Rays vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the action as the Tampa Bay Rays sail into Fenway Park, ready to clash with the Boston Red Sox in a showdown that’s got everyone on the edge of their seats! With both teams neck-and-neck in the American League standings and the postseason dreams hanging by a thread, this 04:10 PM EST game isn’t just another day at the ballpark. The Rays, fresh off a narrow victory against these very Sox, are looking to keep their momentum, while Boston aims to flip the script under the partly cloudy skies of their iconic home. With the betting lines drawing a close battle and the over/under teasing a tight scoreline, fans are in for a treat. So, as the Rays try to shine brighter and the Sox look to sock it to ’em, expect a game where every pitch counts and every swing could tip the scales!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 28, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 6.5 mph. Temperature is at 64.9° with 78% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TB ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+106	-126	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+102	-122	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-4	+4	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

163W-154L

49.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

165W-153L

50.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/13/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Push	-0.0
05/13/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Push	-0.0
05/14/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+1.0
05/14/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+1.0
05/15/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-1.0
05/15/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-1.0
05/16/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+4.0
05/16/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+4.0
05/20/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-3.0
05/20/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	0	Under	-3.0
05/21/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-1.0
05/21/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-1.0
05/22/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+5.0
05/22/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+5.0
09/17/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+3.0
09/17/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+3.0
09/18/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-5.0
09/18/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Under	-5.0
09/19/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-6.0
09/19/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-6.0
09/27/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-5.0
09/27/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-5.0
04/10/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-7.0
04/10/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Under	-7.0
04/11/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+1.0
04/11/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+1.0
04/12/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+8.0
04/12/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	9	Over	+8.0
04/13/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+4.0
04/13/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	9	Over	+4.0
06/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-3.0
06/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-3.0
06/03/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+5.0
06/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+5.0
06/03/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-2.0
06/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-2.0
06/04/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Push	-0.0
06/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Push	-0.0
09/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+2.0
09/04/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Over	+2.0
09/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+6.0
09/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+6.0
09/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-4.0
09/06/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-4.0
09/26/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	9	Over	+8.0
09/26/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+8.0
09/27/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-3.0
09/27/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-3.0

Rays Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Jacob Lopez

ERA 5.226 | IP 10.3 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 8.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-22-24	vsTOR	3-4W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-22-24	vsTOR	3-4W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-17-24	vsBOS	3-8W	7.0	2	2	6	Over
09-11-24	@PHI	2-3L	5.3	3	2	4	Under
09-06-24	@BAL	0-2L	6.0	2	2	5	Under
08-31-24	vsSD	4-11W	5.0	2	2	5	Over
08-20-24	@OAK	1-0W	7.7	3	0	4	Under
08-13-24	vsHOU	3-2L	7.0	7	3	6	Under
08-08-24	@STL	6-4W	4.3	6	4	2	Over
08-02-24	@HOU	2-3L	5.3	6	2	5	Under
08-25-24	@LAD	1-3L	5.0	2	1	6	Under
05-05-24	vsNYM	6-7W	1.3	0	1	1	Over
04-30-24	@MIL	2-8L	3.0	3	5	1	Over
04-19-24	@NYY	3-5L	1.0	0	0	0	Over
10-01-23	@TOR	12-8W	5.3	8	6	4	Over
08-23-23	vsCOL	5-6W	3.0	2	0	1	Over
08-19-23	@LAA	18-4W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
08-14-23	@SF	10-2W	3.0	3	1	2	Over

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-22-24	vsMIN	3-9W	7.7	8	3	7	Over
09-22-24	vsMIN	3-9W	7.7	8	3	7	Over
09-15-24	@NYY	2-5L	4.3	6	4	7	Under
09-10-24	vsBAL	5-3L	6.3	7	3	6	Over
09-03-24	@NYM	2-7L	6.0	1	2	8	Over
08-29-24	vsTOR	2-0L	6.7	6	2	3	Under
08-26-24	vsTOR	4-1L	1.3	0	0	2	Under
08-24-24	vsARI	4-1L	5.0	3	2	3	Under
08-18-24	@BAL	2-4L	5.3	2	3	4	Under
08-13-24	vsTEX	4-9W	5.3	3	4	4	Over

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	vs BOS	2-1W	5	0	Under
09/28	vs DET	3-4L	7	0	Under
09/27	vs DET	1-7L	7	1	Over
09/26	vs DET	1-2L	3	1	Under
09/24	@ TOR	4-3W	7	2	Under
09/24	@ TOR	4-3W	7	2	Under
09/23	@ TOR	3-2W	7	1	Under
09/22	@ TOR	1-0W	6	1	Under
09/21	@ BOS	2-0W	7	0	Under
09/20	@ BOS	1-2L	8	0	Under
09/19	@ BOS	8-3W	12	4	Over
09/17	vs CLE	0-2L	4	0	Under
09/16	vs CLE	1-6L	6	0	Under
09/15	vs CLE	3-1W	8	2	Under
09/14	vs CLE	5-2W	10	1	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	@ TB	1-2L	6	0	Under
09/27	vs TOR	1-6L	7	0	Under
09/26	vs TOR	6-5W	11	0	Over
09/25	vs TOR	4-1W	5	0	Under
09/24	@ MIN	9-3W	10	1	Over
09/24	@ MIN	8-1W	11	3	Over
09/24	@ MIN	8-1W	11	3	Over
09/24	@ MIN	9-3W	10	1	Over
09/22	@ MIN	2-4L	9	0	Under
09/21	vs TB	0-2L	1	0	Under
09/20	vs TB	2-1W	6	1	Under
09/19	vs TB	3-8L	3	2	Over
09/17	vs NYY	2-5L	8	1	Under
09/16	vs NYY	7-1W	9	0	Over
09/15	vs NYY	4-5L	9	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	8.5	10.9	0.284	0.420	0.377	0.797	0.325	0.025
#2 Jacob Lopez	4.5	8.9	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#2 Brandon Lowe	8.0	10.6	0.239	0.471	0.339	0.811	0.330	0.055
#3 Junior Caminero	9.0	11.5	0.244	0.412	0.319	0.731	0.302	0.031
#4 Jonathan Aranda	6.0	8.0	0.240	0.464	0.336	0.800	0.327	0.056
#5 Jonny DeLuca	6.4	8.1	0.218	0.332	0.302	0.634	0.264	0.018
#6 Josh Lowe	7.1	9.0	0.242	0.397	0.332	0.729	0.299	0.029
#7 Christopher Morel	6.1	8.0	0.192	0.333	0.328	0.661	0.273	0.036
#8 Ben Rortvedt	4.7	6.1	0.230	0.307	0.355	0.662	0.273	0.010
#9 Taylor Walls	5.1	6.6	0.187	0.252	0.332	0.584	0.243	0.005

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	8.1	10.4	0.284	0.494	0.375	0.869	0.352	0.032
#2 Trevor Story	6.6	8.5	0.242	0.368	0.358	0.726	0.298	0.021
#3 Triston Casas	7.2	9.7	0.246	0.498	0.403	0.900	0.358	0.071
#4 Luis Garcia	8.5	8.5	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#4 Tyler O’Neill	6.6	8.8	0.240	0.515	0.386	0.901	0.360	0.077
#5 Masataka Yoshida	6.4	8.3	0.287	0.423	0.397	0.820	0.334	0.026
#6 Connor Wong	5.4	6.9	0.280	0.424	0.365	0.789	0.324	0.029
#7 Wilyer Abreu	6.0	7.9	0.253	0.460	0.361	0.821	0.334	0.038
#8 Vaughn Grissom	5.0	6.2	0.194	0.214	0.262	0.476	0.204	0.000
#9 Nick Sogard	4.2	5.4	0.286	0.364	0.377	0.740	0.304	0.000

Rays Notable Injuries

Jeffrey Springs OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 7.6

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Rafael Devers OUT (3B): Avg: 0.271 SLG:0.509 Last game: 09/22/24. Impact: 1.9
David Hamilton OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/30/24. Impact: 2.5
Rob Refsnyder OUT (OF): Avg: 0.286 SLG:0.476 Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 2.2
Kenley Jansen OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/24/24. Impact: 1.1
Brennan Bernardino OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/12/24. Impact: 0.6