Mariners vs Brewers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 7th 2024
Mariners
4W-5L
April 07, 2024
02:10PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Brewers
5W-2L
Alright, sports junkies, it’s time to get your baseball fix as we gear up for today’s clash between the Seattle Mariners, who are sailing a bit off course with a 4W-5L record, and the Milwaukee Brewers, who are brewing up some serious competition with a solid 5W-2L standing. Our Mariners are setting sail for the American Family Field, ready to drop anchor at 02:10PM EST sharp. They’re trailing 2.5 games in the American League, while our Brewers are just a pint short at 1.0 games back in the National League. The bookies have set the over/under at 9.0, with the Mariners’ line at 108, and the Brewers on tap at -130. The Mariners are riding high on their recent 5-3 victory against the Brewers, who are looking to bounce back from the same defeat. The weather’s looking a bit gloomy with overcast skies and winds blowing from the SE at 15.0 mph, but that’s not going to dampen our spirits. So, buckle up folks, because today, we’ll find out if the Mariners can navigate their way to victory or if the Brewers will serve up a frothy win.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 07, 2024 02:10PM EST
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Weather: Overcast with winds from the SE at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 44.1° with 73% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| SEA ML | MIL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +108 | -130 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +117 | -140 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +9 | -10 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
46.1% Win Probability
53.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 6 | ||||
| 04/06/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 3 | ||||
| 04/17/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 7 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 04/18/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 6 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | ||||
| 04/19/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 5 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 |
Mariners Vs Over/Under
Brewers Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01-24 | vsCLE | 4-5W | 5.3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | Push |
| 08-20-23 | @HOU | 7-6W | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Over |
| 08-15-23 | @KC | 10-8W | 5.0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 08-09-23 | vsSD | 1-6W | 5.0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31-24 | @NYM | 4-1W | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | Under |
| 09-29-23 | vsCHC | 3-4W | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | Under |
| 09-26-23 | vsSTL | 4-1L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 09-19-23 | @STL | 7-3W | 4.7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | Over |
| 09-13-23 | vsMIA | 2-0L | 4.7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| 09-08-23 | @NYY | 8-2W | 4.7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | Over |
| 09-02-23 | vsPHI | 5-7W | 4.3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | Over |
| 08-04-23 | vsPIT | 8-4L | 4.0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 07-30-23 | @ATL | 6-8L | 5.0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | Over |
| 07-24-23 | vsCIN | 2-3W | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Under |
Mariners Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | vs MIL | 5-3W | 10 | 2 | Under |
| 04/07 | vs MIL | 5-6L | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/05 | @ CLE | 0-8L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 04/04 | @ CLE | 2-5L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 04/03 | @ CLE | 5-4W | 7 | 1 | Push |
| 04/02 | @ BOS | 1-5L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 04/01 | @ BOS | 4-3W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 03/31 | @ BOS | 1-0W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 03/30 | @ BOS | 4-6L | 8 | 2 | Over |
| 10/03 | @ TEX | 1-0W | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 10/02 | @ TEX | 1-6L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 10/01 | @ TEX | 8-0W | 6 | 3 | Under |
| 09/30 | @ TEX | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 09/29 | @ HOU | 3-8L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 09/28 | @ HOU | 6-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
Brewers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | @ SEA | 3-5L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/07 | @ SEA | 6-5W | 8 | 3 | Over |
| 04/05 | @ MIN | 3-7L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 04/04 | @ MIN | 3-2W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/02 | vs NYM | 4-1W | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 04/01 | vs NYM | 7-6W | 16 | 1 | Over |
| 03/31 | vs NYM | 3-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 10/03 | @ CHC | 4-0W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 10/02 | @ CHC | 6-10L | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 10/01 | @ CHC | 4-3W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 09/30 | @ STL | 3-0W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 09/29 | @ STL | 3-2W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 09/28 | @ STL | 1-4L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 09/26 | vs MIA | 1-6L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 09/25 | vs MIA | 4-5L | 7 | 1 | Push |
Team’s Batting Order
| Seattle Mariners | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6 | 10.2 | 0.266 | 0.44 | 45.3% | 89.2% | 3.6% | |
| 11.0 | 14.4 | 0.275 | 0.486 | 36.5% | 85.1% | 4.9% | |
| 8.6 | 11.4 | 0.255 | 0.454 | 38.1% | 83.4% | 4.6% | |
| 7.8 | 10.4 | 0.209 | 0.365 | 28.9% | 65.4% | 2.8% | |
|
#5
Mitch Garver
|
8.9 | 11.9 | 0.271 | 0.503 | 43.2% | 93.5% | 6.5% |
|
#6
Cal Raleigh
|
8.6 | 11.5 | 0.232 | 0.456 | 34.0% | 79.6% | 5.9% |
|
#7
Luke Raley
|
8.4 | 11.0 | 0.252 | 0.496 | 38.2% | 87.8% | 5.4% |
| 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.22 | 0.399 | 27.2% | 67.1% | 3.5% | |
|
#9
Josh Rojas
|
5.7 | 7.5 | 0.245 | 0.338 | 33.4% | 67.2% | 1.3% |
| Milwaukee Brewers | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Sal Frelick
|
7.8 | 10.3 | 0.246 | 0.351 | 39.8% | 74.9% | 1.6% |
| 8.0 | 10.6 | 0.278 | 0.451 | 42.7% | 87.7% | 3.5% | |
|
#4
Willy Adames
|
7.9 | 10.6 | 0.219 | 0.408 | 35.9% | 76.7% | 4.4% |
| 8.8 | 11.6 | 0.289 | 0.459 | 41.6% | 87.5% | 3.2% | |
|
#6
Rhys Hoskins
|
nan | 10.0 | nan | nan | nan% | nan% | nan% |
|
#7
Joey Ortiz
|
5.7 | 7.4 | 0.212 | 0.242 | 21.2% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
|
#8
Brice Turang
|
6.0 | 7.6 | 0.222 | 0.304 | 31.9% | 62.3% | 1.5% |
Mariners Notable Injuries
- Ty France OUT (1B): Avg: 0.253 SLG:0.37 Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 2.5
Brewers Notable Injuries
- Jakob Junis OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 3.0
- Trevor Megill OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/01/24. Impact: 1.5
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