Rays vs Mariners Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown as the Tampa Bay Rays sail into the cool, partly cloudy climes of T-Mobile Park to clash with the Seattle Mariners tonight at 09:40PM EST! With both teams neck-and-neck in the American League—Rays trailing by 10 and Mariners just 4 games shy of the top—the stakes couldn’t get higher. The Mariners, fresh off a thrilling 4-3 victory against San Francisco, are looking to keep the momentum going, while the Rays are hungry to bounce back from their recent 1-3 slip against the Dodgers. With the betting lines tipping slightly in favor of the Mariners and an over/under that promises a tight, strategic battle, tonight’s game is all set to be a masterclass in high-stakes baseball. So, will the Rays’ light shine bright, or will the Mariners sail to victory? One thing’s for sure, this game is set to make some waves!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 26, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSE at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 57.0° with 87% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TB ML	SEA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+107	-128	7.0	0.5/-0.5
Recent	+114	-136	7.0	0.5/-0.5
Difference	+7	-8	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

157W-143L

46.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

169W-132L

53.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/24/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+3.0
06/24/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+3.0
06/25/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+10.0
06/25/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	11	Over	+10.0
06/26/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Over	+3.0
06/26/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Over	+3.0
06/30/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	15	Over	+15.0
06/30/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+15.0
07/01/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Over	+7.0
07/01/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	8	Over	+7.0
07/02/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Over	+9.0
07/02/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+9.0
09/07/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-3.0
09/07/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	0	Under	-3.0
09/08/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+7.0
09/08/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+7.0
09/09/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Over	+8.0
09/09/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+8.0
09/10/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+5.0
09/10/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Over	+5.0

Rays Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Ryan Pepiot

ERA 3.885 | IP 92.7 | 6.0W-5.0L | KO 100.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-21-24	@OAK	4-2W	6.0	3	2	5	Under
08-16-24	vsARI	4-5W	5.3	5	2	5	Over
07-09-24	vsNYY	3-5W	5.7	4	1	7	Over
07-03-24	@KC	2-4L	4.0	4	2	0	Under
06-26-24	vsSEA	5-2L	5.3	1	1	8	Push
06-21-24	@PIT	10-3W	3.3	3	2	3	Over
06-15-24	@ATL	2-9L	4.7	6	5	4	Over
06-10-24	vsBAL	5-2L	6.0	9	4	9	Push
06-04-24	@MIA	9-5W	6.0	6	3	8	Over
05-29-24	vsOAK	3-4W	5.7	3	2	7	Push

Bryce Miller

ERA 3.32 | IP 143.7 | 9.0W-7.0L | KO 133.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-20-24	@LAD	3-6L	4.0	5	2	5	Over
08-15-24	@DET	1-2L	7.0	2	0	9	Under
08-09-24	vsNYM	0-6W	6.0	3	0	6	Under
08-03-24	vsPHI	5-6W	4.3	6	4	4	Over
07-28-24	@CWS	6-3W	6.3	7	3	6	Over
07-22-24	vsLAA	3-1L	7.0	3	0	5	Under
07-10-24	@SD	2-0W	6.0	5	0	1	Under
07-04-24	vsBAL	3-7W	5.7	8	2	6	Over
06-29-24	vsMIN	5-1L	5.0	5	2	6	Under
06-23-24	@MIA	4-6L	4.0	6	6	3	Over

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/27	vs LAD	1-3L	5	1	Under
08/26	vs LAD	9-8W	15	2	Over
08/25	vs LAD	3-7L	8	2	Over
08/24	vs OAK	1-3L	6	0	Under
08/23	vs OAK	4-2W	7	1	Under
08/22	vs OAK	1-0W	3	1	Under
08/21	vs OAK	0-3L	2	0	Under
08/20	@ ARI	8-7W	11	1	Over
08/19	@ ARI	6-1W	13	1	Push
08/18	@ ARI	5-4W	10	1	Over
08/16	@ HOU	1-2L	2	0	Under
08/15	@ HOU	2-3L	5	0	Under
08/14	@ HOU	1-6L	4	0	Push
08/13	@ BAL	2-1W	6	0	Under
08/12	@ BAL	5-7L	7	1	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/27	@ SF	4-3W	7	0	Push
08/26	@ SF	3-4L	4	0	Push
08/25	@ SF	6-5W	9	1	Over
08/23	vs LAD	4-8L	9	1	Over
08/22	vs LAD	3-6L	8	0	Over
08/21	vs LAD	0-3L	2	0	Under
08/20	vs PIT	10-3W	13	3	Over
08/19	vs PIT	2-7L	8	0	Over
08/18	vs PIT	3-5L	5	2	Over
08/17	vs DET	1-2L	1	0	Under
08/16	vs DET	2-3L	5	0	Under
08/15	vs DET	1-15L	3	0	Over
08/13	@ NYM	12-1W	12	3	Over
08/12	@ NYM	4-0W	6	0	Under
08/11	@ NYM	6-0W	6	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	6.9	8.9	0.276	0.397	0.363	0.760	0.312	0.021
#2 Brandon Lowe	8.0	10.7	0.244	0.481	0.367	0.848	0.343	0.053
#3 Junior Caminero	7.4	9.3	0.302	0.488	0.419	0.907	0.364	0.047
#4 Christopher Morel	6.3	8.4	0.194	0.349	0.344	0.692	0.284	0.043
#5 Josh Lowe	7.5	9.6	0.232	0.390	0.320	0.710	0.292	0.029
#6 Jonny DeLuca	4.7	6.1	0.190	0.304	0.287	0.591	0.247	0.016
#7 Ben Rortvedt	4.6	6.0	0.249	0.341	0.380	0.721	0.295	0.013
#8 Jose Siri	5.0	6.6	0.193	0.369	0.295	0.664	0.276	0.045
#9 Taylor Walls	5.0	6.5	0.172	0.232	0.344	0.576	0.240	0.000

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luke Raley	7.1	9.3	0.241	0.444	0.356	0.800	0.327	0.050
#2 Julio Rodriguez	7.0	8.9	0.255	0.361	0.335	0.696	0.288	0.026
#3 Cal Raleigh	7.3	9.9	0.212	0.434	0.349	0.783	0.317	0.064
#4 Randy Arozarena	6.4	8.5	0.211	0.379	0.389	0.768	0.311	0.037
#5 Jorge Polanco	6.6	8.7	0.215	0.358	0.348	0.706	0.289	0.038
#6 Dominic Canzone	5.2	6.9	0.199	0.386	0.301	0.687	0.283	0.048
#7 Mitch Haniger	5.6	7.4	0.209	0.347	0.321	0.668	0.276	0.034
#8 Josh Rojas	5.2	6.7	0.230	0.346	0.343	0.688	0.283	0.020
#9 Leo Rivas	4.3	5.6	0.276	0.328	0.379	0.707	0.290	0.000

Rays Notable Injuries

Zack Littell OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/16/24. Impact: 5.5
Richie Palacios OUT (2B/OF): Avg: 0.233 SLG:0.332 Last game: 08/02/24. Impact: 3.0
Pete Fairbanks OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 1.0

Mariners Notable Injuries

Yimi Garcia OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/21/24. Impact: 0.4
Gregory Santos OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/02/24. Impact: 0.4