Mariners vs Twins Game Breakdown
Mariners
19W-16L
May 07, 2024
07:40PM EST
Odds: 8.0 o/u
Twins
20W-14L
Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Target Field tonight as the Seattle Mariners, hot on the heels of the conference leaders, sail into Minnesota to clash with the Twins who are looking to tighten their grip on the leaderboard. With the Mariners trying to rebound from yesterday’s 3-1 slip against these very Twins, and both teams eyeing the top of the American League with eagle eyes, we’re set for a 07:40 PM EST first pitch that promises fireworks. The betting lines are buzzing, the over/under teasing at a tight 8.0, and with the weather playing nice at a cool 59 degrees under partly cloudy skies, it’s the perfect backdrop for this high-stakes baseball ballet. As the Mariners try to navigate the choppy waters of Target Field, let’s see if the Twins can continue to mine their recent vein of form and ‘twin’ yet another victory!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 07, 2024 07:40PM EST
Location: Target Field, Minnesota
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 87% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| SEA ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +121 | -144 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +123 | -147 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +2 | -3 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
44.8% Win Probability
55.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 3 | ||||
| 07/17/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 7 | ||||
| 07/18/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 10 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 07/19/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 07/20/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 0 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | ||||
| 07/24/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | ||||
| 07/25/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 9 | Over | +8.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 | ||||
| 07/26/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 8 | Over | +7.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 |
Mariners Vs Over/Under
Twins Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01-24 | vsATL | 5-2L | 3.7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | Under |
| 04-26-24 | vsARI | 1-6W | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 04-21-24 | @COL | 10-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | Over |
| 04-13-24 | vsCHC | 4-1L | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | Under |
| 04-07-24 | @MIL | 4-12L | 3.3 | 11 | 8 | 6 | Over |
| 04-01-24 | vsCLE | 4-5W | 5.3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 08-20-23 | @HOU | 7-6W | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Over |
| 08-15-23 | @KC | 10-8W | 5.0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 08-09-23 | vsSD | 1-6W | 5.0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01-24 | @CWS | 10-5W | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | Over |
| 04-26-24 | @LAA | 5-3W | 7.3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | Under |
| 04-20-24 | vsDET | 3-4W | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 04-14-24 | @DET | 3-4L | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | Under |
| 04-08-24 | vsLAD | 4-2L | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 03-31-24 | @KC | 0-11L | 1.3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 10-01-23 | @COL | 2-3L | 6.7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | Under |
| 09-26-23 | vsOAK | 3-11W | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | Over |
| 09-20-23 | @CIN | 5-3W | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 09-15-23 | @CWS | 10-2W | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | Over |
Mariners Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | vs MIN | 1-3L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 05/07 | vs HOU | 5-4W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 05/06 | vs HOU | 5-0W | 10 | 2 | Under |
| 05/05 | vs HOU | 3-5L | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 05/03 | @ ATL | 2-5L | 10 | 0 | Under |
| 05/02 | @ ATL | 3-2W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 05/01 | @ ATL | 2-1W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/30 | @ ARI | 2-3L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/29 | @ ARI | 3-1W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/28 | @ ARI | 6-1W | 5 | 3 | Under |
| 04/27 | vs TEX | 4-3W | 5 | 2 | Under |
| 04/26 | vs TEX | 1-5L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/25 | vs TEX | 4-0W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 04/23 | vs COL | 1-2L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/23 | vs COL | 10-2W | 13 | 1 | Over |
Twins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | @ SEA | 3-1W | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 05/07 | @ BOS | 2-9L | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 05/06 | @ BOS | 3-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 05/05 | @ BOS | 5-2W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 05/03 | vs CWS | 10-5W | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 05/02 | vs CWS | 6-5W | 9 | 0 | Over |
| 05/01 | vs CWS | 3-2W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/30 | vs LAA | 11-5W | 17 | 0 | Over |
| 04/29 | vs LAA | 16-5W | 17 | 3 | Over |
| 04/28 | vs LAA | 5-3W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 04/27 | @ CWS | 6-3W | 10 | 5 | Over |
| 04/26 | @ CWS | 6-3W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 04/25 | @ CWS | 6-5W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 04/24 | @ CWS | 7-0W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 04/23 | @ DET | 1-6L | 7 | 1 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Seattle Mariners | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Josh Rojas
|
7.6 | 9.6 | 0.342 | 0.557 | 48.1% | 103.8% | 3.8% |
| 9.6 | 11.9 | 0.254 | 0.304 | 31.9% | 62.3% | 0.7% | |
| 7.4 | 9.9 | 0.195 | 0.325 | 36.6% | 69.1% | 4.1% | |
| 7.4 | 9.9 | 0.214 | 0.35 | 29.9% | 65.0% | 3.4% | |
|
#5
Cal Raleigh
|
7.0 | 9.3 | 0.206 | 0.43 | 33.6% | 76.6% | 7.5% |
|
#6
Ty France
|
6.9 | 8.7 | 0.248 | 0.345 | 33.6% | 68.1% | 1.8% |
|
#7
Mitch Garver
|
7.0 | 9.4 | 0.163 | 0.316 | 31.6% | 63.3% | 3.1% |
|
#8
Luke Raley
|
6.6 | 8.2 | 0.219 | 0.312 | 26.6% | 57.8% | 1.6% |
|
#9
Dylan Moore
|
5.2 | 6.8 | 0.192 | 0.342 | 37.0% | 71.2% | 2.7% |
| Minnesota Twins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7 | 11.7 | 0.204 | 0.444 | 38.0% | 82.4% | 6.5% | |
| 7.5 | 9.9 | 0.348 | 0.522 | 45.7% | 97.8% | 4.3% | |
|
#3
Ryan Jeffers
|
8.2 | 11.0 | 0.291 | 0.563 | 43.7% | 100.0% | 5.8% |
|
#4
Max Kepler
|
8.3 | 10.9 | 0.311 | 0.492 | 44.3% | 93.4% | 3.3% |
| 7.2 | 9.6 | 0.279 | 0.393 | 47.5% | 86.9% | 1.6% | |
| 7.3 | 9.6 | 0.232 | 0.421 | 32.6% | 74.7% | 2.1% | |
|
#7
Willi Castro
|
7.0 | 9.0 | 0.272 | 0.439 | 36.8% | 80.7% | 1.8% |
| 6.2 | 8.3 | 0.188 | 0.33 | 31.2% | 64.3% | 3.6% | |
|
#9
Jose Miranda
|
6.2 | 7.9 | 0.281 | 0.453 | 34.4% | 79.7% | 3.1% |
Mariners Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Twins Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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