	6.0	4	3	5	Under
09-12-23	@KC	2-6W	5.3	4	1	8	Under
09-05-23	@KC	6-7W	5.3	8	5	7	Over
08-30-23	@BAL	10-5L	6.0	6	5	7	Over
04-12-24	@LAD	8-7W	5.0	6	7	4	Over
04-06-24	@SF	4-0W	7.0	4	0	4	Under
03-31-24	vsSF	4-13W	4.0	2	2	6	Over
10-01-23	@KC	2-5W	4.0	8	4	1	Under
09-26-23	@TOR	2-0L	6.0	1	0	5	Under
09-20-23	@TOR	6-1L	7.0	5	1	13	Under
09-14-23	@BOS	0-5W	4.7	6	1	8	Under
09-09-23	@MIL	9-2L	5.0	4	2	9	Over
09-03-23	@HOU	6-1L	5.0	5	1	4	Under
08-29-23	@DET	4-2L	4.0	3	0	5	Under

Wade Miley

ERA 3.306 | IP 114.3 | 8.0W-4.0L | KO 71.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-12-24	@BAL	11-1W	6.0	5	1	11	Over
04-05-24	vsSEA	5-6W	5.7	4	3	7	Over
03-29-24	@NYM	3-1W	6.0	1	1	8	Under
09-24-23	@MIA	1-6L	3.0	9	4	4	Under
09-18-23	@STL	0-1L	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-12-23	vsMIA	1-3W	6.3	2	1	9	Under
09-06-23	@PIT	4-5L	5.3	4	3	4	Push
09-01-23	vsPHI	5-7W	6.0	2	1	10	Over
08-26-23	vsSD	4-5W	5.3	2	2	9	Push
08-19-23	@TEX	6-1W	5.7	4	1	11	Under
04-16-24	vsSD	6-3L	3.0	4	4	2	Push
04-10-24	@CIN	7-2W	4.0	1	1	0	Push
09-27-23	vsSTL	2-3W	5.0	6	1	2	Under
09-21-23	@STL	6-0W	6.0	3	0	7	Under
09-15-23	vsWAS	3-5W	5.7	5	3	3	Under
09-09-23	@NYY	9-2W	3.7	1	2	3	Over
09-03-23	vsPHI	4-2L	6.3	4	4	4	Under
08-28-23	@CHC	6-2W	6.0	4	2	1	Under
08-22-23	vsMIN	3-7W	5.0	5	3	4	Over
08-16-23	@LAD	1-7L	5.0	7	4	2	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/18	vs MIL	6-3W	10	1	Push
04/17	vs MIL	7-3W	12	0	Over
04/16	vs LAD	6-3W	8	1	Push
04/15	vs LAD	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/14	vs LAD	8-7W	10	4	Over
04/12	@ CHC	10-2W	12	2	Over
04/11	@ CHC	1-5L	4	1	Under
04/10	@ CHC	9-8W	8	3	Over
04/09	vs SF	2-3L	11	0	Under
04/08	vs SF	4-0W	5	1	Under
04/07	vs SF	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/05	@ STL	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/04	@ STL	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/03	@ STL	2-6L	5	2	Under
04/02	@ SF	13-4W	16	2	Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/18	@ SD	3-6L	6	0	Push
04/17	@ SD	3-7L	10	1	Over
04/16	vs BAL	4-6L	12	2	Over
04/15	vs BAL	11-5W	15	2	Over
04/14	vs BAL	11-1W	15	3	Over
04/12	vs CIN	7-2W	6	2	Push
04/11	vs CIN	9-5W	13	0	Over
04/10	vs CIN	8-10L	12	2	Over
04/09	@ SEA	12-4W	14	3	Over
04/08	@ SEA	3-5L	5	1	Under
04/07	@ SEA	6-5W	8	3	Over
04/05	@ MIN	3-7L	7	2	Over
04/04	@ MIN	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/02	vs NYM	4-1W	9	0	Under
04/01	vs NYM	7-6W	16	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Xander Bogaerts	8.6	11.0	0.285	0.441	39.2%	83.3%	3.2%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	10.0	13.1	0.257	0.448	35.6%	80.4%	4.4%
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.4	9.7	0.229	0.379	35.2%	73.1%	2.2%
#4 Manny Machado	8.1	10.7	0.256	0.451	35.3%	80.3%	5.2%
#5 Jurickson Profar	7.0	9.2	0.244	0.371	36.7%	73.8%	2.0%
#6 Ha-Seong Kim	7.5	9.8	0.258	0.399	40.4%	80.3%	3.2%
#7 Luis Campusano	6.6	8.7	0.313	0.485	37.4%	85.9%	4.3%
#9 Eguy Rosario	5.6	7.4	0.25	0.5	27.8%	77.8%	5.6%
#9 Tyler Wade	4.7	5.8	0.25	0.312	31.2%	62.5%	0.0%

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#3 William Contreras	8.4	11.1	0.289	0.459	41.6%	87.5%	3.2%
#3 Sal Frelick	6.7	8.8	0.246	0.351	39.8%	74.9%	1.6%
#4 Willy Adames	6.7	9.0	0.219	0.408	35.9%	76.7%	4.4%
#5 Jake Bauers	6.1	8.1	0.202	0.413	31.4%	72.7%	5.0%
#6 Rhys Hoskins	9.7	9.7	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#7 Brice Turang	6.3	8.0	0.222	0.304	31.9%	62.3%	1.5%
#8 Joey Ortiz	4.8	6.2	0.212	0.242	21.2%	45.5%	0.0%
#9 Blake Perkins	5.3	7.2	0.22	0.355	38.3%	73.8%	2.8%