Cardinals vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heart of the Major League madness as the St. Louis Cardinals, balancing on a .500 tightrope, swoop into the tropical battleground of LoanDepot Park to clash with the Miami Marlins, who are desperately fishing for wins to salvage their season. As the clock strikes 06:40PM EST tonight, all eyes will be on these National League contenders—or pretenders, depending on who you ask. With the Cardinals flying in fresh off a nail-biter win against the Cubs and the Marlins still licking their wounds from a stumble against the Nationals, the stakes are as steamy as the Miami weather—light rain, brisk winds, and enough humidity to make a ballplayer reconsider his choice of undergarments. Vegas is buzzing too, setting the scoreboard bar at a cautious 7.5. So, as the Cardinals try to nest a little closer to the top and the Marlins swim against the current, let’s see if the birds can keep their wings dry enough to reel in a victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 17, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Light rain shower with winds from the ENE at 17.7 mph. Temperature is at 82.3° with 75% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	STL ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-154	+129	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-164	+138	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-10	+9	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

134W-140L

62.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

130W-145L

37.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/04/24	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+5.5
04/04/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	8	Over	+5.5
04/06/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-3.5
04/06/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Under	-3.5
04/07/24	Miami Marlins MIA	10	Over	+5.5
04/07/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Over	+5.5
07/03/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Over	+1.5
07/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+1.5
07/04/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+9.5
07/04/23	Miami Marlins MIA	15	Over	+9.5
07/05/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	9	Over	+11.5
07/05/23	Miami Marlins MIA	10	Over	+11.5
07/06/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Under	-4.5
07/06/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-4.5
07/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+2.5
07/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Over	+2.5
07/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
07/18/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Under	-0.5
07/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+2.5
07/19/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Over	+2.5

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Sonny Gray

ERA 3.015 | IP 68.7 | 8.0W-4.0L | KO 91.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-12-24	vsPIT	2-4W	7.0	4	1	9	Under
06-06-24	vsCOL	3-2L	4.7	2	3	5	Under
06-01-24	@PHI	1-6L	5.0	5	4	10	Push
05-26-24	vsCHC	3-4W	5.0	1	0	8	Push
05-20-24	vsBAL	3-6W	5.7	3	3	6	Over
05-14-24	@LAA	7-6W	6.0	8	5	9	Over
05-09-24	@MIL	1-7L	5.0	7	6	6	Over
05-03-24	vsCWS	0-3W	7.0	3	0	6	Under
04-27-24	@NYM	7-4W	6.0	4	4	9	Over
04-21-24	vsMIL	2-0L	6.3	5	2	12	Under

Braxton Garrett

ERA 6.097 | IP 31.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 28.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-12-24	@NYM	4-10L	4.7	7	6	4	Over
06-05-24	vsTB	5-3L	2.7	6	5	3	Over
05-29-24	@SD	9-1W	5.0	6	1	2	Over
05-24-24	@ARI	3-0W	9.0	4	0	6	Under
05-18-24	vsNYM	9-10W	4.3	7	6	5	Over
05-12-24	vsPHI	6-7W	5.3	5	5	8	Over
09-27-23	@NYM	2-11L	4.0	3	4	2	Over
09-19-23	vsNYM	3-4W	6.0	5	1	7	Push
09-13-23	@MIL	2-0W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
09-07-23	vsLAD	10-0L	3.7	3	1	4	Over

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/18	vs CHC	2-1W	9	1	Under
06/17	vs CHC	1-5L	4	0	Under
06/16	vs CHC	3-0W	9	1	Under
06/15	@ PIT	4-3W	8	2	Push
06/14	@ PIT	4-2W	11	0	Under
06/13	@ PIT	1-2L	8	1	Under
06/11	@ COL	5-1W	10	1	Under
06/10	@ COL	5-6L	5	1	Over
06/09	@ COL	8-5W	12	0	Over
06/08	@ COL	2-3L	8	0	Under
06/07	vs HOU	4-2W	5	1	Under
06/06	vs HOU	5-8L	11	3	Over
06/05	vs HOU	4-7L	8	3	Over
06/04	vs PHI	5-4W	9	2	Over
06/03	vs PHI	1-6L	5	0	Push

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/18	vs WAS	1-3L	8	0	Under
06/17	vs WAS	0-4L	4	0	Under
06/16	vs WAS	1-8L	7	0	Over
06/15	vs NYM	2-3L	8	2	Under
06/14	vs NYM	4-10L	9	0	Over
06/13	vs NYM	4-2W	5	0	Under
06/11	@ CLE	3-6L	5	2	Over
06/10	@ CLE	0-8L	4	0	Over
06/09	@ CLE	3-2W	7	2	Under
06/07	@ TB	3-5L	7	0	Over
06/06	@ TB	5-9L	12	1	Over
06/04	@ TEX	0-6L	7	0	Under
06/03	@ TEX	0-7L	7	0	Push
06/02	@ TEX	8-2W	12	2	Over
05/31	vs SD	9-1W	16	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Masyn Winn	8.4	10.6	0.289	0.413	36.7%	78.0%	1.4%
#2 Alec Burleson	6.6	8.4	0.272	0.433	31.8%	75.1%	4.1%
#3 Paul Goldschmidt	8.8	11.5	0.227	0.349	32.7%	67.7%	3.0%
#4 Nolan Arenado	8.1	10.5	0.258	0.377	34.6%	72.3%	2.3%
#5 Nolan Gorman	6.8	9.1	0.208	0.442	31.9%	76.1%	6.6%
#6 Ivan Herrera	7.1	9.1	0.274	0.366	37.2%	73.8%	1.8%
#7 Dylan Carlson	7.0	9.2	0.186	0.214	30.0%	51.4%	0.0%
#8 Brendan Donovan	6.1	8.0	0.245	0.372	36.0%	73.1%	2.0%
#9 Pedro Pages	4.7	6.7	0.132	0.316	28.9%	60.5%	5.3%

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.0	10.3	0.257	0.434	35.1%	78.5%	3.8%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	6.4	8.3	0.243	0.409	32.2%	73.2%	4.0%
#3 Josh Bell	6.5	8.4	0.24	0.371	34.1%	71.2%	2.6%
#4 Jesus Sanchez	7.0	9.0	0.233	0.337	30.1%	63.7%	2.1%
#5 Jake Burger	6.2	8.1	0.225	0.361	28.3%	64.4%	3.1%
#6 Nick Gordon	5.6	7.2	0.226	0.363	26.8%	63.1%	3.6%
#7 Tim Anderson	4.9	5.9	0.217	0.233	25.4%	48.7%	0.0%
#8 Otto Lopez	4.6	5.9	0.276	0.397	32.8%	72.4%	2.6%
#9 Nick Fortes	4.1	5.3	0.159	0.227	20.5%	43.2%	1.5%

Cardinals Notable Injuries

Kyle Gibson OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 8.2
Lars Nootbaar OUT (OF): Avg: 0.234 SLG:0.404 Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 3.5
Nick Robertson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/21/24. Impact: 1.4

Marlins Notable Injuries

Ryan Weathers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/09/24. Impact: 7.4
Sixto Sanchez OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/02/24. Impact: 1.1