Blue Jays vs Orioles Game Breakdown
Blue Jays
48W-55L
July 29, 2024
06:05PM EST
Odds: 8.0 o/u
Orioles
61W-42L
Get ready to ruffle some feathers and crack some bats as the Toronto Blue Jays swoop into Oriole Park at Camden Yards, ready to challenge the soaring Baltimore Orioles tonight at 06:05 PM EST! With the Jays looking to claw back from their 13-game deficit and the Orioles perched right at the top of the American League, this matchup promises all the drama you could want. Vegas is buzzing too, marking the over/under at a tantalizing 8.0. Both teams are flying high off recent victories, and with the weather playing nice—partly cloudy skies and a gentle breeze—it’s the perfect storm for a showdown. So, as the Orioles try to nest another win and the Blue Jays aim to hatch a comeback, it’s sure to be an evening where birds of a feather really do flock together!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: July 29, 2024 06:05PM EST
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the SSE at 6.5 mph. Temperature is at 87.9° with 48% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| TOR ML | BAL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +136 | -162 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +129 | -154 | 9.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | -7 | +8 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
43.7% Win Probability
56.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/13/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 2 | ||||
| 05/15/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 3 | ||||
| 06/03/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 7 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | ||||
| 06/04/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 10 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 1 | ||||
| 06/05/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 2 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 06/06/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 5 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | ||||
| 05/19/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | ||||
| 05/20/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | ||||
| 05/21/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 8 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 06/13/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 11 | ||||
| 06/14/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 1 | ||||
| 06/15/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 4 | ||||
| 07/31/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 4 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | ||||
| 08/01/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 13 | Over | +8.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 08/02/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 1 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | ||||
| 08/03/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 1 | ||||
| 08/22/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 3 | ||||
| 08/23/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 0 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 7 | ||||
| 08/24/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 5 |
Blue Jays Vs Over/Under
Orioles Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24-24 | vsTB | 3-6W | 5.7 | 2 | 2 | 6 | Under |
| 07-12-24 | @ARI | 4-5L | 4.0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | Under |
| 07-06-24 | @SEA | 5-4W | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | Under |
| 07-01-24 | vsHOU | 3-1L | 6.7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 06-21-24 | @CLE | 1-7L | 1.3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04-29-24 | vsKC | 5-6W | 3.7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 04-24-24 | @KC | 2-3L | 4.0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | Under |
| 04-19-24 | @SD | 5-1W | 4.0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 04-13-24 | vsCOL | 3-5W | 3.7 | 4 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24-24 | @TOR | 3-6W | 5.7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | Under |
| 07-19-24 | @NYY | 1-6W | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | Under |
| 07-10-24 | @NYY | 2-1L | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | Under |
| 07-04-24 | @KC | 10-8L | 5.0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | Over |
| 06-28-24 | @WAS | 1-3W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | Under |
| 06-22-24 | @PIT | 3-4W | 7.0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | Under |
| 06-16-24 | @ATL | 8-6L | 5.7 | 7 | 4 | 7 | Over |
| 06-11-24 | @CHC | 2-5W | 5.7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 06-05-24 | @MIA | 5-3L | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 05-18-24 | @TOR | 5-4L | 6.0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | Under |
Blue Jays Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/30 | @ TEX | 7-3W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 07/29 | @ TEX | 7-3W | 15 | 1 | Over |
| 07/28 | @ TEX | 6-5W | 12 | 0 | Over |
| 07/27 | @ TB | 0-13L | 2 | 0 | Over |
| 07/26 | @ TB | 6-3W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 07/25 | @ TB | 2-4L | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 07/23 | @ DET | 5-4W | 11 | 2 | Under |
| 07/22 | @ DET | 3-6L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 07/21 | @ DET | 4-5L | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 07/15 | vs ARI | 1-12L | 5 | 0 | Over |
| 07/14 | vs ARI | 4-5L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 07/13 | vs SF | 5-3W | 10 | 2 | Under |
| 07/12 | vs SF | 10-6W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 07/11 | vs SF | 3-4L | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 07/09 | vs SEA | 5-4W | 10 | 1 | Under |
Orioles Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/30 | @ SD | 8-6W | 9 | 0 | Over |
| 07/29 | @ SD | 4-9L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 07/28 | @ SD | 4-6L | 8 | 2 | Over |
| 07/27 | vs MIA | 7-6W | 12 | 3 | Over |
| 07/26 | vs MIA | 3-6L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 07/25 | vs MIA | 3-6L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 07/23 | vs TEX | 2-3L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 07/22 | vs TEX | 8-4W | 12 | 3 | Over |
| 07/21 | vs TEX | 9-1W | 11 | 4 | Over |
| 07/15 | @ NYY | 1-6L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 07/14 | @ NYY | 1-4L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 07/13 | @ CHC | 0-8L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 07/12 | @ CHC | 0-4L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 07/11 | @ CHC | 2-9L | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 07/09 | vs OAK | 6-3W | 8 | 2 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Toronto Blue Jays | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 11.2 | 0.224 | 0.384 | 0.344 | 0.727 | 0.297 | 0.037 | |
| 6.8 | 8.9 | 0.295 | 0.450 | 0.473 | 0.922 | 0.364 | 0.031 | |
|
#3
V. Guerrero
|
9.0 | 11.8 | 0.297 | 0.486 | 0.416 | 0.902 | 0.362 | 0.045 |
| 7.3 | 9.6 | 0.254 | 0.371 | 0.405 | 0.776 | 0.314 | 0.020 | |
| 7.0 | 9.3 | 0.199 | 0.402 | 0.316 | 0.718 | 0.294 | 0.041 | |
| 6.3 | 8.3 | 0.229 | 0.313 | 0.341 | 0.654 | 0.271 | 0.011 | |
| 6.4 | 8.5 | 0.217 | 0.386 | 0.357 | 0.744 | 0.303 | 0.036 | |
| 5.4 | 6.9 | 0.253 | 0.406 | 0.281 | 0.687 | 0.287 | 0.028 | |
|
#9
Leo Jimenez
|
5.2 | 6.6 | 0.244 | 0.293 | 0.366 | 0.659 | 0.276 | 0.000 |
| Baltimore Orioles | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7 | 11.6 | 0.234 | 0.441 | 0.360 | 0.801 | 0.325 | 0.049 | |
| 9.6 | 12.8 | 0.237 | 0.507 | 0.338 | 0.844 | 0.344 | 0.074 | |
| 10.5 | 13.8 | 0.284 | 0.556 | 0.429 | 0.985 | 0.390 | 0.066 | |
| 8.7 | 11.3 | 0.271 | 0.440 | 0.332 | 0.773 | 0.319 | 0.033 | |
|
#5
Ryan O’Hearn
|
7.7 | 10.1 | 0.279 | 0.467 | 0.387 | 0.854 | 0.345 | 0.042 |
| 8.9 | 11.6 | 0.265 | 0.488 | 0.332 | 0.820 | 0.337 | 0.046 | |
| 7.8 | 10.2 | 0.216 | 0.388 | 0.282 | 0.670 | 0.278 | 0.038 | |
|
#8
Ramon Urias
|
6.3 | 8.1 | 0.236 | 0.366 | 0.335 | 0.702 | 0.290 | 0.025 |
|
#9
James McCann
|
5.4 | 7.1 | 0.219 | 0.328 | 0.285 | 0.613 | 0.257 | 0.022 |
Blue Jays Notable Injuries
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.292 SLG:0.42 Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 4.3
- Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.223 SLG:0.321 Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.7
Orioles Notable Injuries
- Jorge Mateo OUT (2B): Avg: 0.222 SLG:0.397 Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.1
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