Rangers vs Astros Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 12th 2024

Listen up, sports junkies! The Lone Star State is about to heat up as the 7W-6L Texas Rangers saddle up and ride into Minute Maid Park, ready to lasso the 4W-10L Houston Astros in a classic Texas showdown. With the first pitch set to fly at 08:10PM EST, the Rangers are chomping at the bit, sitting pretty at 0.0 games back in the American League conference, while the Astros are trailing their dust by 3.5 games. The stakes are high with the over/under set at a tantalizing 9.5, and the Rangers’ line at 111 against the Astros’ -133. The Astros are still nursing their wounds after a crushing 3-13 loss against KC, while the Rangers are looking to bounce back from a 0-1 defeat against OAK. With sunny skies, a gentle breeze from the ESE at 9.4 mph, and the mercury hovering at a comfortable 68.0°, the stage is set for a thrilling showdown. So, buckle up and get ready, because when these two Texas titans clash, it’s not just a game, it’s a full-blown Rodeo. Let’s see if the Rangers can corral the Astros, or if Houston can rocket to a much-needed victory.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 12, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ESE at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 68.0° with 37% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TEX ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+111	-133	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+111	-133	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

$tex Team Logo$

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

100W-140L

47.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

144W-101L

52.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/05/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Over	+2.5
04/05/24	Texas Rangers TEX	10	Over	+2.5
04/06/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-0.5
04/06/24	Texas Rangers TEX	7	Under	-0.5
04/07/24	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-5.5
04/07/24	Texas Rangers TEX	1	Under	-5.5
04/08/24	Houston Astros HOU	10	Over	+5.5
04/08/24	Texas Rangers TEX	5	Over	+5.5
04/14/23	Texas Rangers TEX	6	Under	-1.5
04/14/23	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-1.5
04/15/23	Texas Rangers TEX	2	Over	+0.5
04/15/23	Houston Astros HOU	8	Over	+0.5
04/16/23	Texas Rangers TEX	9	Over	+0.5
04/16/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Over	+0.5
06/30/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-1.5
06/30/23	Texas Rangers TEX	3	Under	-1.5
07/01/23	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-2.5
07/01/23	Texas Rangers TEX	5	Under	-2.5
07/02/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-1.5
07/02/23	Texas Rangers TEX	3	Under	-1.5
07/03/23	Houston Astros HOU	12	Over	+13.5
07/03/23	Texas Rangers TEX	11	Over	+13.5
07/24/23	Texas Rangers TEX	9	Over	+9.5
07/24/23	Houston Astros HOU	10	Over	+9.5
07/25/23	Texas Rangers TEX	3	Under	-2.5
07/25/23	Houston Astros HOU	4	Under	-2.5
07/26/23	Texas Rangers TEX	13	Over	+8.5
07/26/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+8.5
09/04/23	Houston Astros HOU	13	Over	+9.5
09/04/23	Texas Rangers TEX	6	Over	+9.5
09/05/23	Houston Astros HOU	14	Over	+5.5
09/05/23	Texas Rangers TEX	1	Over	+5.5
09/06/23	Houston Astros HOU	12	Over	+5.5
09/06/23	Texas Rangers TEX	3	Over	+5.5

Rangers Vs Over/Under

Astros Vs Over/Under

$Dane Dunning$

Dane Dunning

ERA 3.665 | IP 167.0 | 12.0W-6.0L | KO 136.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-11-24	vsOAK	1-0L	5.0	3	1	9	Under
04-06-24	vsHOU	2-7W	3.7	5	2	3	Under
03-31-24	vsCHC	9-5L	3.7	7	5	2	Over
09-25-23	@LAA	5-1W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
09-20-23	vsBOS	5-15W	2.3	4	4	1	Over
09-15-23	@CLE	3-12L	3.7	7	3	3	Over
09-10-23	vsOAK	4-9W	2.7	4	4	3	Over
09-03-23	vsMIN	5-6W	5.0	7	3	8	Over
08-28-23	@NYM	4-3W	6.0	4	3	9	Under
08-22-23	@ARI	3-6L	4.0	7	5	5	Under
04-07-24	vsHOU	3-1L	6.7	4	3	7	Under
04-01-24	@TB	9-3W	6.3	3	3	7	Over
10-01-23	@SEA	0-1L	3.3	4	1	4	Under
09-27-23	@LAA	5-0W	7.0	3	0	7	Under
09-22-23	vsSEA	5-8W	5.3	4	4	2	Over
09-16-23	@CLE	1-2L	5.0	6	0	5	Under
09-11-23	@TOR	10-4W	6.0	6	3	7	Over
09-05-23	vsHOU	14-1L	5.3	11	9	4	Over
08-30-23	@NYM	5-6L	4.0	5	3	4	Over
08-25-23	@MIN	2-12L	4.0	5	4	6	Over

Luis Garcia

ERA 4.0 | IP 27.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 31.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-11-24	@KC	3-13L	0.7	11	9	0	Over
04-05-24	@TEX	2-10L	3.0	8	5	3	Over
03-30-24	vsNYY	5-3L	4.0	4	1	5	Under
10-01-23	@ARI	8-1W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
09-24-23	vsKC	6-5L	3.0	6	6	4	Over
09-19-23	vsBAL	9-5L	5.3	6	7	5	Over
09-13-23	vsOAK	2-6W	5.0	0	0	7	Under
09-08-23	vsSD	11-2L	4.3	6	6	5	Over
09-02-23	vsNYY	5-4L	4.0	5	5	5	Under
08-26-23	@DET	9-2W	5.0	4	2	9	Over
04-06-24	@TEX	2-7L	5.7	8	3	4	Under
03-31-24	vsNYY	4-3L	5.7	6	3	5	Under
09-23-23	vsKC	3-2L	5.0	7	3	5	Under
09-16-23	@KC	8-10L	4.3	5	5	0	Over
09-10-23	vsSD	2-12W	6.0	4	1	5	Over
09-04-23	@TEX	13-6W	5.0	6	5	5	Over
08-29-23	@BOS	6-2W	5.7	5	2	3	Under
08-24-23	vsBOS	17-1L	2.3	11	10	3	Over
08-18-23	vsSEA	2-0L	6.0	7	2	7	Under
08-12-23	vsLAA	3-11W	7.0	4	2	5	Over
09-10-23	@LAD	7-3L	0.0	0	0	0	Over
05-01-23	vsSF	3-7W	0.0	1	0	0	Over
04-25-23	@TB	5-0W	6.0	3	0	7	Under
04-19-23	vsTOR	1-8W	7.0	2	0	9	Under
04-14-23	vsTEX	6-2L	5.0	6	5	7	Under
04-08-23	@MIN	6-9L	4.0	6	4	4	Over
04-02-23	vsCWS	6-3L	5.0	7	3	4	Under
10-02-22	vsTB	6-3L	6.0	3	1	4	Under
09-27-22	vsARI	6-3L	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-19-22	vsTB	6-3L	5.0	2	0	4	Under

Rangers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/13	@ OAK	0-1L	1	0	Under
04/12	@ OAK	6-2W	12	0	Under
04/11	@ OAK	3-4L	7	2	Under
04/10	@ HOU	5-10L	8	0	Over
04/09	@ HOU	1-3L	2	0	Under
04/08	@ HOU	7-2W	15	0	Under
04/07	@ HOU	10-2W	16	2	Over
04/05	vs TB	4-1W	10	1	Under
04/04	vs TB	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/03	vs TB	9-3W	8	2	Over
04/02	@ CHC	5-9L	8	0	Over
04/01	@ CHC	11-2W	16	3	Over
03/30	@ CHC	4-3W	8	2	Under
10/03	vs SEA	0-1L	4	0	Under
10/02	vs SEA	6-1W	8	0	Under

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/13	vs KC	3-13L	11	1	Over
04/12	vs KC	2-11L	9	0	Over
04/11	vs KC	3-3L	14	0	Under
04/10	vs TEX	10-5W	11	2	Over
04/09	vs TEX	3-1W	4	1	Under
04/08	vs TEX	2-7L	8	0	Under
04/07	vs TEX	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/05	@ TOR	8-0W	15	4	Under
04/04	@ TOR	1-2L	8	1	Under
04/03	@ TOR	10-0W	12	5	Over
04/02	@ NYY	3-4L	12	1	Under
04/01	@ NYY	3-5L	4	0	Under
03/31	@ NYY	1-7L	7	0	Under
03/30	@ NYY	4-5L	13	1	Under
10/03	vs ARI	9-1W	9	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Texas Rangers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Marcus Semien	9.9	13.1	0.276	0.477	39.0%	86.8%	4.4%
#2 Corey Seager	10.5	13.9	0.326	0.624	43.8%	106.1%	7.0%
#4 Adolis Garcia	9.5	12.8	0.245	0.51	37.4%	88.4%	7.1%
#5 Jonah Heim	7.9	10.6	0.258	0.438	34.8%	78.6%	3.9%
#6 Ezequiel Duran	7.6	9.8	0.276	0.445	35.1%	79.6%	3.5%
#6 Josh Smith	6.6	8.6	0.185	0.328	35.9%	68.7%	3.1%
#7 Davis Wendzel	nan	10.1	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#8 Evan Carter	7.5	10.1	0.29	0.629	48.4%	111.3%	8.1%
#8 Jared Walsh	6.6	9.1	0.125	0.279	24.0%	51.9%	3.8%
#9 Leody Taveras	6.7	8.7	0.268	0.423	33.9%	76.2%	2.8%

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	9.6	12.6	0.311	0.522	44.7%	96.9%	4.7%
#2 Yordan Alvarez	10.5	14.3	0.29	0.578	49.0%	106.8%	7.6%
#3 Kyle Tucker	9.4	12.5	0.285	0.52	42.9%	94.9%	5.1%
#4 Alex Bregman	7.9	10.6	0.264	0.443	42.6%	86.9%	4.0%
#5 Yainer Diaz	7.9	10.3	0.284	0.543	33.0%	87.2%	6.5%
#6 Jeremy Pena	7.6	9.8	0.268	0.387	35.9%	74.6%	1.7%
#7 Chas McCormick	7.1	9.4	0.272	0.489	39.7%	88.5%	5.5%
#8 Jose Abreu	6.8	8.6	0.237	0.384	32.6%	71.1%	3.4%
#9 Luis Garcia	5.3	8.4	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#9 Jake Meyers	5.9	7.7	0.232	0.395	33.3%	72.9%	3.3%