Blue Jays vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready to watch the sparks fly as the Toronto Blue Jays swoop into Truist Park, looking to claw back some dignity against the Atlanta Braves tonight at 07:20 PM EST! It’s a showdown that’s got the stats lovers salivating: Toronto’s trying to shake off a recent tumble, while Atlanta’s eager to chop down that distance from the top of their league. With the betting lines buzzing and an over/under of 8.0, all eyes will be on this clash of the titans under an overcast sky, where the breeze might just carry a few surprises. And while both teams are licking their wounds from their last outings, tonight promises to be nothing short of exhilarating. So, as the Jays try to fly high and the Braves swing for the fences, expect feathers and baseballs to fly in what could only be described as a true battle of the birds and the bats!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 06, 2024 07:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Overcast with winds from the ENE at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 56% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+147	-179	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+141	-170	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-6	+9	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

163W-144L

41.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

184W-121L

58.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	0	Under	-5.0
05/12/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-5.0
05/13/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-1.0
05/13/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-1.0
05/14/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+3.0
05/14/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+3.0

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Kevin Gausman

ERA 4.07 | IP 157.0 | 12.0W-10.0L | KO 145.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-30-24	@MIN	0-2L	5.7	4	2	4	Under
08-25-24	vsLAA	2-8W	7.0	2	1	10	Over
08-19-24	vsCIN	6-3L	5.0	5	4	5	Over
08-13-24	@LAA	6-1W	7.0	6	0	5	Under
08-08-24	vsBAL	6-7W	8.0	3	2	2	Over
08-02-24	@NYY	8-5W	4.7	8	5	2	Over
07-27-24	vsTEX	3-7W	9.0	4	3	8	Over
07-21-24	vsDET	4-5W	6.7	5	4	5	Over
07-11-24	@SF	5-3W	7.0	6	2	3	Over
07-05-24	@SEA	1-2L	6.0	6	2	10	Under

Max Fried

ERA 3.519 | IP 140.7 | 8.0W-8.0L | KO 130.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-31-24	@PHI	0-3L	7.0	5	3	4	Under
08-26-24	@MIN	10-6W	5.0	4	3	7	Over
08-21-24	vsPHI	3-2L	7.0	4	2	4	Under
08-15-24	@SF	0-6L	5.3	5	3	5	Under
08-10-24	@COL	11-8W	5.0	7	5	9	Over
08-04-24	vsMIA	7-0L	3.3	4	5	6	Under
07-11-24	@ARI	0-1L	6.0	5	1	7	Under
07-05-24	vsPHI	8-6L	6.0	11	5	4	Over
06-29-24	vsPIT	1-2W	6.0	6	1	4	Under
06-23-24	@NYY	3-1W	6.0	6	1	4	Under

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/06	@ PHI	2-4L	6	0	Under
09/05	@ PHI	9-10L	16	4	Over
09/03	vs MIN	3-4L	3	1	Under
09/02	vs MIN	15-0W	23	4	Over
09/01	vs MIN	0-2L	7	0	Under
08/31	vs BOS	2-0W	7	0	Under
08/30	vs BOS	0-3L	2	0	Under
08/29	vs BOS	3-6L	11	2	Over
08/28	vs BOS	4-1W	6	1	Under
08/28	vs BOS	7-3W	9	1	Over
08/27	@ LAA	8-2W	7	2	Over
08/26	@ LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under
08/25	@ LAA	5-4W	10	2	Over
08/24	@ LAA	5-3W	8	1	Over
08/23	@ CIN	7-11L	10	3	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/07	@ COL	1-3L	5	0	Under
09/06	@ COL	5-2W	7	1	Under
09/05	@ COL	3-0W	7	0	Under
09/03	vs PHI	2-3L	6	1	Under
09/02	vs PHI	0-3L	6	0	Under
09/01	vs PHI	7-2W	9	3	Over
08/31	vs PHI	4-5L	7	2	Over
08/30	vs MIN	5-1W	8	1	Under
08/29	vs MIN	8-6W	11	1	Over
08/28	vs MIN	10-6W	13	2	Over
08/27	@ WAS	1-5L	3	1	Under
08/26	@ WAS	4-2W	11	2	Under
08/25	@ WAS	3-2W	8	1	Under
08/24	@ PHI	3-2W	10	1	Under
08/23	@ PHI	2-3L	9	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	7.6	10.0	0.217	0.381	0.341	0.722	0.295	0.040
#2 Daulton Varsho	7.1	9.5	0.216	0.415	0.330	0.745	0.304	0.041
#3 V. Guerrero	7.6	10.0	0.325	0.556	0.450	1.006	0.400	0.051
#4 Alejandro Kirk	7.0	9.2	0.244	0.349	0.360	0.709	0.291	0.018
#5 Spencer Horwitz	6.0	7.9	0.261	0.424	0.409	0.833	0.335	0.035
#6 Ernie Clement	5.6	7.2	0.254	0.411	0.289	0.700	0.292	0.031
#7 Leo Jimenez	5.6	7.4	0.237	0.397	0.382	0.779	0.319	0.031
#8 Davis Schneider	5.5	7.4	0.192	0.335	0.329	0.665	0.274	0.029
#9 Luis De Los Santos	4.6	6.2	0.182	0.273	0.273	0.545	0.230	0.000

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Michael Harris II	8.7	11.1	0.248	0.370	0.309	0.679	0.282	0.026
#2 Whit Merrifield	7.5	9.6	0.214	0.312	0.350	0.662	0.272	0.015
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.6	11.4	0.307	0.573	0.427	1.000	0.398	0.071
#4 Matt Olson	8.6	11.5	0.233	0.444	0.355	0.798	0.325	0.048
#5 Jorge Soler	7.2	9.6	0.231	0.415	0.382	0.797	0.321	0.040
#6 Travis d’Arnaud	7.3	9.7	0.240	0.435	0.332	0.767	0.316	0.046
#7 Jarred Kelenic	6.5	8.4	0.238	0.404	0.313	0.718	0.296	0.036
#8 Orlando Arcia	6.2	8.0	0.224	0.367	0.305	0.672	0.279	0.032
#9 Gio Urshela	5.3	6.8	0.248	0.337	0.311	0.648	0.270	0.014

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.222 SLG:0.32 Last game: 08/28/24. Impact: 1.4

Braves Notable Injuries

Austin Riley OUT (3B): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.464 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.8
A.J. Minter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 1.2