Cardinals vs Mets Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 26th 2024

Get ready to dive into the hustle as the St. Louis Cardinals swoop into the Big Apple, ready to clash with the New York Mets at Citi Field tonight at 07:10 PM EST! Both teams are chomping at the bit to climb up the National League standings, with the Cardinals trying to flap their wings harder to catch up and the Mets swinging to keep their recent winning momentum. With the odds-makers setting the stakes with an over/under at 8.0, it’s anyone’s game in what promises to be a perfect evening for baseball—sunny skies and just a whisper of a breeze. The Mets look to build on their commanding win over SF, while the Cardinals are hot on their heels after taking down ARI. So, as the first pitch draws near, let’s see if the Mets can continue to ‘Met-ticulously’ outplay their competition or if the Cardinals will ‘fly’ off with an unexpected win.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 26, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ESE at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 54.0° with 38% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	STL ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+110	-132	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+113	-135	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+3	-3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

122W-127L

46.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

146W-103L

53.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/16/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-1.0
06/16/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Under	-1.0
06/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Push	-0.0
06/17/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Push	-0.0
06/18/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	8	Over	+7.0
06/18/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+7.0
08/17/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.0
08/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-2.0
08/18/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Push	-0.0
08/18/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Push	-0.0
08/19/23	New York Mets NYM	13	Over	+7.0
08/19/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+7.0
08/20/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+2.0
08/20/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Over	+2.0

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Miles Mikolas

ERA 6.494 | IP 26.3 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 20.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	vsMIL	12-5L	4.7	9	5	5	Over
04-14-24	@ARI	0-5L	4.7	4	5	3	Under
04-08-24	vsPHI	5-3L	6.7	6	2	3	Push
04-02-24	@SD	5-2W	6.0	7	2	4	Under
03-28-24	@LAD	1-7L	4.3	7	5	5	Push
10-01-23	vsCIN	3-4W	7.0	7	3	10	Under
09-26-23	@MIL	4-1W	7.0	5	1	5	Under
09-21-23	vsMIL	6-0L	5.0	9	6	4	Under
09-16-23	vsPHI	6-1L	6.0	8	5	2	Under
09-10-23	@CIN	1-7L	5.3	7	5	2	Push

Jose Butto

ERA 1.653 | IP 16.3 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 21.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	@LAD	6-4W	4.3	3	2	6	Over
04-14-24	vsKC	1-2W	6.0	2	0	9	Under
04-04-24	vsDET	1-2W	6.0	3	1	6	Under
10-01-23	vsPHI	9-1L	6.0	5	2	4	Over
09-24-23	@PHI	2-5L	4.0	4	4	5	Under
09-18-23	@MIA	2-1W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-12-23	vsARI	4-7W	5.0	2	1	7	Over
09-06-23	@WAS	2-3L	6.3	6	2	6	Under
08-15-23	vsPIT	7-4L	2.7	2	3	5	Over
05-03-23	@DET	1-8L	2.3	1	1	2	Over

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/26	@ ARI	5-1W	8	0	Under
04/25	@ ARI	1-14L	6	1	Over
04/24	@ ARI	5-3W	7	2	Push
04/23	@ MIL	0-2L	6	0	Under
04/22	@ MIL	5-12L	6	0	Over
04/21	@ MIL	1-2L	5	0	Under
04/19	vs OAK	3-6L	6	0	Over
04/18	vs OAK	3-2W	4	0	Under
04/17	vs OAK	3-1W	8	0	Under
04/16	vs ARI	0-5L	4	0	Under
04/15	vs ARI	2-4L	11	0	Under
04/14	vs ARI	9-6W	14	2	Over
04/12	@ PHI	3-4L	7	2	Under
04/11	@ PHI	3-0W	7	1	Under
04/10	@ PHI	3-5L	6	1	Push

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/26	vs SF	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/25	vs SF	1-5L	9	0	Under
04/24	vs SF	2-5L	4	1	Under
04/23	vs LAD	0-10L	7	0	Over
04/22	vs LAD	6-4W	8	1	Over
04/21	vs LAD	9-4W	14	2	Over
04/19	@ PIT	9-1W	10	2	Over
04/18	@ PIT	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/17	@ PIT	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/16	@ KC	2-1W	8	0	Under
04/15	@ KC	7-11L	9	3	Over
04/14	@ KC	6-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	vs ATL	16-4W	16	2	Over
04/11	vs ATL	5-6L	12	1	Over
04/10	vs ATL	8-7W	11	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brendan Donovan	8.1	10.9	0.217	0.348	38.0%	72.8%	2.2%
#2 Willson Contreras	8.5	11.3	0.294	0.529	51.5%	104.4%	4.4%
#3 Lars Nootbaar	7.7	10.4	0.22	0.366	41.5%	78.0%	2.4%
#4 Nolan Arenado	6.9	8.8	0.284	0.379	36.8%	74.7%	1.1%
#5 Paul Goldschmidt	8.1	10.7	0.2	0.278	33.3%	61.1%	2.2%
#6 Alec Burleson	6.3	7.5	0.255	0.294	31.4%	60.8%	0.0%
#7 Masyn Winn	6.8	8.6	0.299	0.403	43.3%	83.6%	0.0%
#8 Nolan Gorman	6.3	8.3	0.198	0.384	26.7%	65.1%	4.7%
#9 Michael Siani	4.7	6.4	0.148	0.222	37.0%	59.3%	0.0%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	8.2	11.3	0.186	0.314	45.3%	76.7%	2.3%
#2 Starling Marte	8.1	10.3	0.29	0.45	35.0%	80.0%	4.0%
#3 Francisco Lindor	8.3	11.0	0.206	0.361	33.0%	69.1%	4.1%
#4 Pete Alonso	7.5	9.9	0.263	0.516	37.9%	89.5%	7.4%
#5 Brett Baty	6.2	7.9	0.267	0.32	36.0%	68.0%	1.3%
#7 Jeff McNeil	6.6	8.5	0.269	0.385	39.7%	78.2%	1.3%
#8 Harrison Bader	5.8	7.2	0.278	0.347	31.9%	66.7%	1.4%
#9 Omar Narvaez	4.6	6.1	0.188	0.25	25.0%	50.0%	0.0%