Mariners vs Astros Game Breakdown
Mariners
17W-15L
May 04, 2024
07:15PM EST
Odds: 8.0 o/u
Astros
12W-20L
Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Minute Maid Park as the Seattle Mariners, riding the wave of a solid season, aim to hook the Houston Astros under the Texan sun tonight at 07:15 PM EST! With the Mariners just a splash away from the top of the American League and the Astros trying to steer their ship out of choppy waters, this game is set to be a real barnburner. The odds-makers are calling a tight one, setting the stage with an over/under of 8.0, as the Mariners look to rebound from yesterday’s clash where the Astros reeled in a 5-3 victory. With clear skies, a gentle north breeze, and the mercury hitting a comfy 73.4°, it’s perfect weather for some ball. So, as these two teams dive back into action, let’s see if the Mariners can sail to victory or if the Astros will rocket past the competition!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 04, 2024 07:15PM EST
Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 73.4° with 94% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| SEA ML | HOU ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +119 | -142 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +118 | -141 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | -1 | +1 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
45.9% Win Probability
54.1% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 5 | ||||
| 05/05/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 6 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | ||||
| 05/06/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 5 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 7 | ||||
| 05/07/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 1 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 07/06/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 1 | ||||
| 07/07/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 10 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 1 | ||||
| 07/08/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 2 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 3 | ||||
| 07/09/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 1 | ||||
| 08/18/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 2 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 0 | ||||
| 08/19/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 10 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 3 | ||||
| 08/20/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 7 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 6 | ||||
| 09/25/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 5 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | ||||
| 09/26/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 2 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 6 | ||||
| 09/27/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 8 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 |
Mariners Vs Over/Under
Astros Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28-24 | vsARI | 3-2L | 6.3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | Under |
| 04-23-24 | @TEX | 4-0W | 6.7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | Under |
| 04-16-24 | vsCIN | 1-3W | 6.7 | 3 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 04-10-24 | @TOR | 6-1W | 7.7 | 5 | 1 | 8 | Under |
| 04-05-24 | @MIL | 5-6L | 5.7 | 5 | 4 | 7 | Over |
| 03-30-24 | vsBOS | 3-4W | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | Under |
| 09-28-23 | vsTEX | 2-3W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 09-23-23 | @TEX | 0-2L | 5.7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | Under |
| 09-17-23 | vsLAD | 6-1L | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 6 | Under |
| 09-11-23 | vsLAA | 8-5L | 7.0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28-24 | @COL | 8-2W | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | Over |
| 04-02-24 | vsTOR | 2-1L | 7.7 | 6 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 03-28-24 | vsNYY | 5-4L | 4.7 | 5 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 09-27-23 | @SEA | 8-3W | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Over |
| 09-22-23 | vsKC | 7-5L | 5.3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | Over |
| 09-17-23 | @KC | 7-1W | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | Over |
| 09-11-23 | vsOAK | 4-0L | 7.0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | Under |
| 09-05-23 | @TEX | 14-1W | 7.0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | Over |
| 08-30-23 | @BOS | 7-4W | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | Over |
| 08-25-23 | @DET | 1-4L | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Under |
Mariners Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05 | vs HOU | 3-5L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 05/03 | @ ATL | 2-5L | 10 | 0 | Under |
| 05/02 | @ ATL | 3-2W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 05/01 | @ ATL | 2-1W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/30 | @ ARI | 2-3L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/29 | @ ARI | 3-1W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/28 | @ ARI | 6-1W | 5 | 3 | Under |
| 04/27 | vs TEX | 4-3W | 5 | 2 | Under |
| 04/26 | vs TEX | 1-5L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/25 | vs TEX | 4-0W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 04/23 | vs COL | 10-2W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 04/23 | vs COL | 1-2L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/22 | vs COL | 7-0W | 16 | 1 | Under |
| 04/19 | @ CIN | 5-1W | 7 | 3 | Under |
| 04/18 | @ CIN | 3-1W | 8 | 0 | Under |
Astros Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05 | @ SEA | 5-3W | 7 | 0 | Over |
| 05/04 | @ CLE | 8-2W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 05/03 | @ CLE | 2-3L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 05/02 | @ CLE | 10-9W | 12 | 3 | Over |
| 04/30 | vs COL | 8-2W | 8 | 3 | Over |
| 04/29 | vs COL | 12-4W | 15 | 3 | Over |
| 04/27 | vs CHC | 1-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 04/26 | vs CHC | 3-4L | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/25 | vs CHC | 2-7L | 6 | 1 | Over |
| 04/23 | vs WAS | 0-6L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 04/22 | vs WAS | 4-5L | 9 | 0 | Over |
| 04/21 | vs WAS | 5-3W | 13 | 0 | Over |
| 04/19 | @ ATL | 4-5L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/18 | @ ATL | 2-6L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 04/17 | @ ATL | 1-6L | 7 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Seattle Mariners | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4 | 10.4 | 0.27 | 0.325 | 32.5% | 65.1% | 0.8% | |
| 6.7 | 9.0 | 0.211 | 0.358 | 30.3% | 66.1% | 3.7% | |
| 7.0 | 9.4 | 0.183 | 0.321 | 37.6% | 69.7% | 4.6% | |
|
#4
Mitch Garver
|
7.1 | 9.7 | 0.138 | 0.287 | 29.9% | 58.6% | 3.4% |
|
#5
Cal Raleigh
|
6.8 | 9.1 | 0.208 | 0.396 | 33.3% | 72.9% | 6.2% |
|
#6
Ty France
|
6.2 | 7.8 | 0.245 | 0.343 | 33.3% | 67.6% | 2.0% |
|
#7
Dylan Moore
|
6.1 | 7.9 | 0.203 | 0.375 | 35.9% | 73.4% | 3.1% |
|
#8
Luis Urias
|
5.1 | 7.2 | 0.143 | 0.4 | 31.4% | 71.4% | 5.7% |
|
#9
Sam Haggerty
|
6.8 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Houston Astros | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jose Altuve
|
8.7 | 11.0 | 0.348 | 0.576 | 45.5% | 103.0% | 5.3% |
|
#2
Kyle Tucker
|
8.8 | 11.7 | 0.283 | 0.542 | 47.5% | 101.7% | 6.7% |
|
#3
Luis Garcia
|
9.4 | 9.4 | nan | nan | nan% | nan% | nan% |
| 8.7 | 11.5 | 0.246 | 0.444 | 35.7% | 80.2% | 5.6% | |
|
#4
Alex Bregman
|
7.2 | 9.3 | 0.204 | 0.274 | 31.0% | 58.4% | 0.9% |
|
#5
Jeremy Pena
|
6.4 | 8.1 | 0.325 | 0.455 | 39.8% | 85.4% | 2.4% |
|
#6
Yainer Diaz
|
6.4 | 8.2 | 0.291 | 0.427 | 35.0% | 77.8% | 2.6% |
| 5.0 | 6.5 | 0.255 | 0.4 | 38.2% | 78.2% | 3.6% | |
| 5.3 | 6.5 | 0.364 | 0.364 | 36.4% | 72.7% | 0.0% | |
| 4.9 | 6.4 | 0.282 | 0.408 | 32.4% | 73.2% | 1.4% |
Mariners Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Astros Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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