Rays vs Pirates Game Breakdown

It’s showdown time at PNC Park as the Tampa Bay Rays sail into Pirate territory for a clash that’s hotter than the 87-degree weather they’re bringing with them! With both teams hovering around the .500 mark—Rays at 37-38 and Pirates at 37-39—this mid-season matchup is crucial for climbing their respective conference ladders. Tensions are high after yesterday’s game where the Rays swashbuckled the Pirates with a resounding 10-3 victory. With the first pitch at 4:05 PM EST and the betting world slightly favoring the Pirates at -115, fans are gearing up for an action-packed rematch. Will the Rays ride the wave of their recent victory, or will the Pirates plunder a win in today’s sunny showdown? Get ready as these teams battle it out to see who really gets to hoist the flag of victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 22, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 87.1° with 57% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TB ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-105	-115	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-113	-107	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-8	+8	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

144W-128L

53.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

127W-150L

46.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/21/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	10	Over	+4.5
06/21/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+4.5
05/02/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-3.5
05/02/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-3.5
05/03/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+0.5
05/03/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+0.5
05/04/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-3.5
05/04/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-3.5

Rays Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Zach Eflin

ERA 4.117 | IP 74.3 | 3.0W-4.0L | KO 57.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-16-24	@ATL	8-6W	5.7	7	4	7	Over
06-11-24	vsCHC	2-5W	5.7	7	2	3	Under
06-05-24	@MIA	5-3W	4.0	3	2	3	Under
05-18-24	@TOR	5-4W	6.0	9	4	3	Over
05-13-24	@BOS	5-3W	5.0	6	3	2	Under
05-07-24	vsCWS	1-5W	7.0	6	1	3	Under
05-01-24	@MIL	1-7L	5.7	6	3	6	Under
04-26-24	@CWS	4-9L	6.0	9	5	4	Over
04-20-24	@NYY	2-0W	6.0	3	0	6	Under
04-15-24	vsLAA	7-3L	6.3	6	0	5	Over

Jared Jones

ERA 3.759 | IP 79.0 | 4.0W-6.0L | KO 85.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-15-24	@COL	4-16L	4.7	6	6	6	Over
06-09-24	vsMIN	11-5L	5.0	6	3	3	Over
06-04-24	vsLAD	0-1W	6.0	3	0	6	Under
05-29-24	@DET	0-8L	4.3	5	7	2	Under
05-22-24	vsSF	9-5L	6.0	6	3	5	Over
05-16-24	@CHC	5-4W	6.0	7	3	7	Over
05-10-24	vsCHC	7-2L	6.0	7	3	4	Over
05-04-24	vsCOL	0-1W	7.0	1	0	10	Under
04-28-24	@SF	2-3L	5.0	6	3	3	Under
04-22-24	vsMIL	2-4W	6.0	4	1	7	Under

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/23	vs PIT	10-3W	17	3	Over
06/22	vs MIN	7-6W	11	2	Over
06/21	vs MIN	3-2W	8	1	Under
06/20	vs MIN	6-7L	8	3	Over
06/18	vs ATL	8-6W	8	3	Over
06/17	vs ATL	2-9L	6	1	Over
06/16	vs ATL	3-7L	8	0	Over
06/15	@ CHC	3-2W	7	0	Under
06/14	@ CHC	3-4L	7	2	Under
06/13	@ CHC	5-2W	8	1	Under
06/12	@ BAL	2-5L	5	1	Under
06/11	@ BAL	2-9L	6	0	Over
06/10	@ BAL	0-5L	2	0	Under
06/09	@ BAL	3-6L	9	1	Over
06/07	vs MIA	5-3W	8	0	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/23	@ TB	3-10L	5	1	Over
06/21	@ CIN	1-0W	3	1	Under
06/20	@ CIN	1-2L	4	1	Under
06/19	@ CIN	4-1W	8	0	Under
06/18	vs COL	8-2W	15	0	Over
06/17	vs COL	4-16L	11	2	Over
06/16	vs COL	5-2W	9	3	Under
06/15	vs STL	3-4L	7	0	Under
06/14	vs STL	2-4L	6	1	Under
06/13	vs STL	2-1W	3	0	Under
06/11	@ MIN	5-11L	10	0	Over
06/10	@ MIN	4-0W	10	1	Under
06/09	@ MIN	3-0W	4	2	Under
06/08	@ LAD	7-11L	14	2	Over
06/07	@ LAD	10-6W	9	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	8.1	10.4	0.266	0.369	0.362	0.731	0.300	0.017
#2 Brandon Lowe	8.1	10.9	0.219	0.421	0.360	0.781	0.316	0.044
#3 Isaac Paredes	9.1	11.9	0.285	0.468	0.418	0.886	0.356	0.042
#4 Josh Lowe	7.7	10.1	0.225	0.461	0.303	0.764	0.314	0.056
#5 Randy Arozarena	7.1	9.5	0.191	0.354	0.358	0.712	0.291	0.039
#6 Richie Palacios	6.1	8.0	0.230	0.328	0.377	0.705	0.288	0.022
#7 Jonny DeLuca	6.1	8.1	0.153	0.261	0.270	0.532	0.225	0.018
#8 Ben Rortvedt	5.0	6.6	0.265	0.360	0.419	0.779	0.315	0.015
#9 Jose Caballero	5.7	7.3	0.238	0.350	0.332	0.682	0.283	0.019

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	7.4	9.7	0.242	0.398	0.386	0.784	0.317	0.042
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.2	10.6	0.275	0.464	0.381	0.844	0.342	0.036
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.1	10.6	0.242	0.421	0.313	0.734	0.303	0.036
#4 Rowdy Tellez	6.9	8.9	0.234	0.322	0.322	0.643	0.268	0.012
#5 Nick Gonzales	6.9	9.0	0.287	0.463	0.346	0.809	0.333	0.037
#6 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.2	8.0	0.239	0.320	0.345	0.665	0.275	0.015
#7 Connor Joe	6.3	8.3	0.242	0.398	0.356	0.754	0.309	0.030
#8 Jack Suwinski	6.1	8.2	0.176	0.312	0.301	0.614	0.255	0.034
#9 Yasmani Grandal	5.1	6.8	0.189	0.295	0.242	0.537	0.227	0.021

Rays Notable Injuries

Richard Lovelady OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/09/24. Impact: 0.7

Pirates Notable Injuries

Martin Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 3.8
Quinn Priester OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 3.2
Joey Bart OUT (C): Avg: 0.267 SLG:0.517 Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 2.3
Ji Hwan Bae OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.208 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 1.9
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/15/24. Impact: 0.8