Padres vs Rays Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heart of the action as the San Diego Padres, boasting a solid 77W-61L record, storm into Tropicana Field to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays, who are balancing the scales at 67W-67L. It’s all going down at 01:40PM EST today, where the Padres look to claw back from a recent thrashing and the Rays aim to double down on their momentum. With the Padres trailing by 6 in the NL and the Rays 10 behind in the AL, every pitch counts in this mid-conference clash. The stakes are as high as the humidity, with the over/under teasing at a tight 7.0, hinting at a game where pitchers might just steal the show. As the winds whip lightly from the east under partly cloudy skies, will the Padres ride the wave, or will the Rays shine through the gloom? Either way, fans are in for a showdown that promises to be as charged as the atmosphere—after all, when Padres and Rays collide, you’re bound to see sparks fly!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 01, 2024 01:40PM EST

Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 82.9° with 88% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	TB ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-133	+111	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-123	+103	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+10	-8	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

152W-154L

55.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

189W-122L

44.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/30/24	San Diego Padres SD	13	Over	+11.0
08/30/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+11.0
08/31/24	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+8.0
08/31/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	11	Over	+8.0
06/16/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Over	+1.0
06/16/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Over	+1.0
06/17/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	0	Under	-5.0
06/17/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-5.0
06/18/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+2.0
06/18/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+2.0

Padres Vs Over/Under

Rays Vs Over/Under

Dylan Cease

ERA 3.566 | IP 159.0 | 12.0W-10.0L | KO 197.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-27-24	@STL	7-5W	4.3	7	4	4	Over
08-22-24	vsNYM	8-3L	6.3	9	3	7	Over
08-17-24	@COL	8-3W	5.7	3	3	5	Over
08-11-24	@MIA	6-7L	5.0	6	5	5	Over
08-06-24	@PIT	6-0W	1.0	1	0	2	Under
07-31-24	vsLAD	1-8W	5.7	3	1	6	Over
07-25-24	@WAS	3-0W	9.0	0	0	9	Under
07-20-24	@CLE	7-0W	7.0	1	0	10	Push
07-13-24	vsATL	0-4W	6.0	1	0	11	Under
07-07-24	vsARI	9-1L	7.0	5	3	8	Over

Ryan Pepiot

ERA 3.831 | IP 98.7 | 6.0W-6.0L | KO 106.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-26-24	@SEA	1-5L	6.0	7	5	6	Under
08-21-24	@OAK	4-2W	6.0	3	2	5	Under
08-16-24	vsARI	4-5W	5.3	5	2	5	Over
07-09-24	vsNYY	3-5W	5.7	4	1	7	Over
07-03-24	@KC	2-4L	4.0	4	2	0	Under
06-26-24	vsSEA	5-2L	5.3	1	1	8	Push
06-21-24	@PIT	10-3W	3.3	3	2	3	Over
06-15-24	@ATL	2-9L	4.7	6	5	4	Over
06-10-24	vsBAL	5-2L	6.0	9	4	9	Push
06-04-24	@MIA	9-5W	6.0	6	3	8	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/02	vs TB	4-11L	10	1	Over
09/01	vs TB	13-5W	13	3	Over
08/31	vs STL	1-4L	3	1	Under
08/30	vs STL	3-4L	10	1	Push
08/29	vs STL	7-5W	10	1	Over
08/28	vs STL	7-4W	8	1	Over
08/27	@ NYM	3-2W	7	2	Under
08/26	@ NYM	1-7L	6	0	Over
08/25	@ NYM	7-0W	16	2	Push
08/24	@ NYM	3-8L	7	0	Over
08/23	@ MIN	4-11L	7	2	Over
08/22	@ MIN	7-5W	10	2	Over
08/21	@ MIN	5-3W	4	0	Over
08/20	vs COL	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/19	vs COL	8-3W	15	1	Over

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/02	@ SD	11-4W	13	1	Over
09/01	@ SD	5-13L	10	1	Over
08/30	vs SEA	2-6L	6	1	Over
08/29	vs SEA	3-2W	8	2	Under
08/28	vs SEA	1-5L	2	1	Under
08/27	vs LAD	1-3L	5	1	Under
08/26	vs LAD	9-8W	15	2	Over
08/25	vs LAD	3-7L	8	2	Over
08/24	vs OAK	1-3L	6	0	Under
08/23	vs OAK	4-2W	7	1	Under
08/22	vs OAK	1-0W	3	1	Under
08/21	vs OAK	0-3L	2	0	Under
08/20	@ ARI	8-7W	11	1	Over
08/19	@ ARI	6-1W	13	1	Push
08/18	@ ARI	5-4W	10	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.7	9.5	0.309	0.385	0.361	0.746	0.309	0.007
#2 Jurickson Profar	7.1	9.4	0.279	0.463	0.446	0.909	0.361	0.044
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.4	9.8	0.247	0.407	0.360	0.767	0.314	0.033
#4 Manny Machado	7.0	9.1	0.273	0.461	0.347	0.808	0.331	0.045
#5 Xander Bogaerts	6.5	8.2	0.258	0.364	0.324	0.688	0.285	0.021
#6 Jackson Merrill	7.7	10.0	0.292	0.494	0.346	0.840	0.344	0.043
#7 David Peralta	5.0	6.5	0.269	0.426	0.360	0.787	0.322	0.036
#8 Luis Campusano	4.9	6.5	0.228	0.351	0.301	0.653	0.271	0.027
#9 Mason McCoy	4.3	5.7	0.258	0.323	0.419	0.742	0.300	0.000

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	7.2	9.2	0.278	0.409	0.366	0.775	0.317	0.025
#2 Brandon Lowe	7.4	9.9	0.247	0.478	0.369	0.847	0.343	0.051
#3 Junior Caminero	7.0	8.9	0.254	0.460	0.349	0.810	0.329	0.048
#4 Josh Lowe	7.5	9.6	0.250	0.431	0.338	0.769	0.315	0.035
#5 Dylan Carlson	6.3	8.3	0.204	0.290	0.328	0.618	0.258	0.016
#6 Christopher Morel	5.7	7.6	0.194	0.343	0.343	0.686	0.281	0.041
#7 Ben Rortvedt	4.7	6.1	0.244	0.332	0.378	0.710	0.291	0.013
#8 Jose Caballero	5.6	7.2	0.229	0.364	0.311	0.676	0.281	0.024
#9 Jose Siri	4.5	5.9	0.193	0.372	0.291	0.663	0.275	0.046

Padres Notable Injuries

Ha-Seong Kim OUT (SS): Avg: 0.237 SLG:0.377 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.6

Rays Notable Injuries

Zack Littell OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/16/24. Impact: 5.5
Richie Palacios OUT (2B/OF): Avg: 0.233 SLG:0.332 Last game: 08/02/24. Impact: 3.0
Pete Fairbanks OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 1.0
Colin Poche OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 0.6