Giants vs Marlins Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 17th 2024

Hey sports fans, buckle up for a midday showdown that’s stirring up more heat than a Miami beach at noon! The San Francisco Giants, trying to claw their way up from a 7-11 slump, are rolling into the sunny climes of LoanDepot Park to face the Miami Marlins, who’ve been floundering at 4-14 but just netted a win against these very Giants. With the first pitch at 12:10PM EST, the stakes are as high as the Florida humidity (60%, to be exact). The betting gods have the over/under at 8.5, with the Giants slightly favored. But remember, the Marlins just schooled the Giants in their last meet-up—can San Fran turn the tides today in this National League clash, or will Miami ride the wave of their recent victory? As the winds whip from the east at a breezy 13.6 mph, we’re all set to see if the Giants can build a bridge to victory, or if the Marlins will keep swimming strong.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 17, 2024 12:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 77.0° with 60% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SF ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-115	-105	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-102	-118	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+13	-13	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

126W-127L

50.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

120W-130L

49.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	San Francisco Giants SF	4	Under	-1.5
04/15/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-1.5
04/16/24	San Francisco Giants SF	3	Over	+0.5
04/16/24	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+0.5
04/17/23	San Francisco Giants SF	3	Under	-1.5
04/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
04/18/23	San Francisco Giants SF	2	Under	-2.5
04/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
04/19/23	San Francisco Giants SF	5	Under	-1.5
04/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
05/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-1.5
05/19/23	San Francisco Giants SF	4	Under	-1.5
05/20/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-7.5
05/20/23	San Francisco Giants SF	0	Under	-7.5
05/21/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+3.5
05/21/23	San Francisco Giants SF	7	Over	+3.5

Giants Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Keaton Winn

ERA 4.677 | IP 42.3 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 35.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-16-24	@MIA	3-6L	5.0	3	2	5	Over
04-10-24	vsWAS	1-7W	6.0	4	1	2	Under
04-05-24	vsSD	2-3W	7.0	5	2	5	Under
03-30-24	@SD	9-6W	5.0	3	0	6	Over
09-30-23	@TB	7-5L	2.0	3	3	2	Over
09-24-23	@TB	9-5L	1.0	0	0	0	Over
09-22-23	@TB	6-2L	1.0	2	0	3	Under
09-20-23	@NYY	6-1L	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-19-23	@NYY	7-1L	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-16-23	@BOS	3-4W	1.0	1	1	1	Under
04-12-24	@TB	1-2L	5.0	5	2	6	Under
04-06-24	vsSD	4-0L	6.0	3	4	1	Under
04-01-24	@LAD	3-8L	5.0	4	3	6	Over
09-29-23	vsLAD	6-2L	5.3	6	6	5	Under
09-16-23	@COL	5-9L	4.0	3	3	5	Over
09-10-23	vsCOL	3-6W	6.0	5	3	9	Over
09-03-23	@SD	0-4L	5.0	4	0	2	Under
07-04-23	vsSEA	6-0L	4.0	6	3	2	Under
06-29-23	@TOR	1-2L	6.0	3	2	3	Under
06-24-23	vsARI	6-7W	3.0	5	3	3	Over

Ryan Weathers

ERA 6.711 | IP 57.7 | 1.0W-8.0L | KO 43.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-12-24	vsATL	8-1L	5.0	8	2	5	Over
04-06-24	@STL	1-3L	5.0	5	3	3	Under
03-31-24	vsPIT	9-7L	5.0	7	4	6	Over
04-19-23	vsSF	5-2L	3.0	3	1	3	Under
04-14-23	vsARI	1-5W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
04-08-23	@NYM	2-5L	4.7	4	3	5	Under
04-02-23	vsNYM	5-1L	4.3	4	4	4	Under
09-17-22	vsWAS	5-1L	1.0	3	2	1	Under
09-12-22	vsTEX	5-1L	6.3	4	2	9	Under
09-07-22	vsPHI	5-1L	6.0	5	3	8	Under
04-16-24	vsSF	3-6W	6.0	5	2	10	Over
04-10-24	@NYY	5-2W	5.0	3	0	1	Under
04-04-24	@STL	5-8L	5.0	3	3	6	Over
03-30-24	vsPIT	9-3L	4.0	7	3	5	Over
10-01-23	@PIT	0-3L	6.0	2	0	5	Under
08-21-23	@SD	2-6L	3.3	5	5	4	Under
08-05-23	@TEX	8-9L	3.7	6	6	5	Over
07-15-23	@PHI	4-9W	4.7	6	4	2	Over
06-15-23	@CLE	8-6L	1.7	7	6	2	Over
06-10-23	@COL	3-2L	3.0	3	1	2	Under

Giants Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/18	vs MIA	3-6L	9	1	Over
04/17	vs MIA	4-3W	8	0	Under
04/16	vs TB	4-9L	10	1	Over
04/15	vs TB	11-2W	13	5	Over
04/14	vs TB	1-2L	6	0	Under
04/12	@ WAS	7-1W	12	0	Under
04/11	@ WAS	3-5L	10	0	Under
04/10	@ WAS	1-7L	6	0	Under
04/09	@ SD	3-2W	6	0	Under
04/08	@ SD	0-4L	4	0	Under
04/07	@ SD	3-2W	5	0	Under
04/05	vs LAD	4-5L	5	2	Over
04/04	vs LAD	4-5L	9	1	Over
04/03	vs LAD	3-8L	8	1	Over
04/02	vs SD	4-13L	5	1	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/18	@ SF	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/17	@ SF	3-4L	10	1	Under
04/16	@ ATL	7-9L	9	2	Over
04/15	@ ATL	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/14	@ ATL	1-8L	6	0	Over
04/12	vs NYY	5-2W	6	1	Under
04/11	vs NYY	2-3L	4	0	Under
04/10	vs NYY	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/09	vs STL	10-3W	13	2	Over
04/08	vs STL	1-3L	8	0	Under
04/06	vs STL	5-8L	9	3	Over
04/05	@ LAA	2-10L	4	0	Over
04/04	@ LAA	1-3L	5	1	Under
04/03	@ LAA	4-7L	9	0	Over
04/02	@ PIT	7-9L	7	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Francisco Giants	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Austin Slater	8.5	11.0	0.268	0.399	38.3%	78.1%	2.7%
#2 Wilmer Flores	9.4	12.3	0.282	0.509	39.7%	90.5%	5.7%
#3 Michael Conforto	7.8	10.4	0.239	0.386	38.8%	77.4%	3.7%
#4 Jorge Soler	9.0	12.0	0.248	0.51	39.2%	90.2%	7.2%
#5 Matt Chapman	8.7	11.4	0.239	0.42	37.3%	79.3%	3.4%
#6 Thairo Estrada	8.6	10.9	0.271	0.416	33.7%	75.4%	2.8%
#7 Patrick Bailey	7.0	9.2	0.236	0.363	31.1%	67.4%	2.2%
#7 Tom Murphy	7.3	9.4	0.29	0.538	36.6%	90.3%	5.5%
#8 Nick Ahmed	5.8	7.3	0.212	0.303	27.3%	57.6%	1.0%
#9 Tyler Fitzgerald	6.3	8.2	0.219	0.469	28.1%	75.0%	6.2%

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.5	9.4	0.356	0.472	42.5%	89.6%	1.8%
#2 Josh Bell	7.4	9.7	0.247	0.419	36.6%	78.6%	4.0%
#3 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.0	10.4	0.252	0.462	33.1%	79.3%	5.4%
#4 Bryan De La Cruz	6.4	8.3	0.253	0.401	32.5%	72.6%	3.1%
#5 Jesus Sanchez	7.4	9.7	0.253	0.444	36.5%	80.9%	3.7%
#6 Tim Anderson	5.4	6.7	0.248	0.299	30.7%	60.7%	0.2%
#7 Emmanuel Rivera	5.2	6.7	0.265	0.364	35.2%	71.5%	1.6%
#8 Nick Gordon	5.9	7.7	0.176	0.319	18.7%	50.5%	2.2%
#8 Otto Lopez	6.8	6.8	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#9 Nick Fortes	4.7	6.1	0.203	0.3	28.6%	58.6%	2.1%