Blue Jays vs Orioles Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into your seats at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, folks, because we’ve got an afternoon delight brewing between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles. The Jays are looking to claw their way up from 8 games behind, while the O’s are perched just half a game from the top in the American League. With the first pitch set to soar at 12:35PM EST, the stakes are as high as the humidity, which is sticking at a steamy 96%. The betting lines are buzzing too, with the over/under teasing at 7.5. Fresh off a narrow victory, the Blue Jays are hungry for more, but the Orioles, stung by their recent nip-and-tuck loss, are eager to peck back to winning ways. So, as the drizzle sets the stage, let’s see if the Blue Jays can fly high or if the Orioles will nest another win in their cap!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 15, 2024 12:35PM EST

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore

Weather: Light drizzle with winds from the NE at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 60.1° with 96% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	BAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+108	-130	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+111	-133	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+3	-3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

142W-117L

47.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

131W-129L

52.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/13/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-2.5
05/13/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-2.5
05/19/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+0.5
05/19/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Over	+0.5
05/20/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+3.5
05/20/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+3.5
05/21/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	8	Over	+3.5
05/21/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+3.5
06/13/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+9.5
06/13/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+9.5
06/14/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-3.5
06/14/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-3.5
06/15/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-1.5
06/15/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-1.5
07/31/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-1.5
07/31/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-1.5
08/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	13	Over	+8.5
08/01/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+8.5
08/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-2.5
08/02/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-2.5
08/03/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-0.5
08/03/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-0.5
08/22/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+1.5
08/22/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+1.5
08/23/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-0.5
08/23/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Under	-0.5
08/24/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+0.5
08/24/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+0.5

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Chris Bassitt

ERA 5.063 | IP 42.7 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 40.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-08-24	@PHI	5-3W	6.3	3	2	6	Over
05-01-24	vsKC	6-1L	6.0	4	3	4	Under
04-26-24	vsLAD	12-2L	2.7	9	7	4	Over
04-21-24	@SD	3-6L	5.3	6	4	4	Over
04-15-24	vsNYY	1-3W	6.3	4	1	5	Under
04-09-24	vsSEA	3-5W	6.7	5	1	8	Over
04-03-24	@HOU	0-8L	4.3	9	4	3	Over
03-29-24	@TB	2-8L	5.0	6	5	6	Over
09-28-23	vsNYY	0-6W	7.7	5	0	12	Under
09-22-23	@TB	6-2W	6.7	6	2	8	Over

Kyle Bradish

ERA 1.862 | IP 9.7 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 14.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-08-24	@WAS	7-6W	5.0	4	1	9	Over
05-02-24	vsNYY	2-7W	4.7	4	1	5	Over
10-01-23	vsBOS	6-1L	2.0	0	0	5	Under
09-26-23	vsWAS	0-1W	8.0	3	0	4	Under
09-20-23	@HOU	1-2L	6.0	2	0	9	Under
09-14-23	vsTB	4-3L	7.0	7	4	5	Under
09-08-23	@BOS	11-2W	6.0	4	2	9	Over
09-02-23	@ARI	7-3W	6.0	4	2	6	Over
08-26-23	vsCOL	4-5W	6.0	6	2	8	Over
08-20-23	@OAK	12-1W	6.0	2	0	8	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/15	vs BAL	3-2W	8	1	Under
05/14	@ MIN	1-5L	2	0	Under
05/13	@ MIN	10-8W	16	3	Over
05/12	@ MIN	2-3L	8	1	Under
05/10	vs PHI	5-3W	12	0	Over
05/09	vs PHI	1-10L	6	0	Over
05/07	vs WAS	8-11L	10	1	Over
05/06	vs WAS	6-3W	9	1	Over
05/05	vs WAS	3-9L	7	0	Over
05/03	@ KC	1-6L	4	1	Under
05/02	@ KC	1-4L	4	0	Under
05/01	@ KC	6-5W	12	3	Over
04/30	@ LAD	3-1W	8	1	Under
04/29	@ LAD	2-4L	3	0	Under
04/28	@ LAD	2-12L	5	1	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/15	@ TOR	2-3L	3	2	Under
05/14	@ ARI	2-9L	4	1	Over
05/13	@ ARI	5-4W	13	2	Over
05/12	@ ARI	4-2W	7	0	Under
05/10	vs WAS	7-6W	10	3	Over
05/09	vs WAS	0-3L	3	0	Under
05/07	vs CIN	11-1W	11	3	Over
05/06	vs CIN	2-1W	7	2	Under
05/05	vs CIN	3-0W	9	1	Under
05/04	@ NYY	7-2W	8	3	Over
05/03	@ NYY	0-2L	3	0	Under
05/02	@ NYY	4-2W	9	0	Under
05/01	@ NYY	2-0W	4	1	Under
04/30	@ OAK	6-7L	9	3	Over
04/29	@ OAK	7-0W	9	3	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Davis Schneider	8.0	10.8	0.253	0.463	42.1%	88.4%	4.2%
#2 Daulton Varsho	7.1	9.5	0.214	0.444	34.9%	79.4%	5.6%
#3 V. Guerrero	7.9	10.2	0.276	0.391	43.6%	82.7%	2.6%
#4 Justin Turner	6.4	8.5	0.25	0.411	36.3%	77.4%	3.2%
#5 Bo Bichette	7.2	9.2	0.218	0.306	29.9%	60.5%	1.4%
#6 Danny Jansen	7.3	9.6	0.315	0.667	44.4%	111.1%	7.4%
#7 Cavan Biggio	5.4	7.1	0.195	0.276	37.9%	65.5%	1.1%
#8 Ernie Clement	4.7	5.9	0.27	0.419	31.1%	73.0%	2.7%
#9 Kevin Kiermaier	5.3	6.8	0.224	0.313	29.9%	61.2%	1.5%

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	9.2	12.1	0.264	0.553	38.4%	93.7%	7.5%
#2 Adley Rutschman	8.1	10.4	0.309	0.491	36.4%	85.5%	4.8%
#3 Ryan Mountcastle	6.8	8.8	0.272	0.483	34.0%	82.3%	4.1%
#4 Anthony Santander	7.0	9.5	0.212	0.438	32.9%	76.7%	4.8%
#5 Jordan Westburg	6.3	8.3	0.298	0.518	38.3%	90.1%	4.3%
#6 Jorge Mateo	5.0	6.5	0.239	0.418	31.3%	73.1%	3.0%