Mariners vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at Fenway tonight as the Seattle Mariners sail into Boston, ready to clash with the Red Sox at 07:10 PM EST. It’s a neck-and-neck scramble in the American League, with Seattle just a whisper behind in the standings and Boston looking to lob a few more wins into their basket. With the betting lines tilting slightly in favor of the Mariners and an over/under that promises a slugfest, tonight’s game is buzzing with anticipation. Just yesterday, the Sox socked it to the Mariners, setting the stage for a fiery rematch under the partly cloudy skies of a warm Boston evening. So, as the Mariners try to anchor a win and the Red Sox aim to sock another victory, expect a game that’s more loaded than a Fenway Frank!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 30, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the SSW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 88.0° with 43% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SEA ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-122	+102	9.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-116	-104	10.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+6	-206	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

155W-139L

53.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

152W-138L

46.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/28/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+0.5
03/28/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+0.5
03/29/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-8.5
03/29/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-8.5
03/30/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-2.5
03/30/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Under	-2.5
03/31/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-3.5
03/31/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-3.5
07/29/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+11.5
07/29/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	14	Over	+11.5
05/15/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+1.5
05/15/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Over	+1.5
05/16/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+3.5
05/16/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+3.5
05/17/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+5.5
05/17/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	12	Over	+5.5
07/31/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-1.5
07/31/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Under	-1.5
08/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+0.5
08/01/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+0.5
08/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-0.5
08/02/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Under	-0.5

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Luis Castillo

ERA 3.453 | IP 130.3 | 8.0W-10.0L | KO 126.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-24-24	vsLAA	2-1L	6.0	5	0	7	Under
07-19-24	vsHOU	3-0L	7.0	6	3	3	Under
07-11-24	@LAA	11-0W	6.0	4	0	5	Over
07-05-24	vsTOR	1-2W	6.7	2	1	8	Under
06-30-24	vsMIN	5-3L	5.0	6	3	3	Under
06-25-24	@TB	3-11L	5.3	5	4	4	Over
06-20-24	@CLE	3-6L	5.0	8	5	4	Under
06-14-24	vsTEX	2-3W	6.0	4	2	7	Under
06-08-24	@KC	4-8L	5.0	6	5	4	Over
06-02-24	vsLAA	1-5W	7.0	2	0	6	Under

James Paxton

ERA 4.433 | IP 89.3 | 8.0W-2.0L | KO 64.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-21-24	@BOS	6-9L	5.0	4	3	7	Over
07-12-24	@DET	4-3L	3.7	5	3	1	Under
07-06-24	@MIL	3-5W	5.0	4	2	3	Under
06-30-24	@SF	4-10W	4.0	12	9	4	Over
06-24-24	@CWS	3-0L	5.0	3	0	6	Under
06-17-24	@COL	9-5L	7.0	2	1	8	Over
06-11-24	@TEX	2-15W	6.0	2	1	2	Over
06-05-24	@PIT	6-10W	1.7	6	7	2	Over
05-29-24	@NYM	10-3L	3.0	2	0	3	Over
05-24-24	@CIN	6-9W	4.7	5	5	4	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/31	vs BOS	7-14L	10	2	Over
07/30	vs CWS	6-3W	8	1	Under
07/29	vs CWS	6-3W	12	3	Under
07/28	vs CWS	10-0W	11	4	Under
07/26	@ LAA	1-2L	6	1	Under
07/25	@ LAA	1-5L	3	0	Under
07/24	@ LAA	1-3L	4	0	Under
07/23	@ HOU	6-4W	9	2	Under
07/22	@ HOU	2-4L	3	1	Under
07/21	@ HOU	0-3L	4	0	Under
07/15	vs LAA	1-2L	6	0	Under
07/14	vs LAA	5-6L	10	2	Over
07/13	vs LAA	11-0W	15	3	Over
07/12	vs SD	2-0W	4	0	Under
07/11	vs SD	8-3W	13	3	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/31	@ SEA	14-7W	16	3	Over
07/30	@ NYY	2-8L	7	2	Under
07/29	@ NYY	8-11L	13	3	Over
07/28	@ NYY	9-7W	14	1	Over
07/26	vs COL	7-20L	11	1	Over
07/25	vs COL	6-0W	11	2	Under
07/24	vs COL	8-9L	13	2	Over
07/23	vs LAD	6-9L	9	1	Over
07/22	vs LAD	6-7L	10	2	Over
07/21	vs LAD	1-4L	9	1	Under
07/15	@ KC	5-0W	12	1	Under
07/14	@ KC	1-6L	5	0	Under
07/13	@ OAK	7-0W	10	3	Under
07/12	@ OAK	2-5L	8	1	Under
07/11	@ OAK	12-9W	13	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Victor Robles	9.6	12.0	0.301	0.430	0.430	0.860	0.346	0.022
#2 Randy Arozarena	10.9	14.4	0.218	0.408	0.377	0.785	0.318	0.045
#3 Cal Raleigh	9.3	12.5	0.221	0.447	0.350	0.797	0.323	0.066
#4 Jorge Polanco	8.6	11.3	0.207	0.337	0.325	0.663	0.274	0.037
#5 Mitch Garver	9.0	12.3	0.176	0.352	0.349	0.701	0.286	0.042
#6 Dylan Moore	8.5	11.2	0.206	0.405	0.362	0.767	0.311	0.035
#7 Mitch Haniger	7.1	9.4	0.204	0.336	0.325	0.661	0.273	0.031
#8 Tyler Locklear	6.5	8.4	0.156	0.311	0.244	0.556	0.235	0.044
#9 Leo Rivas	5.6	7.2	0.273	0.455	0.273	0.727	0.299	0.000

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	10.0	12.9	0.285	0.502	0.381	0.884	0.357	0.030
#2 Wilyer Abreu	8.9	11.7	0.267	0.486	0.370	0.856	0.347	0.037
#3 Masataka Yoshida	7.8	10.3	0.288	0.414	0.409	0.823	0.335	0.025
#4 Rafael Devers	9.1	12.1	0.294	0.576	0.432	1.009	0.399	0.063
#5 Tyler O’Neill	7.3	9.7	0.270	0.558	0.407	0.965	0.384	0.077
#6 Dominic Smith	7.3	9.8	0.225	0.368	0.353	0.721	0.296	0.025
#7 Danny Jansen	6.3	8.4	0.219	0.378	0.362	0.740	0.301	0.031
#8 David Hamilton	6.5	8.3	0.249	0.387	0.327	0.714	0.295	0.023
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.3	6.9	0.253	0.417	0.294	0.711	0.296	0.033

Mariners Notable Injuries

Julio Rodriguez OUT (OF): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.373 Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 3.8
J.P. Crawford OUT (SS): Avg: 0.204 SLG:0.339 Last game: 07/24/24. Impact: 2.1
Dominic Canzone OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.394 Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 1.7

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Justin Slaten OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/09/24. Impact: 1.6
Chris Martin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/05/24. Impact: 1.4