Padres vs Cardinals Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the San Diego Padres roll into Busch Stadium with their eyes set on clipping the wings of the St. Louis Cardinals tonight at 07:45PM EST! Both teams are flying high off recent victories, and with the Padres just a few games shy of the top spot in the National League and the Cardinals trying to claw back into contention, you can bet we’re in for a nail-biter. The betting gods have the over/under juiced at 9.5 in what promises to be a balmy, breezy evening perfect for some baseball magic. So, who will rule the roost? Will the Padres ride the wave of their recent success, or will the Cardinals play a tune that San Diego just can’t handle? Let’s find out if the Padres can park it or if the Cardinals will be singing victory songs by the ninth!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 26, 2024 07:45PM EST

Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SSW at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 82.9° with 55% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	STL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-109	-111	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-101	-119	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+8	-8	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

149W-151L

50.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

165W-139L

49.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/01/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Under	-1.5
04/01/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.5
04/02/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Under	-2.5
04/02/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-2.5
04/03/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-4.5
04/03/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-4.5
08/28/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-4.5
08/28/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-4.5
08/29/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+1.5
08/29/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Over	+1.5
08/30/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-0.5
08/30/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Under	-0.5
09/22/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-3.5
09/22/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-3.5
09/23/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Under	-2.5
09/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-2.5
09/24/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+4.5
09/24/23	San Diego Padres SD	12	Over	+4.5

Padres Vs Over/Under

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Randy Vasquez

ERA 4.696 | IP 76.7 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 48.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-08-24	@PIT	7-6W	5.7	6	3	3	Over
08-02-24	vsCOL	5-2L	5.0	3	1	4	Under
07-28-24	@BAL	6-8L	2.0	4	6	2	Over
07-23-24	@WAS	4-0W	6.0	4	0	1	Under
07-05-24	vsARI	8-10W	6.3	6	2	6	Over
06-28-24	@BOS	9-2W	4.0	5	1	1	Over
06-22-24	vsMIL	4-6W	5.0	5	0	3	Over
06-17-24	@PHI	2-9L	4.3	12	6	2	Over
06-11-24	vsOAK	3-4W	5.0	7	1	5	Under
06-06-24	vsARI	4-3L	6.7	6	3	3	Under

Kyle Gibson

ERA 4.225 | IP 136.3 | 7.0W-5.0L | KO 126.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-21-24	vsMIL	6-10W	5.3	7	2	5	Over
08-14-24	@CIN	2-9L	4.7	7	7	6	Over
08-08-24	vsTB	6-4L	6.0	8	2	6	Over
08-03-24	@CHC	5-4W	7.0	5	4	7	Under
07-27-24	vsWAS	14-3L	5.0	6	2	0	Over
07-20-24	@ATL	2-3L	6.7	3	1	6	Under
07-13-24	vsCHC	4-5W	4.0	10	4	3	Under
07-07-24	@WAS	8-3W	5.0	9	3	8	Over
07-02-24	@PIT	7-4W	5.0	5	4	8	Over
06-26-24	vsATL	6-2L	4.0	4	4	4	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/27	@ NYM	3-2W	7	2	Under
08/26	@ NYM	1-7L	6	0	Under
08/25	@ NYM	7-0W	16	2	Under
08/24	@ NYM	3-8L	7	0	Over
08/23	@ MIN	4-11L	7	2	Over
08/22	@ MIN	7-5W	10	2	Over
08/21	@ MIN	5-3W	4	0	Under
08/20	vs COL	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/19	vs COL	8-3W	15	1	Over
08/18	vs COL	3-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ PIT	8-2W	10	2	Over
08/15	@ PIT	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/14	@ PIT	2-1W	6	0	Under
08/13	vs MIA	6-7L	10	1	Over
08/12	vs MIA	9-8W	12	1	Over

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/27	vs MIN	3-2W	8	1	Under
08/26	vs MIN	0-6L	5	0	Under
08/25	vs MIN	6-1W	9	1	Under
08/24	@ MIL	3-0W	9	0	Under
08/23	@ MIL	10-6W	13	2	Over
08/22	@ MIL	2-3L	6	1	Under
08/20	@ LAD	1-2L	6	1	Under
08/19	@ LAD	5-2W	11	3	Under
08/18	@ LAD	6-7L	6	3	Over
08/16	vs CIN	2-9L	10	0	Over
08/15	vs CIN	1-4L	4	1	Under
08/14	vs CIN	1-6L	5	0	Under
08/12	vs KC	3-8L	10	1	Over
08/11	vs KC	8-5W	13	3	Over
08/10	@ TB	4-6L	9	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	9.3	11.5	0.303	0.378	0.353	0.731	0.303	0.008
#2 Jurickson Profar	8.8	11.7	0.289	0.481	0.446	0.927	0.369	0.046
#3 Jake Cronenworth	8.8	11.7	0.242	0.400	0.354	0.754	0.309	0.032
#4 Manny Machado	9.1	11.9	0.269	0.444	0.343	0.787	0.323	0.041
#5 Xander Bogaerts	8.6	10.8	0.264	0.367	0.331	0.698	0.289	0.019
#6 Jackson Merrill	9.4	12.1	0.291	0.493	0.343	0.836	0.343	0.043
#7 David Peralta	6.3	8.3	0.271	0.424	0.367	0.791	0.323	0.034
#8 Kyle Higashioka	5.4	7.2	0.237	0.527	0.301	0.828	0.340	0.081
#9 Mason McCoy	5.7	7.3	0.385	0.385	0.615	1.000	0.381	0.000

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Masyn Winn	8.8	11.2	0.279	0.421	0.353	0.774	0.317	0.024
#2 Alec Burleson	8.1	10.5	0.269	0.441	0.326	0.767	0.317	0.046
#3 Matt Carpenter	7.5	9.9	0.238	0.377	0.369	0.746	0.304	0.033
#4 Nolan Arenado	8.1	10.5	0.267	0.398	0.351	0.748	0.308	0.030
#5 Brendan Donovan	8.2	10.6	0.255	0.380	0.357	0.737	0.303	0.021
#6 Paul Goldschmidt	8.0	10.4	0.228	0.388	0.313	0.701	0.290	0.039
#7 Lars Nootbaar	7.5	9.8	0.238	0.389	0.381	0.770	0.311	0.032
#8 Pedro Pages	6.3	8.1	0.250	0.360	0.324	0.684	0.282	0.022
#9 Victor Scott II	5.6	7.3	0.150	0.265	0.212	0.478	0.204	0.018

Padres Notable Injuries

Ha-Seong Kim OUT (SS): Avg: 0.237 SLG:0.377 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.6
Stephen Kolek OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 1.2

Cardinals Notable Injuries

Lance Lynn OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 5.7
Willson Contreras OUT (C): Avg: 0.263 SLG:0.47 Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 2.9
Michael Siani OUT (OF): Avg: 0.256 SLG:0.325 Last game: 08/05/24. Impact: 2.8