Mariners vs Brewers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 7th 2024

Alright, sports junkies, it’s time to get your baseball fix as we gear up for today’s clash between the Seattle Mariners, who are sailing a bit off course with a 4W-5L record, and the Milwaukee Brewers, who are brewing up some serious competition with a solid 5W-2L standing. Our Mariners are setting sail for the American Family Field, ready to drop anchor at 02:10PM EST sharp. They’re trailing 2.5 games in the American League, while our Brewers are just a pint short at 1.0 games back in the National League. The bookies have set the over/under at 9.0, with the Mariners’ line at 108, and the Brewers on tap at -130. The Mariners are riding high on their recent 5-3 victory against the Brewers, who are looking to bounce back from the same defeat. The weather’s looking a bit gloomy with overcast skies and winds blowing from the SE at 15.0 mph, but that’s not going to dampen our spirits. So, buckle up folks, because today, we’ll find out if the Mariners can navigate their way to victory or if the Brewers will serve up a frothy win.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 07, 2024 02:10PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SE at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 44.1° with 73% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SEA ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+108	-130	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+117	-140	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+9	-10	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

131W-112L

46.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

140W-104L

53.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/05/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Over	+2.0
04/05/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+2.0
04/06/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-1.0
04/06/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-1.0
04/17/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+1.0
04/17/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+1.0
04/18/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+2.0
04/18/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Over	+2.0
04/19/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-1.0
04/19/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-1.0

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Emerson Hancock

ERA 4.5 | IP 12 | 0W-0L | KO 6

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-01-24	vsCLE	4-5W	5.3	4	3	1	Push
08-20-23	@HOU	7-6W	2.0	2	0	2	Over
08-15-23	@KC	10-8W	5.0	9	5	1	Over
08-09-23	vsSD	1-6W	5.0	2	1	3	Under

Colin Rea

ERA 4.548 | IP 125 | 6W-6L | KO 110

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-31-24	@NYM	4-1W	5.0	5	1	2	Under
09-29-23	vsCHC	3-4W	5.0	2	0	6	Under
09-26-23	vsSTL	4-1L	1.0	0	0	2	Under
09-19-23	@STL	7-3W	4.7	3	1	2	Over
09-13-23	vsMIA	2-0L	4.7	4	1	3	Under
09-08-23	@NYY	8-2W	4.7	3	2	6	Over
09-02-23	vsPHI	5-7W	4.3	3	2	6	Over
08-04-23	vsPIT	8-4L	4.0	8	6	2	Over
07-30-23	@ATL	6-8L	5.0	5	5	8	Over
07-24-23	vsCIN	2-3W	6.0	5	2	5	Under

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/08	vs MIL	5-3W	10	2	Under
04/07	vs MIL	5-6L	8	0	Over
04/05	@ CLE	0-8L	5	0	Under
04/04	@ CLE	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/03	@ CLE	5-4W	7	1	Push
04/02	@ BOS	1-5L	4	0	Under
04/01	@ BOS	4-3W	7	0	Under
03/31	@ BOS	1-0W	4	1	Under
03/30	@ BOS	4-6L	8	2	Over
10/03	@ TEX	1-0W	4	0	Under
10/02	@ TEX	1-6L	7	1	Under
10/01	@ TEX	8-0W	6	3	Under
09/30	@ TEX	3-2W	8	1	Under
09/29	@ HOU	3-8L	8	1	Over
09/28	@ HOU	6-2W	8	1	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/08	@ SEA	3-5L	5	1	Under
04/07	@ SEA	6-5W	8	3	Over
04/05	@ MIN	3-7L	7	2	Over
04/04	@ MIN	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/02	vs NYM	4-1W	9	0	Under
04/01	vs NYM	7-6W	16	1	Over
03/31	vs NYM	3-1W	8	1	Under
10/03	@ CHC	4-0W	6	1	Under
10/02	@ CHC	6-10L	12	2	Over
10/01	@ CHC	4-3W	8	0	Under
09/30	@ STL	3-0W	8	0	Under
09/29	@ STL	3-2W	7	0	Under
09/28	@ STL	1-4L	5	0	Under
09/26	vs MIA	1-6L	8	0	Under
09/25	vs MIA	4-5L	7	1	Push

Team’s Batting Order

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	7.6	10.2	0.266	0.44	45.3%	89.2%	3.6%
#2 Julio Rodriguez	11.0	14.4	0.275	0.486	36.5%	85.1%	4.9%
#3 Jorge Polanco	8.6	11.4	0.255	0.454	38.1%	83.4%	4.6%
#4 Mitch Haniger	7.8	10.4	0.209	0.365	28.9%	65.4%	2.8%
#5 Mitch Garver	8.9	11.9	0.271	0.503	43.2%	93.5%	6.5%
#6 Cal Raleigh	8.6	11.5	0.232	0.456	34.0%	79.6%	5.9%
#7 Luke Raley	8.4	11.0	0.252	0.496	38.2%	87.8%	5.4%
#8 Dominic Canzone	6.0	8.0	0.22	0.399	27.2%	67.1%	3.5%
#9 Josh Rojas	5.7	7.5	0.245	0.338	33.4%	67.2%	1.3%

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Sal Frelick	7.8	10.3	0.246	0.351	39.8%	74.9%	1.6%
#3 Christian Yelich	8.0	10.6	0.278	0.451	42.7%	87.7%	3.5%
#4 Willy Adames	7.9	10.6	0.219	0.408	35.9%	76.7%	4.4%
#5 William Contreras	8.8	11.6	0.289	0.459	41.6%	87.5%	3.2%
#6 Rhys Hoskins	nan	10.0	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#7 Joey Ortiz	5.7	7.4	0.212	0.242	21.2%	45.5%	0.0%
#8 Brice Turang	6.0	7.6	0.222	0.304	31.9%	62.3%	1.5%

Mariners Notable Injuries

Ty France OUT (1B): Avg: 0.253 SLG:0.37 Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 2.5

Brewers Notable Injuries

Jakob Junis OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 3.0
Trevor Megill OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/01/24. Impact: 1.5