Mariners vs Astros Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Minute Maid Park as the Seattle Mariners, riding the wave of a solid season, aim to hook the Houston Astros under the Texan sun tonight at 07:15 PM EST! With the Mariners just a splash away from the top of the American League and the Astros trying to steer their ship out of choppy waters, this game is set to be a real barnburner. The odds-makers are calling a tight one, setting the stage with an over/under of 8.0, as the Mariners look to rebound from yesterday’s clash where the Astros reeled in a 5-3 victory. With clear skies, a gentle north breeze, and the mercury hitting a comfy 73.4°, it’s perfect weather for some ball. So, as these two teams dive back into action, let’s see if the Mariners can sail to victory or if the Astros will rocket past the competition!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 04, 2024 07:15PM EST

Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 73.4° with 94% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SEA ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+119	-142	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+118	-141	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+1	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

136W-118L

45.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

149W-106L

54.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/03/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Push	-0.0
05/03/24	Houston Astros HOU	5	Push	-0.0
05/05/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+2.0
05/05/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+2.0
05/06/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+4.0
05/06/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+4.0
05/07/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-4.0
05/07/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-4.0
07/06/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-2.0
07/06/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-2.0
07/07/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+3.0
07/07/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Over	+3.0
07/08/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-3.0
07/08/23	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-3.0
07/09/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-4.0
07/09/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-4.0
08/18/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-6.0
08/18/23	Houston Astros HOU	0	Under	-6.0
08/19/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+5.0
08/19/23	Houston Astros HOU	3	Over	+5.0
08/20/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+5.0
08/20/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+5.0
09/25/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-2.0
09/25/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-2.0
09/26/23	Houston Astros HOU	2	Push	-0.0
09/26/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Push	-0.0
09/27/23	Houston Astros HOU	8	Over	+3.0
09/27/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+3.0

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Astros Vs Over/Under

Logan Gilbert

ERA 2.025 | IP 40.0 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 44.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-28-24	vsARI	3-2L	6.3	4	2	9	Under
04-23-24	@TEX	4-0W	6.7	2	0	6	Under
04-16-24	vsCIN	1-3W	6.7	3	1	6	Under
04-10-24	@TOR	6-1W	7.7	5	1	8	Under
04-05-24	@MIL	5-6L	5.7	5	4	7	Over
03-30-24	vsBOS	3-4W	7.0	4	1	8	Under
09-28-23	vsTEX	2-3W	6.0	3	2	5	Under
09-23-23	@TEX	0-2L	5.7	5	2	2	Under
09-17-23	vsLAD	6-1L	5.0	7	5	6	Under
09-11-23	vsLAA	8-5L	7.0	6	3	5	Over

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-28-24	@COL	8-2W	5.0	5	2	6	Over
04-02-24	vsTOR	2-1L	7.7	6	0	5	Under
03-28-24	vsNYY	5-4L	4.7	5	3	5	Over
09-27-23	@SEA	8-3W	4.0	5	3	7	Over
09-22-23	vsKC	7-5L	5.3	4	7	10	Over
09-17-23	@KC	7-1W	7.0	5	1	5	Over
09-11-23	vsOAK	4-0L	7.0	4	3	10	Under
09-05-23	@TEX	14-1W	7.0	6	1	4	Over
08-30-23	@BOS	7-4W	6.0	5	4	5	Over
08-25-23	@DET	1-4L	7.0	0	0	6	Under

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/05	vs HOU	3-5L	7	2	Over
05/03	@ ATL	2-5L	10	0	Under
05/02	@ ATL	3-2W	7	1	Under
05/01	@ ATL	2-1W	4	1	Under
04/30	@ ARI	2-3L	5	1	Under
04/29	@ ARI	3-1W	4	1	Under
04/28	@ ARI	6-1W	5	3	Under
04/27	vs TEX	4-3W	5	2	Under
04/26	vs TEX	1-5L	8	0	Under
04/25	vs TEX	4-0W	6	2	Under
04/23	vs COL	10-2W	13	1	Over
04/23	vs COL	1-2L	6	0	Under
04/22	vs COL	7-0W	16	1	Under
04/19	@ CIN	5-1W	7	3	Under
04/18	@ CIN	3-1W	8	0	Under

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/05	@ SEA	5-3W	7	0	Over
05/04	@ CLE	8-2W	10	1	Over
05/03	@ CLE	2-3L	7	1	Under
05/02	@ CLE	10-9W	12	3	Over
04/30	vs COL	8-2W	8	3	Over
04/29	vs COL	12-4W	15	3	Over
04/27	vs CHC	1-3L	4	0	Under
04/26	vs CHC	3-4L	10	1	Under
04/25	vs CHC	2-7L	6	1	Over
04/23	vs WAS	0-6L	4	0	Under
04/22	vs WAS	4-5L	9	0	Over
04/21	vs WAS	5-3W	13	0	Over
04/19	@ ATL	4-5L	9	2	Over
04/18	@ ATL	2-6L	7	1	Over
04/17	@ ATL	1-6L	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Julio Rodriguez	8.4	10.4	0.27	0.325	32.5%	65.1%	0.8%
#2 Mitch Haniger	6.7	9.0	0.211	0.358	30.3%	66.1%	3.7%
#3 Jorge Polanco	7.0	9.4	0.183	0.321	37.6%	69.7%	4.6%
#4 Mitch Garver	7.1	9.7	0.138	0.287	29.9%	58.6%	3.4%
#5 Cal Raleigh	6.8	9.1	0.208	0.396	33.3%	72.9%	6.2%
#6 Ty France	6.2	7.8	0.245	0.343	33.3%	67.6%	2.0%
#7 Dylan Moore	6.1	7.9	0.203	0.375	35.9%	73.4%	3.1%
#8 Luis Urias	5.1	7.2	0.143	0.4	31.4%	71.4%	5.7%
#9 Sam Haggerty	6.8	6.8	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	8.7	11.0	0.348	0.576	45.5%	103.0%	5.3%
#2 Kyle Tucker	8.8	11.7	0.283	0.542	47.5%	101.7%	6.7%
#3 Luis Garcia	9.4	9.4	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#3 Yordan Alvarez	8.7	11.5	0.246	0.444	35.7%	80.2%	5.6%
#4 Alex Bregman	7.2	9.3	0.204	0.274	31.0%	58.4%	0.9%
#5 Jeremy Pena	6.4	8.1	0.325	0.455	39.8%	85.4%	2.4%
#6 Yainer Diaz	6.4	8.2	0.291	0.427	35.0%	77.8%	2.6%
#7 Jon Singleton	5.0	6.5	0.255	0.4	38.2%	78.2%	3.6%
#8 Joey Loperfido	5.3	6.5	0.364	0.364	36.4%	72.7%	0.0%
#9 Mauricio Dubon	4.9	6.4	0.282	0.408	32.4%	73.2%	1.4%