Padres vs Mariners Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at T-Mobile Park tonight as the San Diego Padres sail into Seattle, looking to hook another win against the Mariners at 09:40 PM EST. With the Padres just a few swings behind in the National League and the Mariners trying to catch a wave in the American League, this game is setting up to be a major league clash. The air’s buzzing with a cool 60 degrees and a slight northern breeze perfect for flying balls, and with the betting lines drawing a tight rope at Padres -106 and Mariners -114, wallets and fantasy stakes are high. After the Padres reeled in a win yesterday, can the Mariners navigate the stormy waters to a comeback, or will San Diego simply be too much to handle? Let’s just say, this match might just have us all singing “Take me out to the ball game,” as the Padres and Mariners pitch us into a sea of surprises!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 11, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 60.1° with 83% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	SEA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-106	-114	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-111	-109	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-5	+5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

154W-154L

52.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

171W-134L

47.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/09/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	8	Over	+4.0
07/09/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+4.0
07/10/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-5.0
07/10/24	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-5.0
09/10/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+3.0
09/10/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+3.0
06/06/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Under	-2.0
06/06/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-2.0
06/07/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+6.0
06/07/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+6.0
08/08/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-5.0
08/08/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-5.0
08/09/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Push	-0.0
08/09/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Push	-0.0

Padres Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Michael King

ERA 2.876 | IP 153.3 | 11.0W-8.0L | KO 180.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-06-24	vsSF	1-5W	6.0	6	1	8	Under
08-29-24	@STL	1-4L	4.3	6	2	3	Under
08-24-24	vsNYM	7-1L	5.0	3	5	7	Over
08-19-24	vsMIN	3-5W	6.0	4	2	6	Over
08-13-24	vsPIT	0-3W	6.0	7	0	10	Under
08-07-24	@PIT	9-8W	5.0	6	4	7	Over
07-27-24	@BAL	9-4W	6.3	2	2	9	Over
07-21-24	@CLE	2-1W	7.0	2	1	6	Under
07-10-24	vsSEA	2-0L	6.0	3	2	9	Under
07-04-24	@TEX	3-1W	5.3	4	1	5	Under

Bryan Woo

ERA 2.364 | IP 99.0 | 7.0W-2.0L | KO 77.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-05-24	@OAK	6-4W	5.0	8	2	6	Over
08-31-24	@LAA	4-5L	6.3	5	4	3	Over
08-25-24	vsSF	3-4W	7.0	4	2	7	Push
08-19-24	@LAD	0-3L	6.3	2	2	5	Under
08-14-24	@DET	2-3L	7.0	4	0	6	Under
08-08-24	vsDET	3-4W	6.7	5	3	7	Push
08-02-24	vsPHI	2-10W	7.0	5	0	6	Over
07-27-24	@CWS	6-3W	4.0	4	1	3	Over
07-21-24	vsHOU	4-6W	5.7	4	2	5	Over
07-12-24	@LAA	5-6L	3.3	9	4	1	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/12	vs SEA	7-3W	11	2	Over
09/10	@ SF	6-7L	8	2	Over
09/09	@ SF	3-6L	11	0	Over
09/08	@ SF	5-1W	9	2	Under
09/07	@ DET	3-4L	7	2	Push
09/06	@ DET	6-5W	10	1	Over
09/04	@ DET	3-0W	8	0	Under
09/03	vs TB	4-3W	6	1	Push
09/02	vs TB	4-11L	10	1	Over
09/01	vs TB	13-5W	13	3	Over
08/31	vs STL	1-4L	3	1	Under
08/30	vs STL	3-4L	10	1	Push
08/29	vs STL	7-5W	10	1	Over
08/28	vs STL	7-4W	8	1	Over
08/27	@ NYM	3-2W	7	2	Under

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/12	@ SD	3-7L	10	2	Over
09/10	vs STL	10-4W	13	2	Over
09/09	vs STL	0-2L	5	0	Under
09/08	vs STL	6-1W	11	1	Push
09/07	vs OAK	6-4W	11	3	Over
09/06	vs OAK	16-3W	16	1	Over
09/05	vs OAK	2-3L	5	0	Under
09/04	vs OAK	4-5L	6	1	Over
09/03	vs LAA	2-3L	5	1	Under
09/02	vs LAA	4-5L	8	2	Over
09/01	vs LAA	9-5W	9	1	Over
08/30	@ TB	6-2W	9	3	Over
08/29	@ TB	2-3L	5	0	Under
08/28	@ TB	5-1W	7	2	Under
08/27	@ SF	4-3W	7	0	Push

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.2	8.9	0.318	0.389	0.370	0.758	0.314	0.007
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	8.2	10.6	0.274	0.465	0.377	0.842	0.342	0.046
#3 Jurickson Profar	7.2	9.6	0.277	0.460	0.448	0.908	0.360	0.044
#4 Manny Machado	7.7	10.1	0.276	0.469	0.351	0.820	0.336	0.048
#5 Jake Cronenworth	6.8	9.0	0.248	0.402	0.369	0.771	0.315	0.031
#6 Xander Bogaerts	6.5	8.2	0.256	0.372	0.325	0.697	0.289	0.025
#7 Jackson Merrill	7.3	9.4	0.290	0.500	0.343	0.843	0.346	0.047
#8 Kyle Higashioka	4.4	5.9	0.230	0.512	0.292	0.804	0.331	0.077
#9 Mason McCoy	4.7	6.1	0.204	0.245	0.306	0.551	0.232	0.000

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Victor Robles	6.7	8.5	0.296	0.424	0.409	0.833	0.339	0.020
#2 Julio Rodriguez	7.0	8.9	0.259	0.374	0.342	0.716	0.296	0.029
#3 Cal Raleigh	7.7	10.4	0.215	0.434	0.351	0.785	0.318	0.063
#4 Randy Arozarena	6.9	9.2	0.218	0.393	0.387	0.780	0.316	0.039
#5 Luke Raley	6.8	9.0	0.244	0.466	0.357	0.823	0.336	0.053
#6 Justin Turner	5.7	7.5	0.253	0.369	0.410	0.779	0.315	0.022
#7 Jorge Polanco	5.8	7.6	0.207	0.350	0.339	0.689	0.283	0.039
#8 J.P. Crawford	5.6	7.5	0.199	0.321	0.355	0.676	0.277	0.024
#9 Josh Rojas	5.1	6.5	0.230	0.344	0.339	0.682	0.281	0.018

Padres Notable Injuries

Ha-Seong Kim OUT (SS): Avg: 0.237 SLG:0.377 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.6

Mariners Notable Injuries

Luis Castillo OUT (SP): Avg: 0.0 SLG:0.0 Last game: 09/10/24. Impact: 7.6
Yimi Garcia OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/21/24. Impact: 0.4