Cardinals vs Mets Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 28th 2024

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the St. Louis Cardinals flap their wings towards Citi Field, ready to duel the New York Mets in a showdown that’s as evenly matched as a tug-of-war at a family reunion! Both teams are neck-and-neck in the standings, with the Cards and Mets looking to claw their way up the National League conference. The stakes are high with the first pitch at 01:40PM EST, and the betting lines buzzing like a beehive at -101 for the Cards and -119 for the Mets. With the over/under teasing at 8.0, today’s game promises more curves than a rollercoaster. The weather’s playing ball too, offering just a hint of drama with overcast skies and a gentle southern breeze. After yesterday’s face-off where the Cardinals took the Mets down a notch, the Big Apple’s boys are itching for a comeback. So, keep your eyes on the prize because today, it’s not just about baseball—it’s about the Cardinals trying to build a nest at the top, while the Mets swing for the fences!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 28, 2024 01:40PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SSW at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 57.0° with 72% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	STL ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-101	-119	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+104	-124	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+205	-5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

124W-127L

49.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

146W-105L

51.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Under	-2.0
04/26/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.0
04/27/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Over	+3.0
04/27/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+3.0
06/16/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-1.0
06/16/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Under	-1.0
06/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Push	-0.0
06/17/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Push	-0.0
06/18/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	8	Over	+7.0
06/18/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+7.0
08/17/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.0
08/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-2.0
08/18/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Push	-0.0
08/18/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Push	-0.0
08/19/23	New York Mets NYM	13	Over	+7.0
08/19/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+7.0
08/20/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+2.0
08/20/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Over	+2.0

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Lance Lynn

ERA 2.805 | IP 25.7 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 26.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	vsARI	3-5W	5.0	7	3	7	Push
04-16-24	@OAK	3-2W	7.0	5	2	1	Under
04-10-24	vsPHI	4-3L	5.0	1	2	6	Under
04-04-24	vsMIA	5-8W	4.7	8	4	7	Over
03-30-24	@LAD	6-5W	4.0	4	0	5	Over
09-29-23	@SF	6-2L	6.0	2	2	4	Push
09-24-23	@SF	2-3W	6.0	5	2	6	Under
09-18-23	@DET	3-8W	5.0	6	3	6	Over
09-12-23	@SD	2-11W	7.0	5	2	3	Over
09-06-23	@MIA	4-11W	4.7	7	8	1	Over

Jose Quintana

ERA 4.208 | IP 25.7 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 20.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	@SF	2-5L	5.0	7	5	4	Under
04-16-24	vsPIT	1-3W	5.0	4	1	4	Under
04-11-24	@ATL	16-4W	5.3	5	3	4	Over
04-05-24	@CIN	3-2W	5.7	5	1	4	Under
03-29-24	vsMIL	3-1L	4.7	6	2	4	Under
09-30-23	vsPHI	4-11W	4.0	7	4	5	Over
09-23-23	@PHI	5-7L	6.0	8	6	10	Over
09-17-23	vsCIN	4-8W	6.7	8	2	2	Over
09-11-23	vsARI	4-3L	5.0	5	2	4	Under
09-05-23	@WAS	11-5W	7.0	4	1	4	Over

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/29	vs NYM	7-4W	10	0	Over
04/28	vs NYM	4-2W	5	2	Under
04/26	@ ARI	5-1W	8	0	Under
04/25	@ ARI	1-14L	6	1	Over
04/24	@ ARI	5-3W	7	2	Push
04/23	@ MIL	0-2L	6	0	Under
04/22	@ MIL	5-12L	6	0	Over
04/21	@ MIL	1-2L	5	0	Under
04/19	vs OAK	3-6L	6	0	Over
04/18	vs OAK	3-2W	4	0	Under
04/17	vs OAK	3-1W	8	0	Under
04/16	vs ARI	0-5L	4	0	Under
04/15	vs ARI	2-4L	11	0	Under
04/14	vs ARI	9-6W	14	2	Over
04/12	@ PHI	3-4L	7	2	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/29	@ STL	4-7L	7	1	Over
04/28	@ STL	2-4L	8	1	Under
04/26	vs SF	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/25	vs SF	1-5L	9	0	Under
04/24	vs SF	2-5L	4	1	Under
04/23	vs LAD	0-10L	7	0	Over
04/22	vs LAD	6-4W	8	1	Over
04/21	vs LAD	9-4W	14	2	Over
04/19	@ PIT	9-1W	10	2	Over
04/18	@ PIT	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/17	@ PIT	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/16	@ KC	2-1W	8	0	Under
04/15	@ KC	7-11L	9	3	Over
04/14	@ KC	6-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	vs ATL	16-4W	16	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brendan Donovan	7.3	9.7	0.23	0.37	38.0%	75.0%	2.0%
#2 Willson Contreras	9.2	12.2	0.289	0.539	50.0%	103.9%	5.3%
#3 Nolan Arenado	7.9	10.3	0.275	0.363	37.3%	73.5%	1.0%
#4 Paul Goldschmidt	8.2	10.9	0.214	0.296	34.7%	64.3%	2.0%
#5 Ivan Herrera	6.4	8.6	0.212	0.385	30.8%	69.2%	5.8%
#6 Lars Nootbaar	7.5	10.1	0.184	0.306	36.7%	67.3%	2.0%
#7 Masyn Winn	5.8	7.3	0.3	0.4	44.3%	84.3%	0.0%
#8 Nolan Gorman	7.0	9.2	0.204	0.387	28.0%	66.7%	4.3%
#9 Michael Siani	5.0	6.8	0.118	0.176	29.4%	47.1%	0.0%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	9.0	12.3	0.213	0.34	46.8%	80.9%	2.1%
#2 Francisco Lindor	8.9	11.8	0.198	0.349	31.1%	66.0%	3.8%
#3 Pete Alonso	8.6	11.4	0.252	0.515	35.9%	87.4%	7.8%
#4 J.D. Martinez	9.3	11.1	0.375	0.5	37.5%	87.5%	0.0%
#5 DJ Stewart	7.9	10.9	0.2	0.444	51.1%	95.6%	6.7%
#6 Jeff McNeil	6.6	8.6	0.244	0.349	36.0%	70.9%	1.2%
#7 Harrison Bader	6.7	8.3	0.267	0.333	30.7%	64.0%	1.3%
#8 Brett Baty	6.1	7.9	0.253	0.304	35.4%	65.8%	1.3%
#9 Tomas Nido	4.7	6.0	0.273	0.636	36.4%	100.0%	9.1%