Rays vs Yankees Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Tampa Bay Rays, just shy of the .500 mark, gear up to challenge the mighty New York Yankees in their own backyard at Yankee Stadium today! With the first pitch at 01:35 PM EST, the stakes are high as the Rays look to claw back from a 10.5-game deficit in the American League, while the Yankees aim to tighten their grip on the conference, sitting just 2.5 games behind the leader. After a dramatic flip of fortunes where the Rays dominated the Yankees 9-1 in their last encounter, today’s game, set under the somewhat gloomy skies with a hint of patchy rain and a breeze from the west, promises another thrilling chapter in this rivalry. With the over/under teasing at 8.5, bettors and fans alike are buzzing with predictions. Will the Rays ride the wave of their recent victory, or will the Yankees strike back with a vengeance? It’s time to find out if the Rays can shine bright or if the Yankees will forge a win in the steel of their iconic stadium.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 21, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the WSW at 3.6 mph. Temperature is at 83.3° with 49% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TB ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+131	-157	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+123	-147	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-8	+10	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

148W-134L

44.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

168W-117L

55.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/19/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-0.5
04/19/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Under	-0.5
04/20/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-6.5
04/20/24	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-6.5
04/21/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+0.5
04/21/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Over	+0.5
05/10/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-6.5
05/10/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	0	Under	-6.5
05/11/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Over	+0.5
05/11/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+0.5
05/12/24	New York Yankees NYY	10	Over	+7.5
05/12/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Over	+7.5
07/09/24	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-0.5
07/09/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-0.5
07/10/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-5.5
07/10/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Under	-5.5
07/11/24	New York Yankees NYY	4	Over	+0.5
07/11/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+0.5
07/19/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Under	-1.5
07/19/24	New York Yankees NYY	6	Under	-1.5
07/20/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	9	Over	+1.5
07/20/24	New York Yankees NYY	1	Over	+1.5
05/05/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Over	+0.5
05/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+0.5
05/06/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-3.5
05/06/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-3.5
05/07/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+6.5
05/07/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+6.5
05/11/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+1.5
05/11/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Over	+1.5
05/12/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+2.5
05/12/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+2.5
05/13/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+8.5
05/13/23	New York Yankees NYY	9	Over	+8.5
05/14/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+6.5
05/14/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+6.5
07/31/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-2.5
07/31/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-2.5
08/01/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-1.5
08/01/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-1.5
08/02/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Over	+0.5
08/02/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+0.5
08/25/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Under	-0.5
08/25/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-0.5
08/26/23	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-5.5
08/26/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-5.5
08/27/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Over	+2.5
08/27/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+2.5

Rays Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Shane Baz

ERA 5.226 | IP 10.3 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 11.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-11-24	vsNYY	4-5W	4.3	6	3	5	Push
07-05-24	@TEX	0-3L	6.0	7	3	6	Under
07-10-22	@CIN	0-3L	2.3	8	7	2	Under
07-03-22	@TOR	0-3L	6.0	7	1	7	Under
06-28-22	@MIL	0-3L	5.7	3	1	6	Under
06-22-22	@NYY	0-3L	4.7	4	1	6	Under
06-17-22	@BAL	0-3L	6.0	2	0	7	Under
06-11-22	@MIN	0-3L	2.3	3	5	2	Under
10-02-21	@NYY	0-3L	2.7	1	1	4	Under
09-26-21	@MIA	0-3L	5.7	3	0	9	Under

Marcus Stroman

ERA 3.6 | IP 105.0 | 7.0W-4.0L | KO 78.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-10-24	@TB	2-1W	4.3	7	1	2	Under
07-04-24	vsCIN	8-4L	5.0	5	5	6	Over
06-28-24	@TOR	16-5W	4.3	5	3	3	Over
06-22-24	vsATL	3-8W	6.7	3	3	6	Over
06-16-24	@BOS	3-9L	5.0	7	4	3	Over
06-11-24	@KC	10-1W	5.7	4	0	1	Over
06-06-24	vsMIN	5-8W	4.7	6	5	2	Over
05-31-24	@SF	6-2W	7.3	6	2	2	Under
05-25-24	@SD	4-1W	6.0	3	0	5	Under
05-20-24	vsSEA	5-4L	7.3	3	1	6	Push

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	vs NYY	9-1W	11	4	Over
07/21	vs NYY	1-6L	7	1	Under
07/15	@ CLE	2-4L	8	0	Under
07/14	@ CLE	2-0W	9	0	Under
07/13	@ NYY	5-4W	9	1	Push
07/12	@ NYY	1-2L	10	0	Under
07/11	@ NYY	5-3W	7	1	Under
07/09	vs TEX	2-13L	5	1	Over
07/08	vs TEX	3-4L	7	1	Under
07/07	vs TEX	0-3L	3	0	Under
07/06	vs KC	10-8W	16	2	Over
07/05	vs KC	2-4L	5	1	Under
07/04	vs KC	5-1W	9	1	Under
07/02	@ WAS	5-0W	9	3	Under
07/01	@ WAS	1-7L	2	1	Under

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	@ TB	1-9L	5	0	Over
07/21	@ TB	6-1W	9	0	Under
07/15	vs BAL	6-1W	10	3	Under
07/14	vs BAL	4-1W	7	1	Under
07/13	vs TB	4-5L	8	2	Push
07/12	vs TB	2-1W	6	0	Under
07/11	vs TB	3-5L	7	1	Under
07/09	@ BOS	0-3L	4	0	Under
07/08	@ BOS	14-4W	14	4	Over
07/07	@ BOS	3-5L	6	0	Under
07/06	@ CIN	4-8L	7	3	Over
07/05	@ CIN	2-3L	5	0	Under
07/04	@ CIN	4-5L	6	1	Push
07/02	vs TOR	8-1W	12	1	Push
07/01	vs TOR	3-9L	8	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Richie Palacios	7.8	10.1	0.245	0.341	0.406	0.747	0.302	0.017
#2 Isaac Paredes	8.6	11.4	0.260	0.464	0.422	0.886	0.353	0.048
#3 Brandon Lowe	9.6	12.8	0.248	0.478	0.391	0.870	0.349	0.056
#4 Randy Arozarena	8.2	10.8	0.211	0.392	0.361	0.753	0.307	0.042
#5 Josh Lowe	8.7	11.2	0.218	0.381	0.313	0.694	0.286	0.034
#6 Jose Caballero	7.7	9.8	0.241	0.361	0.335	0.695	0.288	0.023
#7 Ben Rortvedt	6.2	8.1	0.267	0.364	0.409	0.773	0.313	0.017
#8 Jose Siri	6.0	8.0	0.202	0.378	0.309	0.687	0.284	0.042
#9 Taylor Walls	5.6	7.4	0.160	0.200	0.360	0.560	0.233	0.000

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ben Rice	8.2	11.1	0.220	0.451	0.366	0.817	0.329	0.061
#2 Jose Rojas	8.9	8.9	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#2 Juan Soto	11.1	14.9	0.307	0.580	0.545	1.125	0.425	0.067
#3 Aaron Judge	9.8	13.3	0.311	0.680	0.533	1.213	0.460	0.098
#4 Austin Wells	7.1	9.5	0.216	0.377	0.371	0.749	0.303	0.036
#5 Gleyber Torres	7.3	9.6	0.231	0.346	0.349	0.695	0.286	0.024
#6 Alex Verdugo	7.1	9.3	0.233	0.375	0.317	0.692	0.286	0.028
#7 Anthony Volpe	6.6	8.4	0.248	0.371	0.327	0.698	0.288	0.015
#8 Trent Grisham	6.0	8.2	0.164	0.328	0.319	0.647	0.268	0.043
#9 Oswaldo Cabrera	5.2	6.9	0.236	0.340	0.307	0.646	0.269	0.024

Rays Notable Injuries

No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.

Yankees Notable Injuries

Giancarlo Stanton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.492 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.4
Jose Trevino OUT (C): Avg: 0.244 SLG:0.411 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 1.6