Mariners vs Astros Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heart of the action as the Seattle Mariners sail into Minute Maid Park tonight, ready to clash with the Houston Astros in a showdown that’s got everyone on the edge of their seats! With the Mariners swinging to close a 5-game gap and the Astros looking to maintain their lead at the top of the American League, this 08:10 PM EST game isn’t just another day at the ballpark. Both teams are hungry to bounce back from narrow losses, setting the stage for a fierce competition under the bright lights of Houston. The stakes are high, the bats are ready, and with a sunny sky, a gentle breeze, and the crowd buzzing, it’s the perfect recipe for a night where stars will shine. So, as the Mariners hope to navigate the Astros’ stronghold, let’s see if they can catch a wave or if the Astros will keep their orbit secure!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 23, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SSE at 4.0 mph. Temperature is at 88.2° with 55% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SEA ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+127	-152	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+108	-130	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-19	+22	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

164W-155L

48.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

187W-129L

51.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/03/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Push	-0.0
05/03/24	Houston Astros HOU	5	Push	-0.0
05/04/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-3.0
05/04/24	Houston Astros HOU	0	Under	-3.0
05/05/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Over	+1.0
05/05/24	Houston Astros HOU	4	Over	+1.0
05/27/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-3.0
05/27/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-3.0
05/28/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-2.0
05/28/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Under	-2.0
05/29/24	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-5.0
05/29/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-5.0
05/30/24	Houston Astros HOU	4	Under	-4.0
05/30/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	0	Under	-4.0
07/19/24	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-5.0
07/19/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	0	Under	-5.0
07/20/24	Houston Astros HOU	4	Under	-2.0
07/20/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-2.0
07/21/24	Houston Astros HOU	4	Over	+2.0
07/21/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Over	+2.0
05/05/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+2.0
05/05/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+2.0
05/06/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+4.0
05/06/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+4.0
05/07/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-4.0
05/07/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-4.0
07/06/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-2.0
07/06/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-2.0
07/07/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+3.0
07/07/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Over	+3.0
07/08/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-3.0
07/08/23	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-3.0
07/09/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-4.0
07/09/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-4.0
08/18/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-6.0
08/18/23	Houston Astros HOU	0	Under	-6.0
08/19/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+5.0
08/19/23	Houston Astros HOU	3	Over	+5.0
08/20/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+5.0
08/20/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+5.0
09/25/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-2.0
09/25/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-2.0
09/26/23	Houston Astros HOU	2	Push	-0.0
09/26/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Push	-0.0
09/27/23	Houston Astros HOU	8	Over	+3.0
09/27/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+3.0

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Astros Vs Over/Under

Bryce Miller

ERA 3.063 | IP 173.3 | 11.0W-8.0L | KO 166.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-18-24	vsNYY	2-1L	6.0	2	1	8	Under
09-12-24	vsTEX	5-4L	6.0	5	1	7	Over
09-06-24	@STL	6-1W	6.0	3	0	4	Under
09-01-24	@LAA	2-3L	4.7	4	3	4	Under
08-26-24	vsTB	1-5W	7.0	2	1	10	Under
08-20-24	@LAD	3-6L	4.0	5	2	5	Over
08-15-24	@DET	1-2L	7.0	2	0	9	Under
08-09-24	vsNYM	0-6W	6.0	3	0	6	Under
08-03-24	vsPHI	5-6W	4.3	6	4	4	Over
07-28-24	@CWS	6-3W	6.3	7	3	6	Over

Hunter Brown

ERA 3.567 | IP 164.0 | 11.0W-8.0L | KO 171.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-17-24	@SD	4-3W	6.0	5	2	3	Under
09-11-24	vsOAK	5-4L	5.0	9	5	7	Over
09-05-24	@CIN	0-1L	6.0	4	0	6	Under
08-29-24	vsKC	3-6W	6.7	2	2	4	Over
08-23-24	@BAL	5-7L	6.0	3	2	6	Over
08-17-24	vsCWS	1-6W	7.0	4	1	6	Under
08-11-24	@BOS	10-2W	5.3	5	2	9	Over
08-05-24	@TEX	3-4L	6.0	3	1	4	Under
07-30-24	vsPIT	6-2L	5.7	9	5	8	Over
07-24-24	@OAK	8-1W	6.0	8	1	8	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/24	vs TEX	5-6L	8	1	Over
09/24	vs TEX	5-6L	8	1	Over
09/23	vs TEX	7-4W	16	1	Over
09/22	vs TEX	8-2W	10	3	Over
09/21	@ NYY	3-2W	6	0	Under
09/20	@ NYY	1-2L	6	1	Under
09/19	@ NYY	2-11L	9	2	Over
09/17	@ TEX	7-0W	14	2	Under
09/16	@ TEX	5-4W	10	2	Over
09/15	@ TEX	5-4W	10	1	Over
09/14	@ TEX	4-5L	6	1	Over
09/13	@ SD	5-2W	5	0	Under
09/12	@ SD	3-7L	10	2	Over
09/10	vs STL	10-4W	13	2	Over
09/09	vs STL	0-2L	5	0	Under

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/24	@ LAA	8-9L	12	2	Over
09/24	@ LAA	8-9L	12	2	Over
09/23	@ LAA	10-4W	20	3	Over
09/22	@ LAA	9-7W	14	3	Over
09/21	@ LAA	3-1W	6	0	Under
09/20	vs SD	0-4L	2	0	Under
09/19	vs SD	3-3L	9	0	Under
09/18	vs SD	1-3L	6	0	Under
09/17	vs LAA	5-4W	8	1	Over
09/16	vs LAA	5-3W	10	2	Over
09/15	vs LAA	5-3W	14	2	Over
09/14	@ OAK	6-3W	12	1	Over
09/13	@ OAK	4-5L	9	0	Over
09/12	@ OAK	3-4L	10	0	Under
09/10	@ ARI	6-12L	12	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Victor Robles	7.6	9.7	0.311	0.430	0.430	0.860	0.348	0.017
#2 Julio Rodriguez	8.3	10.6	0.271	0.406	0.351	0.756	0.311	0.035
#3 Cal Raleigh	8.0	10.8	0.216	0.432	0.365	0.797	0.322	0.062
#4 Randy Arozarena	7.9	10.5	0.219	0.389	0.395	0.784	0.317	0.038
#5 Luke Raley	7.8	10.2	0.246	0.467	0.356	0.823	0.336	0.054
#6 Justin Turner	6.7	8.8	0.258	0.382	0.411	0.793	0.321	0.024
#7 Jorge Polanco	6.1	8.0	0.206	0.343	0.326	0.669	0.276	0.038
#8 J.P. Crawford	6.1	8.1	0.202	0.319	0.362	0.681	0.279	0.022
#9 Josh Rojas	5.7	7.4	0.226	0.340	0.340	0.680	0.280	0.019

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	7.5	9.6	0.295	0.445	0.383	0.828	0.338	0.034
#2 Yordan Alvarez	9.9	12.9	0.313	0.575	0.456	1.031	0.407	0.064
#3 Kyle Tucker	9.0	12.1	0.282	0.584	0.508	1.092	0.417	0.084
#4 Alex Bregman	6.8	8.9	0.261	0.454	0.345	0.799	0.327	0.046
#5 Yainer Diaz	6.6	8.4	0.307	0.454	0.351	0.805	0.332	0.028
#6 Jon Singleton	6.3	8.3	0.243	0.399	0.364	0.762	0.310	0.038
#7 Jeremy Pena	5.6	7.2	0.268	0.401	0.334	0.735	0.305	0.025
#8 Jason Heyward	5.1	6.9	0.205	0.390	0.329	0.719	0.295	0.038
#9 Mauricio Dubon	4.7	6.0	0.268	0.358	0.314	0.673	0.281	0.010

Mariners Notable Injuries

Luis Castillo OUT (SP): Avg: 0.0 SLG:0.0 Last game: 09/10/24. Impact: 7.6

Astros Notable Injuries

Ben Gamel OUT (OF): Avg: 0.247 SLG:0.333 Last game: 09/16/24. Impact: 1.7
Chas McCormick OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.306 Last game: 09/12/24. Impact: 2.2
Tayler Scott OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 0.8