Giants vs Marlins Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 15th 2024

Get ready to dive into the MLB frenzy as the San Francisco Giants, sitting at 6-10, roll into the sunny climes of LoanDepot Park to face off against the struggling Miami Marlins, who’ve netted a 3-13 record so far this season. The clock’s ticking down to a 06:40 PM EST showdown that promises more twists and turns than a telenovela. With the Giants looking to climb out of a 4-game pit and the Marlins hoping to find their fins 7 games underwater, the stakes are high. Toss in a betting line that sees the Giants as slight favorites and an over/under of 8, and you know the pitchers will be sweating bullets—though, thankfully, not from the weather, which is as calm as a sea with no wind, perfect degrees, and bone-dry humidity. Both teams are itching to rebound from their last outings, where they fell hard and fast. So, who’s ready to see if the Giants can tower over the competition, or will the Marlins make a splash and swim past the expectations?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 15, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: with winds from the at 0.0 mph. Temperature is at 0.0° with 0% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SF ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-120	+100	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-113	-107	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+7	-207	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

125W-126L

53.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

119W-129L

46.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/17/23	San Francisco Giants SF	3	Under	-1.0
04/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.0
04/18/23	San Francisco Giants SF	2	Under	-2.0
04/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.0
04/19/23	San Francisco Giants SF	5	Under	-1.0
04/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.0
05/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-1.0
05/19/23	San Francisco Giants SF	4	Under	-1.0
05/20/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-7.0
05/20/23	San Francisco Giants SF	0	Under	-7.0
05/21/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+4.0
05/21/23	San Francisco Giants SF	7	Over	+4.0

Giants Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Kyle Harrison

ERA 4.154 | IP 34.7 | 1.0W-1.0L | KO 35.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	@TB	4-9L	4.0	6	7	4	Over
04-08-24	vsWAS	8-1L	3.0	3	3	5	Over
09-25-23	vsSF	1-2W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
09-19-23	@COL	0-2W	7.0	0	0	10	Under
09-13-23	@LAD	6-1L	6.0	1	0	8	Under
09-08-23	@HOU	11-2L	6.0	5	2	8	Over
09-02-23	@SF	1-6L	6.0	3	0	8	Under
08-28-23	@STL	4-1L	7.0	2	0	9	Under
08-22-23	@MIA	3-0L	6.0	6	3	8	Under
08-16-23	@BAL	2-5W	6.0	3	2	5	Under
04-09-24	vsWAS	5-3L	6.0	5	3	8	Under
04-03-24	@LAD	4-5L	5.0	6	4	4	Over
03-29-24	@SD	8-3W	6.0	6	2	5	Over
10-01-23	vsLAD	5-2L	5.0	0	0	4	Under
09-21-23	@LAD	2-7L	5.3	3	2	2	Over
09-13-23	vsCLE	5-6W	4.0	7	5	3	Over
09-08-23	vsCOL	8-9W	5.0	5	4	5	Over
09-02-23	@SD	1-6L	5.7	6	6	5	Under
08-28-23	vsCIN	1-4W	6.3	3	0	11	Under
08-22-23	@PHI	3-4L	3.3	5	2	5	Under

Jesús Luzardo

ERA 3.76 | IP 172.3 | 9.0W-10.0L | KO 199.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-29-23	@PIT	4-3W	3.7	6	3	3	Under
09-24-23	vsMIL	1-6W	5.0	5	1	5	Under
09-18-23	vsNYM	2-1L	5.3	4	1	4	Under
09-12-23	@MIL	1-3L	4.7	1	2	5	Under
09-06-23	vsLAD	4-11W	4.0	1	0	8	Over
07-31-23	vsPHI	4-2L	3.0	2	2	3	Under
07-25-23	@TB	1-4L	2.0	4	3	0	Under
07-18-23	@STL	2-5L	5.0	2	1	6	Under
06-13-23	@SEA	3-9L	4.0	4	5	4	Over
06-07-23	vsKC	1-6W	5.0	2	1	4	Under
04-14-24	vsATL	9-7L	5.0	7	5	4	Over
04-08-24	@NYY	0-7L	4.7	8	7	4	Under
04-02-24	vsLAA	3-1L	5.3	4	3	5	Under
03-28-24	vsPIT	6-5L	5.0	2	2	8	Over
10-02-23	@NYM	0-1L	7.3	4	0	10	Under
09-23-23	vsMIL	4-5W	5.0	3	3	4	Over
09-17-23	vsATL	2-16W	6.0	4	0	8	Over
09-11-23	@MIL	0-12L	5.0	10	6	5	Over
09-05-23	vsLAD	3-6W	6.0	4	2	6	Over
08-30-23	vsTB	3-0L	6.0	1	0	8	Under

Giants Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	vs TB	4-9L	10	1	Over
04/15	vs TB	11-2W	13	5	Over
04/14	vs TB	1-2L	6	0	Under
04/12	@ WAS	7-1W	12	0	Under
04/11	@ WAS	3-5L	10	0	Under
04/10	@ WAS	1-7L	6	0	Under
04/09	@ SD	3-2W	6	0	Under
04/08	@ SD	0-4L	4	0	Under
04/07	@ SD	3-2W	5	0	Under
04/05	vs LAD	4-5L	5	2	Over
04/04	vs LAD	4-5L	9	1	Over
04/03	vs LAD	3-8L	8	1	Over
04/02	vs SD	4-13L	5	1	Over
04/01	vs SD	9-6W	9	2	Over
03/31	vs SD	8-3W	13	2	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	@ ATL	7-9L	9	2	Over
04/15	@ ATL	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/14	@ ATL	1-8L	6	0	Over
04/12	vs NYY	5-2W	6	1	Under
04/11	vs NYY	2-3L	4	0	Under
04/10	vs NYY	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/09	vs STL	10-3W	13	2	Over
04/08	vs STL	1-3L	8	0	Under
04/06	vs STL	5-8L	9	3	Over
04/05	@ LAA	2-10L	4	0	Over
04/04	@ LAA	1-3L	5	1	Under
04/03	@ LAA	4-7L	9	0	Over
04/02	@ PIT	7-9L	7	3	Over
04/01	@ PIT	3-9L	5	0	Over
03/31	@ PIT	2-7L	9	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Francisco Giants	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#2 LaMonte Wade Jr.	7.8	10.3	0.256	0.417	44.8%	86.5%	4.0%
#3 Jorge Soler	8.8	11.7	0.248	0.51	39.2%	90.2%	7.2%
#4 Michael Conforto	7.3	9.8	0.239	0.386	38.8%	77.4%	3.7%
#5 Matt Chapman	8.3	11.0	0.239	0.42	37.3%	79.3%	3.4%
#6 Thairo Estrada	7.9	10.0	0.271	0.416	33.7%	75.4%	2.8%
#7 Mike Yastrzemski	7.2	9.6	0.235	0.448	37.8%	82.6%	4.6%
#8 Patrick Bailey	5.6	7.4	0.236	0.363	31.1%	67.4%	2.2%
#8 Tom Murphy	6.1	7.9	0.29	0.538	36.6%	90.3%	5.5%
#9 Nick Ahmed	5.2	6.6	0.212	0.303	27.3%	57.6%	1.0%

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.9	9.9	0.356	0.472	42.5%	89.6%	1.8%
#2 Josh Bell	8.1	10.6	0.247	0.419	36.6%	78.6%	4.0%
#3 Jake Burger	7.4	9.8	0.248	0.518	33.8%	85.7%	7.0%
#4 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.4	10.9	0.252	0.462	33.1%	79.3%	5.4%
#6 Tim Anderson	6.7	8.3	0.248	0.299	30.7%	60.7%	0.2%
#6 Bryan De La Cruz	6.6	8.5	0.253	0.401	32.5%	72.6%	3.1%
#7 Nick Gordon	5.9	7.8	0.176	0.319	18.7%	50.5%	2.2%
#7 Emmanuel Rivera	5.6	7.2	0.265	0.364	35.2%	71.5%	1.6%
#8 C. Bethancourt	5.5	7.2	0.228	0.385	26.6%	65.1%	3.5%
#8 Nick Fortes	5.2	6.8	0.203	0.3	28.6%	58.6%	2.1%