Mariners vs Astros Game Breakdown

Get ready for an epic showdown at Minute Maid Park as the Seattle Mariners sail into Houston, looking to hook some wins against the Astros in a thrilling MLB face-off. With the Mariners trailing by five in the American League and the Astros leading the pack, today’s game, kicking off at 2:10 PM EST, promises to be a nail-biter. Both teams are coming off a close encounter just yesterday, with Houston narrowly clinching a victory. The stakes are sky-high with the betting lines buzzing; the Mariners are favored slightly in what’s expected to be a tight game, pegged at an over/under of 7.0. As the winds gently breeze through a partly cloudy Houston sky, fans are gearing up for what could be a game of subtle strategies and explosive plays. So, as the Mariners try to navigate the Astros’ star field, let’s see if they can truly ‘sea’ their way to victory or if the Astros will continue to ‘launch’ successful counters!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 25, 2024 02:10PM EST

Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 2.7 mph. Temperature is at 82.8° with 79% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SEA ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-135	+113	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-147	+123	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-12	+10	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

165W-156L

59.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

188W-130L

40.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/03/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+1.0
05/03/24	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+1.0
05/04/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-2.0
05/04/24	Houston Astros HOU	0	Under	-2.0
05/05/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Over	+2.0
05/05/24	Houston Astros HOU	4	Over	+2.0
05/27/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-2.0
05/27/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-2.0
05/28/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-1.0
05/28/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Under	-1.0
05/29/24	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-4.0
05/29/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-4.0
05/30/24	Houston Astros HOU	4	Under	-3.0
05/30/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	0	Under	-3.0
07/19/24	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-4.0
07/19/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	0	Under	-4.0
07/20/24	Houston Astros HOU	4	Under	-1.0
07/20/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-1.0
07/21/24	Houston Astros HOU	4	Over	+3.0
07/21/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Over	+3.0
09/23/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Push	-0.0
09/23/24	Houston Astros HOU	1	Push	-0.0
09/24/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Push	-0.0
09/24/24	Houston Astros HOU	4	Push	-0.0
05/05/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+3.0
05/05/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+3.0
05/06/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+5.0
05/06/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+5.0
05/07/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-3.0
05/07/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-3.0
07/06/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-1.0
07/06/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-1.0
07/07/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+4.0
07/07/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Over	+4.0
07/08/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-2.0
07/08/23	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-2.0
07/09/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-3.0
07/09/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-3.0
08/18/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-5.0
08/18/23	Houston Astros HOU	0	Under	-5.0
08/19/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+6.0
08/19/23	Houston Astros HOU	3	Over	+6.0
08/20/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+6.0
08/20/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+6.0
09/25/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-1.0
09/25/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-1.0
09/26/23	Houston Astros HOU	2	Over	+1.0
09/26/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Over	+1.0
09/27/23	Houston Astros HOU	8	Over	+4.0
09/27/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+4.0

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Astros Vs Over/Under

George Kirby

ERA 3.6 | IP 185.0 | 13.0W-11.0L | KO 173.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-20-24	@TEX	8-2W	6.0	5	2	4	Over
09-15-24	vsTEX	0-7W	7.0	1	0	3	Push
09-10-24	vsSD	7-3L	5.0	7	5	4	Over
09-04-24	@OAK	16-3W	6.0	6	2	9	Over
08-30-24	@LAA	9-5W	5.7	5	5	2	Over
08-24-24	vsSF	4-3L	4.7	9	3	3	Push
08-18-24	@PIT	10-3W	6.0	4	2	5	Over
08-13-24	@DET	1-15L	3.7	12	11	5	Over
08-07-24	vsDET	6-2L	5.0	7	3	7	Over
07-31-24	@BOS	2-3L	5.3	7	2	2	Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-19-24	vsLAA	1-3W	6.0	5	1	9	Under
09-13-24	@LAA	5-3W	7.0	3	3	6	Over
09-07-24	vsARI	5-11W	6.0	7	4	6	Over
08-31-24	vsKC	2-5W	7.0	5	1	12	Push
08-25-24	@BAL	6-3W	5.7	2	3	4	Over
08-19-24	vsBOS	4-5W	5.7	6	3	7	Over
08-13-24	@TB	3-2W	5.7	3	1	5	Under
08-07-24	@TEX	6-4W	5.3	4	2	8	Over
08-02-24	vsTB	2-3W	5.7	3	2	11	Under
07-26-24	@TEX	5-6W	4.7	8	5	5	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/26	vs HOU	3-4L	9	1	Push
09/25	vs HOU	6-1W	13	0	Push
09/24	vs TEX	5-6L	8	1	Over
09/24	vs TEX	5-6L	8	1	Over
09/23	vs TEX	7-4W	16	1	Over
09/22	vs TEX	8-2W	10	3	Over
09/21	@ NYY	3-2W	6	0	Under
09/20	@ NYY	1-2L	6	1	Under
09/19	@ NYY	2-11L	9	2	Over
09/17	@ TEX	7-0W	14	2	Push
09/16	@ TEX	5-4W	10	2	Over
09/15	@ TEX	5-4W	10	1	Over
09/14	@ TEX	4-5L	6	1	Over
09/13	@ SD	5-2W	5	0	Push
09/12	@ SD	3-7L	10	2	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/26	@ SEA	4-3W	6	3	Push
09/25	@ SEA	1-6L	4	1	Push
09/24	@ LAA	8-9L	12	2	Over
09/24	@ LAA	8-9L	12	2	Over
09/23	@ LAA	10-4W	20	3	Over
09/22	@ LAA	9-7W	14	3	Over
09/21	@ LAA	3-1W	6	0	Under
09/20	vs SD	0-4L	2	0	Under
09/19	vs SD	3-3L	9	0	Under
09/18	vs SD	1-3L	6	0	Under
09/17	vs LAA	5-4W	8	1	Over
09/16	vs LAA	5-3W	10	2	Over
09/15	vs LAA	5-3W	14	2	Over
09/14	@ OAK	6-3W	12	1	Over
09/13	@ OAK	4-5L	9	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Victor Robles	6.8	8.7	0.307	0.426	0.426	0.852	0.346	0.016
#2 Julio Rodriguez	9.0	11.5	0.274	0.408	0.351	0.759	0.312	0.034
#3 Cal Raleigh	8.2	11.1	0.220	0.433	0.366	0.799	0.323	0.061
#4 Randy Arozarena	8.3	11.0	0.222	0.393	0.397	0.790	0.319	0.037
#5 Justin Turner	7.1	9.3	0.259	0.382	0.414	0.796	0.321	0.024
#6 Jorge Polanco	6.8	8.9	0.214	0.359	0.332	0.690	0.284	0.039
#7 Mitch Garver	6.7	9.2	0.167	0.323	0.334	0.657	0.271	0.036
#8 J.P. Crawford	5.2	6.9	0.200	0.315	0.357	0.672	0.276	0.021
#9 Dylan Moore	5.4	7.2	0.210	0.384	0.389	0.773	0.312	0.028

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	9.0	11.5	0.293	0.441	0.380	0.821	0.335	0.034
#2 Kyle Tucker	9.7	13.0	0.278	0.581	0.496	1.078	0.413	0.085
#3 Alex Bregman	7.2	9.4	0.261	0.457	0.346	0.803	0.329	0.047
#4 Yainer Diaz	7.3	9.4	0.306	0.452	0.349	0.801	0.331	0.028
#4 Luis Garcia	9.5	9.5	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#5 Jon Singleton	6.3	8.3	0.240	0.393	0.364	0.757	0.308	0.038
#6 Victor Caratini	6.5	8.4	0.269	0.399	0.374	0.773	0.315	0.029
#7 Jeremy Pena	6.5	8.4	0.268	0.399	0.333	0.732	0.304	0.025
#8 Jason Heyward	5.1	6.8	0.208	0.417	0.329	0.745	0.305	0.046
#9 Mauricio Dubon	5.2	6.7	0.266	0.355	0.312	0.668	0.279	0.010

Mariners Notable Injuries

Luis Castillo OUT (SP): Avg: 0.0 SLG:0.0 Last game: 09/10/24. Impact: 7.6

Astros Notable Injuries

Ben Gamel OUT (OF): Avg: 0.247 SLG:0.333 Last game: 09/16/24. Impact: 1.7
Chas McCormick OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.306 Last game: 09/12/24. Impact: 2.2
Tayler Scott OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 0.8