Padres vs Phillies Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some high-stakes MLB action as the San Diego Padres charge into Citizens Bank Park, looking to settle scores against the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies! With the first pitch at 01:05 PM EST, the Padres, trailing in their league standings, have a mountain to climb against the conference-leading Phillies. Today’s battle in sunny, breezy Philadelphia promises nail-biting action with the Phillies aiming to build on their recent narrow victory. With the betting lines buzzing and the over/under teasing at 8.5, fans are in for an electrifying showdown. Will the Padres be able to shake up the Phillies, or will it be a case of the Liberty Bell ringing victory once more? Let’s see if the Padres can ‘pad’ their stats or if the Phillies will ‘phil’ their day with another win!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 19, 2024 01:05PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SW at 4.9 mph. Temperature is at 84.8° with 39% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+134	-160	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+155	-188	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+21	-28	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

131W-144L

39.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

169W-107L

60.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+3.5
04/26/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+3.5
04/27/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-2.5
04/27/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-2.5
04/28/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+5.5
04/28/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+5.5
06/17/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Over	+2.5
06/17/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+2.5
06/18/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-1.5
06/18/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
07/14/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+2.5
07/14/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+2.5
07/15/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+1.5
07/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+1.5
07/15/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+4.5
07/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+4.5
07/16/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+4.5
07/16/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+4.5
09/04/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+7.5
09/04/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+7.5
09/05/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-0.5
09/05/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Under	-0.5
09/06/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-2.5
09/06/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-2.5

Padres Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Matt Waldron

ERA 3.655 | IP 76.3 | 4.0W-6.0L | KO 70.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-14-24	@NYM	1-2L	7.0	3	2	2	Under
06-08-24	vsARI	1-13W	6.0	3	1	4	Over
06-03-24	@LAA	1-2L	6.3	2	1	4	Under
05-28-24	vsMIA	0-4W	7.0	6	0	8	Under
05-23-24	@CIN	6-4W	5.0	6	2	7	Over
05-17-24	@ATL	3-1W	5.7	5	1	10	Under
05-11-24	vsLAD	5-0L	5.3	2	2	6	Under
05-05-24	@ARI	4-11L	3.0	8	8	2	Over
04-29-24	vsCIN	5-2L	6.0	6	4	4	Under
04-24-24	@COL	5-2W	6.0	4	1	5	Under

Ranger Suarez

ERA 1.772 | IP 86.3 | 10.0W-1.0L | KO 91.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-14-24	@BAL	5-3W	6.7	6	1	6	Under
06-08-24	@NYM	7-2W	5.7	8	2	6	Over
06-01-24	vsSTL	1-6W	2.0	0	0	2	Under
05-26-24	@COL	2-5L	6.0	3	5	9	Under
05-21-24	vsTEX	2-5W	7.0	5	1	10	Under
05-15-24	vsNYM	5-10W	5.0	4	2	3	Over
05-10-24	@MIA	8-2W	7.0	3	0	9	Over
05-04-24	vsSF	3-14W	6.0	7	3	6	Over
04-27-24	@SD	5-1W	8.0	3	1	8	Under
04-22-24	@CIN	7-0W	7.0	2	0	5	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/20	vs PHI	3-4L	4	1	Under
06/19	vs PHI	2-9L	7	0	Over
06/18	vs NYM	6-11L	10	0	Over
06/17	vs NYM	1-5L	2	1	Under
06/16	vs NYM	1-2L	5	1	Under
06/14	@ OAK	5-4W	6	4	Over
06/13	@ OAK	4-3W	10	1	Under
06/12	@ OAK	6-1W	10	2	Under
06/11	@ ARI	3-9L	7	2	Over
06/10	@ ARI	13-1W	14	3	Over
06/09	@ ARI	10-3W	14	3	Over
06/08	@ ARI	3-4L	10	1	Under
06/07	vs LAA	2-3L	8	0	Under
06/06	vs LAA	2-4L	7	0	Under
06/05	vs LAA	1-2L	6	1	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/20	@ SD	4-3W	13	1	Under
06/19	@ SD	9-2W	18	3	Over
06/18	vs BAL	3-8L	10	0	Over
06/17	vs BAL	2-6L	7	1	Under
06/16	vs BAL	5-3W	7	2	Under
06/15	vs BOS	3-9L	10	0	Over
06/14	vs BOS	6-8L	9	0	Over
06/13	vs BOS	4-1W	7	2	Under
06/11	@ NYM	5-5L	10	1	Over
06/10	vs NYM	7-2W	11	3	Over
06/07	@ MIL	2-0W	3	1	Under
06/06	@ MIL	2-1W	8	1	Under
06/05	@ MIL	3-1W	7	1	Under
06/04	@ STL	4-5L	7	0	Over
06/03	@ STL	6-1W	7	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	6.9	8.4	0.318	0.380	0.373	0.753	0.312	0.003
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	9.3	12.1	0.270	0.460	0.384	0.844	0.342	0.045
#3 Jurickson Profar	7.3	9.6	0.320	0.488	0.492	0.980	0.384	0.040
#4 Manny Machado	8.2	10.6	0.244	0.350	0.315	0.665	0.276	0.020
#5 Donovan Solano	7.1	9.1	0.287	0.426	0.404	0.830	0.336	0.032
#6 Ha-Seong Kim	6.9	9.1	0.226	0.399	0.399	0.798	0.319	0.037
#7 Jackson Merrill	5.9	7.5	0.275	0.403	0.331	0.733	0.303	0.030
#8 Kyle Higashioka	5.3	6.9	0.167	0.403	0.194	0.597	0.251	0.069
#9 Tyler Wade	4.3	5.5	0.228	0.253	0.342	0.595	0.249	0.000

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.1	13.6	0.257	0.468	0.461	0.929	0.363	0.063
#2 Bryson Stott	8.0	10.6	0.239	0.363	0.398	0.761	0.307	0.022
#3 Bryce Harper	9.6	12.9	0.278	0.512	0.460	0.972	0.380	0.060
#4 Alec Bohm	6.6	8.7	0.305	0.484	0.393	0.876	0.357	0.025
#5 Nick Castellanos	7.6	10.0	0.219	0.371	0.297	0.668	0.277	0.032
#6 Brandon Marsh	7.1	9.3	0.263	0.417	0.394	0.811	0.327	0.034
#7 Edmundo Sosa	6.3	8.2	0.275	0.496	0.366	0.863	0.350	0.038
#8 David Dahl	6.0	7.7	0.200	0.467	0.200	0.667	0.281	0.067
#9 Rafael Marchan	5.6	7.2	0.417	0.667	0.417	1.083	0.446	0.083

Padres Notable Injuries

Yu Darvish OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 6.6
Joe Musgrove OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 6.7
Xander Bogaerts OUT (2B): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.309 Last game: 05/22/24. Impact: 2.4

Phillies Notable Injuries

J.T. Realmuto OUT (C): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.411 Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 1.8
Kody Clemens OUT (2B/3B): Avg: 0.256 SLG:0.615 Last game: 05/30/24. Impact: 1.4