Padres vs Cardinals Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Busch Stadium tonight as the San Diego Padres, riding high with a solid lead, aim to deepen their mark in the National League standings against the St. Louis Cardinals, who are eager to claw back from their recent slip. It’s a perfect evening for baseball with the sun beaming down at 81 degrees, a gentle western breeze, and the stakes as hot as the weather. With the Padres fresh off a thrilling victory and the Cardinals itching to even the score from last night’s clash, the odds are buzzing and fans are lining up. The pitch is set for 07:45 PM EST—will the Padres continue their charge, or will the Cardinals play a tune that changes the game’s tempo? Tonight, it’s all about whether the Padres can ride the wave or if the Cardinals will sing a victory song!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 28, 2024 07:45PM EST

Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Weather: Sunny with winds from the W at 5.1 mph. Temperature is at 81.2° with 75% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	STL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-128	+107	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-124	+104	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+4	-3	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

151W-151L

55.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

165W-141L

44.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/01/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Under	-0.5
04/01/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-0.5
04/02/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Under	-1.5
04/02/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.5
04/03/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-3.5
04/03/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-3.5
08/26/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+2.5
08/26/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Over	+2.5
08/27/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+3.5
08/27/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Over	+3.5
08/28/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-3.5
08/28/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-3.5
08/29/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+2.5
08/29/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Over	+2.5
08/30/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+0.5
08/30/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Over	+0.5
09/22/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-2.5
09/22/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-2.5
09/23/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Under	-1.5
09/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.5
09/24/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+5.5
09/24/23	San Diego Padres SD	12	Over	+5.5

Padres Vs Over/Under

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Joe Musgrove

ERA 3.754 | IP 62.3 | 4.0W-4.0L | KO 58.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-23-24	vsNYM	0-7W	7.0	1	0	9	Under
08-18-24	@COL	2-3L	4.3	3	1	6	Under
08-12-24	vsPIT	1-2W	4.3	2	0	1	Under
05-26-24	vsNYY	2-5W	5.3	6	1	5	Under
05-21-24	@CIN	0-2L	3.0	3	2	3	Under
05-01-24	vsCIN	2-6W	6.0	4	2	9	Push
04-26-24	vsPHI	9-3L	3.7	8	7	4	Over
04-21-24	vsTOR	3-6W	7.0	5	3	3	Over
04-15-24	@MIL	7-3W	6.0	7	3	3	Over
04-09-24	vsCHC	5-1L	4.0	5	4	5	Under

Andre Pallante

ERA 3.842 | IP 86.7 | 6.0W-6.0L | KO 65.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-23-24	@MIN	6-1W	7.0	5	1	5	Under
08-17-24	vsLAD	2-5W	7.0	4	2	5	Under
08-10-24	@KC	3-8L	5.7	3	2	4	Over
08-05-24	vsNYM	6-0L	4.7	5	5	2	Under
07-29-24	vsTEX	6-3L	5.0	7	3	5	Over
07-22-24	@PIT	1-2L	6.0	3	1	3	Under
07-10-24	vsKC	6-4L	6.3	6	4	5	Over
07-04-24	@PIT	3-2W	7.0	4	1	5	Under
06-28-24	vsCIN	0-1W	5.3	4	0	5	Under
06-20-24	vsSF	5-6W	5.3	7	5	5	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/29	vs STL	7-5W	10	1	Over
08/28	vs STL	7-4W	8	1	Over
08/27	@ NYM	3-2W	7	2	Under
08/26	@ NYM	1-7L	6	0	Push
08/25	@ NYM	7-0W	16	2	Under
08/24	@ NYM	3-8L	7	0	Over
08/23	@ MIN	4-11L	7	2	Over
08/22	@ MIN	7-5W	10	2	Over
08/21	@ MIN	5-3W	4	0	Push
08/20	vs COL	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/19	vs COL	8-3W	15	1	Over
08/18	vs COL	3-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ PIT	8-2W	10	2	Over
08/15	@ PIT	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/14	@ PIT	2-1W	6	0	Under

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/29	@ SD	5-7L	11	1	Over
08/28	@ SD	4-7L	11	0	Over
08/27	vs MIN	3-2W	8	1	Under
08/26	vs MIN	0-6L	5	0	Under
08/25	vs MIN	6-1W	9	1	Under
08/24	@ MIL	3-0W	9	0	Under
08/23	@ MIL	10-6W	13	2	Over
08/22	@ MIL	2-3L	6	1	Under
08/20	@ LAD	1-2L	6	1	Under
08/19	@ LAD	5-2W	11	3	Under
08/18	@ LAD	6-7L	6	3	Over
08/16	vs CIN	2-9L	10	0	Over
08/15	vs CIN	1-4L	4	1	Under
08/14	vs CIN	1-6L	5	0	Under
08/12	vs KC	3-8L	10	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.7	9.5	0.305	0.379	0.354	0.733	0.304	0.008
#2 Jurickson Profar	7.7	10.3	0.285	0.475	0.447	0.922	0.366	0.046
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.5	9.9	0.243	0.398	0.357	0.755	0.309	0.032
#4 Manny Machado	8.6	11.2	0.271	0.458	0.345	0.803	0.329	0.044
#5 Xander Bogaerts	8.8	11.1	0.261	0.362	0.327	0.689	0.285	0.019
#6 Jackson Merrill	7.2	9.3	0.295	0.496	0.346	0.842	0.345	0.042
#7 David Peralta	5.5	7.2	0.270	0.422	0.362	0.784	0.321	0.032
#8 Kyle Higashioka	5.7	7.6	0.233	0.519	0.302	0.820	0.336	0.079
#9 Mason McCoy	5.6	7.4	0.300	0.350	0.500	0.850	0.335	0.000

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Masyn Winn	7.7	9.8	0.284	0.429	0.362	0.791	0.324	0.024
#2 Alec Burleson	7.3	9.5	0.274	0.446	0.330	0.776	0.320	0.045
#3 Nolan Arenado	7.0	9.1	0.263	0.393	0.346	0.739	0.304	0.030
#3 Willson Contreras	8.4	11.1	0.263	0.470	0.453	0.923	0.364	0.050
#4 Brendan Donovan	6.9	9.0	0.259	0.386	0.361	0.747	0.307	0.021
#5 Luken Baker	5.5	8.0	0.111	0.444	0.556	1.000	0.364	0.111
#6 Lars Nootbaar	6.7	8.8	0.236	0.382	0.375	0.757	0.307	0.031
#7 Paul Goldschmidt	6.2	8.1	0.233	0.397	0.319	0.716	0.295	0.041
#8 Victor Scott II	4.8	6.2	0.157	0.264	0.215	0.479	0.205	0.017
#9 Pedro Pages	4.8	6.1	0.250	0.360	0.324	0.684	0.282	0.022

Padres Notable Injuries

Ha-Seong Kim OUT (SS): Avg: 0.237 SLG:0.377 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.6
Stephen Kolek OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 1.2

Cardinals Notable Injuries

Lance Lynn OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 5.7
Willson Contreras OUT (C): Avg: 0.263 SLG:0.47 Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 2.9
Michael Siani OUT (OF): Avg: 0.256 SLG:0.325 Last game: 08/05/24. Impact: 2.8