Mariners vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 10th 2024

Get ready for some high-flying action as the Seattle Mariners, currently treading water with a 4W-8L record, sail into the Rogers Centre to duke it out with the Toronto Blue Jays, who are perched at an even 6W-6L. The first pitch is set to sizzle across the plate at 03:07 PM EST, so clear your schedules, folks! The Mariners are trailing by 2.5 games in the American League, while the Jays are 4 games behind, making this a crucial face-off for both teams. The betting lines are buzzing, with an over/under set at 8.0, the Mariners at -108, and our feathered friends, the Blue Jays, at -112. The Jays will be strutting onto the field with confidence after their recent 5-3 victory over the Mariners, who’ll be looking to shake off the sting of that defeat. The weather’s looking perfect for a game of ball, with the sun shining, a gentle SSW breeze at 10.5 mph, and a comfortable temperature of 51.8°. So, will the Mariners navigate their way to victory or will the Blue Jays take flight? This game’s shaping up to be a battle of the birds and the boats!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 10, 2024 03:07PM EST

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SSW at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 51.8° with 66% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SEA ML	TOR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-108	-112	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-104	-116	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+4	-4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

131W-115L

51.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

138W-106L

49.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-1.0
04/08/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-1.0
04/09/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Push	-0.0
04/09/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Push	-0.0
04/28/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-3.0
04/28/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-3.0
04/29/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	0	Under	-7.0
04/29/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-7.0
04/30/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+10.0
04/30/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	8	Over	+10.0
07/21/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-3.0
07/21/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-3.0
07/22/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	8	Over	+9.0
07/22/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	9	Over	+9.0
07/23/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-1.0
07/23/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-1.0

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Logan Gilbert

ERA 3.822 | IP 183.7 | 12.0W-7.0L | KO 183.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	@TOR	3-5L	4.0	8	5	3	Push
04-03-24	vsCLE	8-0L	3.7	10	8	2	Push
03-29-24	vsBOS	0-1W	6.7	2	0	8	Under
10-01-23	vsTEX	0-1W	6.0	3	0	7	Under
09-26-23	vsHOU	2-6W	6.0	5	0	4	Push
09-20-23	@OAK	6-3W	7.0	8	3	3	Over
09-15-23	vsLAD	6-3L	6.0	5	4	7	Over
09-08-23	@TB	4-7L	6.3	5	4	6	Over
09-03-23	@NYM	3-6L	3.0	6	4	3	Over
08-23-23	@CWS	4-5L	5.7	8	3	9	Over
04-05-24	@MIL	5-6L	5.7	5	4	7	Over
03-30-24	vsBOS	3-4W	7.0	4	1	8	Under
09-28-23	vsTEX	2-3W	6.0	3	2	5	Under
09-23-23	@TEX	0-2L	5.7	5	2	2	Under
09-17-23	vsLAD	6-1L	5.0	7	5	6	Under
09-11-23	vsLAA	8-5L	7.0	6	3	5	Over
09-06-23	@CIN	8-4W	5.3	7	3	9	Over
09-01-23	@NYM	1-2L	6.7	7	1	9	Under
08-26-23	vsKC	2-15W	7.0	2	1	7	Over
08-19-23	@HOU	10-3W	6.0	8	2	3	Over

Chris Bassitt

ERA 3.536 | IP 196.0 | 16.0W-8.0L | KO 182.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	@NYY	3-0W	5.3	4	0	7	Under
03-30-24	@TB	1-5L	4.3	6	3	4	Under
09-29-23	vsTB	4-11W	5.0	5	3	4	Over
09-24-23	@TB	9-5W	4.0	9	3	7	Over
09-19-23	@NYY	7-1W	5.0	4	1	7	Push
09-13-23	vsTEX	10-0L	5.0	5	6	3	Over
09-08-23	vsKC	4-5W	5.0	3	1	8	Over
09-02-23	@COL	7-8L	4.7	6	6	6	Over
08-27-23	vsCLE	10-7L	6.0	6	4	8	Over
08-22-23	@BAL	6-3W	4.7	7	3	6	Over
04-09-24	vsSEA	3-5W	6.7	5	1	8	Push
04-03-24	@HOU	0-8L	4.3	9	4	3	Push
03-29-24	@TB	2-8L	5.0	6	5	6	Over
09-28-23	vsNYY	0-6W	7.7	5	0	12	Under
09-22-23	@TB	6-2W	6.7	6	2	8	Push
09-16-23	vsBOS	3-4W	7.0	4	2	5	Under
09-11-23	vsTEX	10-4L	5.3	9	5	3	Over
09-05-23	@OAK	7-1W	8.0	7	1	7	Push
08-30-23	vsWAS	0-7W	8.0	3	0	3	Under
08-25-23	vsCLE	5-2L	5.7	7	4	5	Under

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	vs TOR	3-5L	6	2	Push
04/10	vs TOR	2-5L	7	2	Under
04/09	vs MIL	4-12L	8	1	Over
04/08	vs MIL	5-3W	10	2	Push
04/07	vs MIL	5-6L	8	0	Over
04/05	@ CLE	0-8L	5	0	Push
04/04	@ CLE	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/03	@ CLE	5-4W	7	1	Over
04/02	@ BOS	1-5L	4	0	Under
04/01	@ BOS	4-3W	7	0	Under
03/31	@ BOS	1-0W	4	1	Under
03/30	@ BOS	4-6L	8	2	Over
10/03	@ TEX	1-0W	4	0	Under
10/02	@ TEX	1-6L	7	1	Under
10/01	@ TEX	8-0W	6	3	Push

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	@ SEA	5-3W	11	1	Push
04/10	@ SEA	5-2W	11	0	Under
04/09	vs NYY	3-8L	5	0	Over
04/08	vs NYY	8-9L	12	1	Over
04/07	vs NYY	3-0W	7	1	Under
04/05	vs HOU	0-8L	1	0	Push
04/04	vs HOU	2-1W	8	1	Under
04/03	vs HOU	0-10L	0	0	Over
04/02	vs TB	9-2W	10	2	Over
04/01	vs TB	1-5L	6	0	Under
03/31	vs TB	2-8L	6	1	Over
03/30	vs TB	8-2W	7	3	Over
10/03	@ TB	8-12L	13	1	Over
10/02	@ TB	5-7L	7	1	Over
10/01	@ TB	11-4W	16	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	8.4	11.2	0.266	0.44	45.3%	89.2%	3.6%
#2 Julio Rodriguez	9.6	12.5	0.275	0.486	36.5%	85.1%	4.9%
#3 Jorge Polanco	8.7	11.5	0.255	0.454	38.1%	83.4%	4.6%
#4 Ty France	6.7	8.8	0.253	0.37	38.4%	75.3%	2.1%
#5 Mitch Haniger	6.4	8.6	0.209	0.365	28.9%	65.4%	2.8%
#6 Mitch Garver	7.2	9.6	0.271	0.503	43.2%	93.5%	6.5%
#7 Cal Raleigh	7.7	10.3	0.232	0.456	34.0%	79.6%	5.9%
#8 Dominic Canzone	6.3	8.3	0.22	0.399	27.2%	67.1%	3.5%
#8 Dylan Moore	6.6	8.8	0.207	0.428	34.5%	77.2%	4.8%
#9 Josh Rojas	5.5	7.2	0.245	0.338	33.4%	67.2%	1.3%
#9 Luis Urias	6.2	8.5	0.194	0.299	41.0%	70.8%	2.1%

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	7.8	10.1	0.256	0.403	36.2%	76.5%	3.4%
#2 V. Guerrero	8.9	11.8	0.265	0.446	39.1%	83.6%	4.3%
#3 Bo Bichette	8.6	10.9	0.307	0.476	35.8%	83.4%	3.5%
#4 Justin Turner	6.9	9.1	0.276	0.454	38.6%	84.0%	4.1%
#5 Davis Schneider	7.2	9.7	0.276	0.603	49.1%	109.5%	6.9%
#6 Cavan Biggio	5.6	7.5	0.237	0.373	40.1%	77.4%	3.1%
#7 Kevin Kiermaier	5.7	7.3	0.268	0.423	35.8%	78.1%	2.2%
#7 Alejandro Kirk	6.1	7.9	0.253	0.361	38.3%	74.5%	2.2%
#8 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	5.2	6.8	0.242	0.34	33.7%	67.8%	1.8%
#9 Daulton Varsho	5.8	7.6	0.223	0.392	31.6%	70.9%	3.8%