Mariners vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 8th 2024

Get ready for a clash of the titans as the Seattle Mariners set sail for Rogers Centre, ready to swoop down on the Toronto Blue Jays in a matchup that promises to be as unpredictable as the weather. Both teams are looking to claw their way up the American League conference rankings, with the Mariners trailing by 2.5 games and the Jays lagging behind by 4.0. As the first pitch looms at 07:07 PM EST, the over/under is pegged at a tantalizing 8.0, with the Mariners at -104 and the Blue Jays at -116. The Jays are itching to bounce back from their recent 3-8 loss against the Yankees, while the Mariners are equally determined to erase the memory of their 4-12 defeat at the hands of the Brewers. The weather at Rogers Centre is expected to be partly cloudy with winds blowing from the ENE at 17.4 mph, and a temperature of 44.6° with 70% humidity, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the game. So, whether you’re a Mariner ready to ride the wave or a Blue Jay ready to take flight, this game is going to be a home run of excitement!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 08, 2024 07:07PM EST

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ENE at 17.4 mph. Temperature is at 44.6° with 70% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SEA ML	TOR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-104	-116	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+102	-122	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+206	-6	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

131W-113L

49.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

136W-106L

50.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/28/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-3.0
04/28/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-3.0
04/29/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	0	Under	-7.0
04/29/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-7.0
04/30/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+10.0
04/30/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	8	Over	+10.0
07/21/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-3.0
07/21/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-3.0
07/22/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	8	Over	+9.0
07/22/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	9	Over	+9.0
07/23/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-1.0
07/23/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-1.0

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Luis Castillo

ERA 3.381 | IP 197.0 | 14.0W-9.0L | KO 219.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-02-24	vsCLE	5-2L	5.7	10	4	7	Under
03-28-24	vsBOS	6-4L	5.0	6	4	5	Over
09-30-23	vsTEX	6-1L	2.7	5	4	4	Under
09-25-23	vsHOU	5-1L	6.0	8	5	8	Under
09-19-23	@OAK	7-2W	7.0	5	2	8	Over
09-13-23	vsLAA	2-3W	6.0	3	2	8	Under
09-07-23	@TB	1-0W	6.0	4	0	8	Under
09-02-23	@NYM	8-7W	5.0	8	5	2	Over
08-27-23	vsKC	2-3W	7.0	1	0	6	Under
08-21-23	@CWS	14-2W	7.0	5	1	9	Over

Jose Berrios

ERA 3.654 | IP 189.7 | 11.0W-12.0L | KO 184.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-02-24	@HOU	2-1W	6.0	6	1	2	Under
03-28-24	@TB	8-2W	6.0	6	2	6	Over
09-27-23	vsNYY	6-0L	6.0	5	4	10	Under
09-21-23	@NYY	3-5L	5.7	7	4	6	Push
09-15-23	vsBOS	0-3W	7.0	5	0	8	Under
09-10-23	vsKC	2-5W	7.0	5	2	7	Under
09-04-23	@OAK	6-5W	6.0	4	2	7	Over
08-29-23	vsWAS	5-4L	6.0	6	5	2	Over
08-24-23	@BAL	3-5L	6.0	9	5	4	Push
08-18-23	@CIN	0-1L	5.7	1	0	8	Under

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/09	vs MIL	4-12L	8	1	Over
04/08	vs MIL	5-3W	10	2	Push
04/07	vs MIL	5-6L	8	0	Over
04/05	@ CLE	0-8L	5	0	Push
04/04	@ CLE	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/03	@ CLE	5-4W	7	1	Over
04/02	@ BOS	1-5L	4	0	Under
04/01	@ BOS	4-3W	7	0	Under
03/31	@ BOS	1-0W	4	1	Under
03/30	@ BOS	4-6L	8	2	Over
10/03	@ TEX	1-0W	4	0	Under
10/02	@ TEX	1-6L	7	1	Under
10/01	@ TEX	8-0W	6	3	Push
09/30	@ TEX	3-2W	8	1	Under
09/29	@ HOU	3-8L	8	1	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/09	vs NYY	3-8L	5	0	Over
04/08	vs NYY	8-9L	12	1	Over
04/07	vs NYY	3-0W	7	1	Under
04/05	vs HOU	0-8L	1	0	Push
04/04	vs HOU	2-1W	8	1	Under
04/03	vs HOU	0-10L	0	0	Over
04/02	vs TB	9-2W	10	2	Over
04/01	vs TB	1-5L	6	0	Under
03/31	vs TB	2-8L	6	1	Over
03/30	vs TB	8-2W	7	3	Over
10/03	@ TB	8-12L	13	1	Over
10/02	@ TB	5-7L	7	1	Over
10/01	@ TB	11-4W	16	3	Over
09/30	@ NYY	6-0W	13	3	Under
09/29	@ NYY	0-6L	2	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	7.9	10.5	0.266	0.44	45.3%	89.2%	3.6%
#2 Julio Rodriguez	9.7	12.7	0.275	0.486	36.5%	85.1%	4.9%
#3 Jorge Polanco	8.2	10.9	0.255	0.454	38.1%	83.4%	4.6%
#4 Mitch Haniger	7.3	9.7	0.209	0.365	28.9%	65.4%	2.8%
#5 Mitch Garver	7.8	10.4	0.271	0.503	43.2%	93.5%	6.5%
#6 Cal Raleigh	7.7	10.3	0.232	0.456	34.0%	79.6%	5.9%
#7 Luke Raley	7.3	9.6	0.252	0.496	38.2%	87.8%	5.4%
#8 Josh Rojas	5.8	7.7	0.245	0.338	33.4%	67.2%	1.3%
#9 Dominic Canzone	5.7	7.5	0.22	0.399	27.2%	67.1%	3.5%

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	7.3	9.5	0.256	0.403	36.2%	76.5%	3.4%
#2 V. Guerrero	8.0	10.5	0.265	0.446	39.1%	83.6%	4.3%
#3 Bo Bichette	7.8	9.9	0.307	0.476	35.8%	83.4%	3.5%
#4 Justin Turner	6.4	8.5	0.276	0.454	38.6%	84.0%	4.1%
#5 Cavan Biggio	6.4	8.6	0.237	0.373	40.1%	77.4%	3.1%
#6 Alejandro Kirk	5.9	7.6	0.253	0.361	38.3%	74.5%	2.2%
#7 Daulton Varsho	6.6	8.6	0.223	0.392	31.6%	70.9%	3.8%
#8 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	5.1	6.6	0.242	0.34	33.7%	67.8%	1.8%
#9 Kevin Kiermaier	5.7	7.3	0.268	0.423	35.8%	78.1%	2.2%