Rays vs Royals Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown tonight as the Tampa Bay Rays slide into Kauffman Stadium to clash with the Kansas City Royals at 08:10 PM EST! With the Rays trying to catch some wind in their sails, sitting 10.5 games back in the American League, and the Royals not far ahead, trailing their conference by 7 games, this matchup is poised to be a nail-biter. Both teams are coming in hot off the fireworks of their last encounter where the Rays edged out a 5-1 victory, leaving the Royals thirsty for revenge. The stakes are high, the betting lines are dead even, and with a light drizzle setting the stage, tonight’s game is anything but predictable. So, as the Rays hope to ‘ray-se’ their game and the Royals look to rule their home turf, expect every pitch to have its own reign or shine!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 03, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Weather: Light rain with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 75.0° with 90% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TB ML	KC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-110	-110	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-108	-112	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+2	-2	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

146W-129L

51.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

135W-148L

48.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/24/24	Kansas City Royals KC	8	Push	-0.0
05/24/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Push	-0.0
05/25/24	Kansas City Royals KC	7	Over	+2.0
05/25/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+2.0
05/26/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-4.0
05/26/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-4.0
07/02/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-3.0
07/02/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-3.0
06/22/23	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Over	+2.0
06/22/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+2.0
06/23/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+5.0
06/23/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	11	Over	+5.0
06/24/23	Kansas City Royals KC	9	Over	+4.0
06/24/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+4.0
06/25/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-5.0
06/25/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-5.0
07/15/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Under	-2.0
07/15/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-2.0
07/15/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-3.0
07/15/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-3.0
07/16/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+3.0
07/16/23	Kansas City Royals KC	8	Over	+3.0

Rays Vs Over/Under

Royals Vs Over/Under

Ryan Pepiot

ERA 4.395 | IP 71.7 | 4.0W-4.0L | KO 83.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-26-24	vsSEA	5-2L	5.3	1	1	8	Under
06-21-24	@PIT	10-3W	3.3	3	2	3	Over
06-15-24	@ATL	2-9L	4.7	6	5	4	Over
06-10-24	vsBAL	5-2L	6.0	9	4	9	Under
06-04-24	@MIA	9-5W	6.0	6	3	8	Over
05-29-24	vsOAK	3-4W	5.7	3	2	7	Under
05-22-24	vsBOS	8-5L	4.0	2	3	3	Over
05-05-24	vsNYM	6-7W	2.0	3	3	3	Over
04-29-24	@MIL	1-0W	6.0	2	0	7	Under
04-23-24	vsDET	4-2L	6.0	3	1	4	Under

Will Smith

ERA 4.725 | IP 26.7 | 0.0W-3.0L | KO 17.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-27-24	vsCLE	1-2W	5.3	7	1	6	Under
06-22-24	@TEX	0-6L	5.0	3	1	5	Under
05-31-24	vsSD	11-8L	5.3	5	2	2	Over
05-26-24	@TB	1-4L	6.0	3	2	7	Under
05-20-24	vsDET	3-8W	7.0	6	2	3	Over
05-14-24	@SEA	4-2W	6.0	3	1	7	Under
05-09-24	@LAA	10-4W	6.0	3	3	6	Over
05-04-24	vsTEX	15-4L	3.7	9	7	3	Over
04-28-24	@DET	1-4L	5.7	9	4	3	Under
04-23-24	vsTOR	2-3W	4.3	8	2	4	Under
06-30-24	vsCLE	2-6W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
06-29-24	vsCLE	7-2L	1.0	1	1	0	Over
06-25-24	vsMIA	2-1L	1.0	1	0	0	Under
06-22-24	@TEX	0-6L	1.0	1	0	0	Under
06-18-24	@OAK	5-7L	1.0	0	0	0	Over
06-14-24	@LAD	3-4L	0.7	2	1	1	Under
06-09-24	vsSEA	6-5L	0.3	0	0	1	Over
06-08-24	vsSEA	4-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
06-06-24	@CLE	4-3W	1.3	0	0	2	Under
06-01-24	vsSD	7-3L	1.0	1	0	1	Over

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/04	vs KC	5-1W	9	1	Under
07/02	@ WAS	5-0W	9	3	Under
07/01	@ WAS	1-7L	2	1	Under
06/30	@ WAS	3-1W	9	2	Under
06/28	@ SEA	2-5L	5	0	Under
06/27	@ SEA	11-3W	11	3	Over
06/26	@ SEA	4-3W	11	0	Under
06/25	vs PIT	3-1W	9	1	Under
06/24	vs PIT	3-4L	5	0	Under
06/23	vs PIT	10-3W	17	3	Over
06/22	vs MIN	7-6W	11	2	Over
06/21	vs MIN	3-2W	8	1	Under
06/20	vs MIN	6-7L	8	3	Over
06/18	vs ATL	8-6W	8	3	Over
06/17	vs ATL	2-9L	6	1	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/04	@ TB	1-5L	6	1	Under
07/02	@ CLE	6-2W	11	1	Under
07/01	@ CLE	2-7L	6	2	Over
06/30	@ CLE	10-3W	13	4	Over
06/29	@ CLE	2-1W	6	0	Under
06/28	@ MIA	5-1W	10	0	Under
06/27	@ MIA	1-2L	4	0	Under
06/26	@ MIA	4-1W	6	3	Under
06/25	vs TEX	0-4L	2	0	Under
06/24	vs TEX	0-6L	3	0	Under
06/23	vs TEX	2-6L	6	1	Under
06/22	vs OAK	3-2W	7	3	Under
06/21	vs OAK	1-5L	8	0	Under
06/20	vs OAK	5-7L	7	1	Over
06/18	vs LAD	0-3L	3	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	9.0	11.5	0.270	0.384	0.355	0.739	0.304	0.021
#2 Brandon Lowe	8.5	11.5	0.220	0.455	0.374	0.829	0.333	0.057
#3 Isaac Paredes	8.6	11.3	0.276	0.473	0.415	0.888	0.356	0.044
#4 Josh Lowe	9.1	11.9	0.224	0.414	0.319	0.733	0.301	0.043
#5 Randy Arozarena	8.2	10.8	0.196	0.353	0.357	0.710	0.290	0.038
#6 Richie Palacios	6.8	8.8	0.251	0.348	0.396	0.744	0.302	0.019
#7 Jose Siri	7.0	9.3	0.214	0.415	0.335	0.750	0.307	0.049
#8 Ben Rortvedt	5.6	7.4	0.263	0.375	0.414	0.789	0.319	0.020
#9 Taylor Walls	6.1	8.0	0.160	0.220	0.340	0.560	0.233	0.000

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	7.1	9.2	0.229	0.338	0.304	0.642	0.266	0.014
#2 Will Smith	6.2	13.2	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	8.4	10.9	0.311	0.539	0.398	0.937	0.378	0.037
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	7.4	10.0	0.244	0.431	0.366	0.797	0.324	0.034
#4 Salvador Perez	7.0	9.2	0.278	0.467	0.382	0.850	0.345	0.046
#5 Michael Massey	6.7	8.9	0.283	0.517	0.317	0.833	0.345	0.058
#6 Hunter Renfroe	6.5	8.7	0.210	0.385	0.320	0.705	0.290	0.040
#7 MJ Melendez	6.6	8.6	0.191	0.366	0.281	0.647	0.268	0.034
#8 Nick Loftin	4.8	6.4	0.205	0.259	0.375	0.634	0.261	0.009
#9 Kyle Isbel	5.4	6.9	0.238	0.388	0.301	0.689	0.285	0.029

Rays Notable Injuries

Richard Lovelady OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/09/24. Impact: 0.7

Royals Notable Injuries

Adam Frazier OUT (2B/OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.299 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 1.1
Dan Altavilla OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: -0.1