Mariners vs Red Sox Game Breakdown
Mariners
56W-50L
July 29, 2024
07:10PM EST
Odds: 4.5 o/u
Red Sox
55W-48L
Get ready to dive into the thrill at Fenway tonight as the Seattle Mariners sail into Boston, aiming to hook the Red Sox in a clash that’s set to be as unpredictable as the weather! With the Mariners just a whisper behind in the standings and the Red Sox trying to claw back from a recent tumble, both teams are on the edge of their seats at 07:10 PM EST. Will the Mariners ride the wave of their latest victory, or will the Red Sox rebound under the Fenway lights? Betting lines are neck-and-neck, the air is charged with a cool, misty breeze, and the field is primed for action. So, as the Mariners cast their nets and the Red Sox swing for the fences, expect nothing less than a maritime battle in Beantown tonight!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: July 29, 2024 07:10PM EST
Location: Fenway Park, Boston
Weather: Light rain shower with winds from the SW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 64.5° with 93% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| SEA ML | BOS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -110 | -110 | 8.5 | 0.5/-0.5 |
| Recent | +101 | -121 | 8.5 | 0.5/-0.5 |
| Difference | +211 | -11 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
49.8% Win Probability
50.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/28/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | Over | +5.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | ||||
| 03/29/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | ||||
| 03/30/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | ||||
| 03/31/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 5 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | ||||
| 05/15/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 10 | Over | +6.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | ||||
| 05/16/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | Over | +8.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 9 | ||||
| 05/17/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Over | +10.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 12 | ||||
| 07/31/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 6 | ||||
| 08/01/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | Over | +5.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | ||||
| 08/02/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 6 |
Mariners Vs Over/Under
Red Sox Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23-24 | vsLAA | 5-1L | 6.7 | 4 | 5 | 8 | Under |
| 07-09-24 | @SD | 8-3W | 7.7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | Over |
| 07-03-24 | vsBAL | 4-1L | 5.3 | 6 | 4 | 6 | Under |
| 06-28-24 | vsMIN | 2-3W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 06-22-24 | @MIA | 9-0W | 8.0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 06-16-24 | vsTEX | 0-5W | 8.0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 06-10-24 | vsCWS | 4-8W | 6.7 | 6 | 3 | 8 | Over |
| 06-05-24 | @OAK | 1-2L | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 05-30-24 | vsHOU | 4-0L | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 5 | Under |
| 05-25-24 | @WAS | 1-3L | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24-24 | @COL | 7-20L | 2.7 | 10 | 8 | 6 | Over |
| 07-19-24 | @LAD | 1-4L | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | Under |
| 07-10-24 | vsOAK | 5-2L | 6.7 | 6 | 4 | 10 | Under |
| 07-04-24 | @MIA | 6-5W | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | Over |
| 06-28-24 | vsSD | 9-2L | 4.0 | 7 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 06-22-24 | @CIN | 4-3W | 4.3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 06-17-24 | @TOR | 7-3W | 7.0 | 9 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 06-12-24 | vsPHI | 6-8W | 4.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | Over |
| 06-05-24 | vsATL | 0-9W | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | Over |
| 05-30-24 | vsDET | 5-0L | 5.3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | Under |
Mariners Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/30 | vs CWS | 6-3W | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 07/29 | vs CWS | 6-3W | 12 | 3 | Over |
| 07/28 | vs CWS | 10-0W | 11 | 4 | Over |
| 07/26 | @ LAA | 1-2L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 07/25 | @ LAA | 1-5L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 07/24 | @ LAA | 1-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 07/23 | @ HOU | 6-4W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 07/22 | @ HOU | 2-4L | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 07/21 | @ HOU | 0-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 07/15 | vs LAA | 1-2L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 07/14 | vs LAA | 5-6L | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 07/13 | vs LAA | 11-0W | 15 | 3 | Over |
| 07/12 | vs SD | 2-0W | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 07/11 | vs SD | 8-3W | 13 | 3 | Over |
| 07/09 | @ TOR | 4-5L | 10 | 2 | Over |
Red Sox Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/30 | @ NYY | 2-8L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 07/29 | @ NYY | 8-11L | 13 | 3 | Over |
| 07/28 | @ NYY | 9-7W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 07/26 | vs COL | 7-20L | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 07/25 | vs COL | 6-0W | 11 | 2 | Under |
| 07/24 | vs COL | 8-9L | 13 | 2 | Over |
| 07/23 | vs LAD | 6-9L | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 07/22 | vs LAD | 6-7L | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 07/21 | vs LAD | 1-4L | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 07/15 | @ KC | 5-0W | 12 | 1 | Under |
| 07/14 | @ KC | 1-6L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 07/13 | @ OAK | 7-0W | 10 | 3 | Under |
| 07/12 | @ OAK | 2-5L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 07/11 | @ OAK | 12-9W | 13 | 2 | Over |
| 07/09 | vs NYY | 3-0W | 6 | 3 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Seattle Mariners | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7 | 10.9 | 0.315 | 0.449 | 0.449 | 0.899 | 0.360 | 0.022 | |
| 9.3 | 12.3 | 0.214 | 0.394 | 0.375 | 0.769 | 0.312 | 0.042 | |
|
#3
Cal Raleigh
|
8.9 | 12.0 | 0.218 | 0.439 | 0.349 | 0.788 | 0.320 | 0.064 |
| 8.2 | 10.7 | 0.209 | 0.340 | 0.328 | 0.668 | 0.276 | 0.037 | |
| 8.0 | 10.7 | 0.204 | 0.337 | 0.326 | 0.663 | 0.273 | 0.032 | |
|
#6
Jason Vosler
|
7.3 | 9.4 | 0.222 | 0.389 | 0.278 | 0.667 | 0.275 | 0.000 |
| 6.6 | 8.5 | 0.159 | 0.318 | 0.250 | 0.568 | 0.240 | 0.045 | |
|
#8
Josh Rojas
|
6.5 | 8.4 | 0.236 | 0.356 | 0.353 | 0.709 | 0.291 | 0.017 |
|
#9
Dylan Moore
|
6.6 | 8.7 | 0.206 | 0.403 | 0.364 | 0.767 | 0.311 | 0.036 |
| Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jarren Duran
|
8.5 | 11.0 | 0.283 | 0.498 | 0.380 | 0.878 | 0.355 | 0.030 |
|
#2
Wilyer Abreu
|
7.2 | 9.5 | 0.265 | 0.483 | 0.370 | 0.853 | 0.346 | 0.038 |
| 6.6 | 8.6 | 0.280 | 0.389 | 0.404 | 0.793 | 0.323 | 0.021 | |
| 7.8 | 10.4 | 0.294 | 0.576 | 0.433 | 1.009 | 0.399 | 0.064 | |
| 7.5 | 10.0 | 0.271 | 0.561 | 0.411 | 0.971 | 0.386 | 0.079 | |
| 5.7 | 7.6 | 0.220 | 0.345 | 0.350 | 0.695 | 0.286 | 0.020 | |
|
#7
Danny Jansen
|
6.6 | 8.8 | 0.219 | 0.378 | 0.362 | 0.740 | 0.301 | 0.031 |
| 5.7 | 7.3 | 0.254 | 0.394 | 0.333 | 0.728 | 0.300 | 0.023 | |
| 5.2 | 6.7 | 0.251 | 0.416 | 0.292 | 0.708 | 0.294 | 0.033 |
Mariners Notable Injuries
- Julio Rodriguez OUT (OF): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.373 Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 3.8
- J.P. Crawford OUT (SS): Avg: 0.204 SLG:0.339 Last game: 07/24/24. Impact: 2.1
- Dominic Canzone OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.394 Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 1.7
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- Justin Slaten OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/09/24. Impact: 1.6
- Chris Martin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/05/24. Impact: 1.4
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