Mariners vs Padres Game Breakdown

Tonight, under the moody overcast skies of Petco Park, the Seattle Mariners and San Diego Padres are set to clash in a showdown that’s as tight as their standings. With both teams hovering just under 50 wins, this 09:40 PM EST game isn’t just another day at the ballpark; it’s a battle for conference clout. The Mariners, sailing smoothly at the top of the American League, and the Padres, who are trying to claw their way up the National League, are both shaking off recent stumbles and looking to add a win to their records. With the betting lines drawn and the crowd buzzing, expect the atmosphere to be electric. As the Mariners hope to anchor a victory and the Padres aim to ride the wave of home-field advantage, tonight’s game promises to be a maritime mashup worth watching!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 09, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Overcast with winds from the WNW at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 68.2° with 87% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SEA ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-150	+126	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-133	+111	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+17	-15	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

149W-136L

57.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

154W-133L

42.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/06/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Under	-3.0
06/06/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-3.0
06/07/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+5.0
06/07/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+5.0
08/08/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-6.0
08/08/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-6.0
08/09/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-1.0
08/09/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Under	-1.0

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Logan Gilbert

ERA 2.907 | IP 117.7 | 5.0W-5.0L | KO 108.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-03-24	vsBAL	4-1L	5.3	6	4	6	Under
06-28-24	vsMIN	2-3W	6.0	4	2	3	Under
06-22-24	@MIA	9-0W	8.0	4	0	6	Over
06-16-24	vsTEX	0-5W	8.0	2	0	9	Under
06-10-24	vsCWS	4-8W	6.7	6	3	8	Over
06-05-24	@OAK	1-2L	7.0	5	2	5	Under
05-30-24	vsHOU	4-0L	6.0	8	4	5	Under
05-25-24	@WAS	1-3L	6.0	3	1	4	Under
05-20-24	@NYY	5-4W	6.0	8	3	1	Over
05-14-24	vsKC	4-2L	6.7	4	3	7	Under

Adam Mazur

ERA 7.519 | IP 26.3 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 15.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-03-24	@TEX	6-4W	4.0	7	4	4	Over
06-25-24	vsWAS	7-9W	5.0	6	4	0	Over
06-20-24	vsMIL	6-7W	4.7	5	3	3	Over
06-15-24	@NYM	1-5L	3.7	3	2	4	Under
06-09-24	vsARI	9-3L	3.0	8	8	2	Over
06-04-24	@LAA	2-4L	6.0	2	1	2	Under

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/09	@ TOR	4-5L	10	2	Over
07/08	@ TOR	4-5L	6	2	Over
07/07	@ TOR	2-1W	8	0	Under
07/06	@ BAL	7-3W	7	2	Over
07/05	@ BAL	1-4L	5	1	Under
07/04	@ BAL	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/02	@ MIN	3-5L	9	0	Push
07/01	@ MIN	1-5L	6	1	Under
06/30	@ MIN	3-2W	5	0	Under
06/28	vs TB	5-2W	5	1	Under
06/27	vs TB	3-11L	6	2	Over
06/26	vs TB	3-4L	3	2	Under
06/25	vs MIA	4-6L	7	1	Over
06/24	vs MIA	9-0W	15	1	Over
06/23	vs MIA	2-3L	6	0	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/09	@ ARI	1-9L	4	1	Over
07/08	@ ARI	5-7L	14	0	Over
07/07	@ ARI	10-8W	14	3	Over
07/06	vs TEX	3-1W	9	1	Under
07/05	vs TEX	6-4W	13	2	Over
07/04	vs TEX	0-7L	2	0	Under
07/02	vs BOS	1-4L	8	0	Under
07/01	vs BOS	11-1W	16	4	Over
06/30	vs BOS	9-2W	12	2	Over
06/28	@ WAS	8-5W	9	2	Over
06/27	@ WAS	9-7W	9	2	Over
06/26	@ WAS	7-6W	8	0	Over
06/25	@ MIL	2-6L	8	0	Push
06/24	@ MIL	6-4W	10	3	Over
06/23	@ MIL	9-5W	15	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	9.0	11.9	0.209	0.345	0.349	0.694	0.284	0.027
#2 Mitch Garver	7.5	10.3	0.179	0.371	0.347	0.717	0.292	0.048
#3 Cal Raleigh	9.1	12.3	0.203	0.386	0.331	0.717	0.293	0.052
#4 Julio Rodriguez	8.4	10.6	0.247	0.335	0.318	0.653	0.272	0.023
#5 Luke Raley	9.7	12.5	0.257	0.452	0.317	0.770	0.318	0.043
#6 Ty France	6.1	8.0	0.228	0.357	0.364	0.721	0.296	0.029
#7 Josh Rojas	8.4	10.7	0.254	0.375	0.367	0.742	0.303	0.016
#8 Jorge Polanco	8.2	10.6	0.189	0.284	0.316	0.600	0.251	0.026
#9 Dominic Canzone	6.1	8.0	0.209	0.388	0.324	0.712	0.292	0.050

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	6.1	7.5	0.312	0.381	0.365	0.746	0.309	0.005
#2 Jurickson Profar	6.0	7.9	0.315	0.502	0.473	0.974	0.384	0.045
#3 Jake Cronenworth	6.0	7.9	0.257	0.426	0.360	0.785	0.321	0.036
#4 Manny Machado	7.6	9.9	0.266	0.412	0.334	0.746	0.307	0.034
#5 Donovan Solano	6.1	7.8	0.286	0.403	0.383	0.786	0.322	0.019
#6 Jackson Merrill	6.2	8.0	0.289	0.454	0.342	0.796	0.328	0.039
#7 David Peralta	4.6	6.1	0.233	0.315	0.342	0.658	0.273	0.014
#8 Ha-Seong Kim	5.3	7.0	0.234	0.393	0.389	0.782	0.315	0.033
#9 Kyle Higashioka	4.8	6.5	0.219	0.526	0.263	0.789	0.326	0.088

Mariners Notable Injuries

Bryan Woo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/26/24. Impact: 6.7

Padres Notable Injuries

Fernando Tatis Jr. OUT (OF): Avg: 0.277 SLG:0.47 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 2.8
Tom Cosgrove OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: -0.3