Blue Jays vs Orioles Game Breakdown

Blue Jays
49W-57L

July 31, 2024
12:35PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Orioles
63W-43L


Get ready to soar with the Eagles or ride with the Jays! Today’s MLB showdown sends the Toronto Blue Jays swooping into Oriole Park at Camden Yards, where the high-flying Baltimore Orioles are perched atop the American League standings. With the first pitch at 12:35 PM EST under the partly cloudy skies of Baltimore, the stakes are as heated as the 89-degree weather. The Orioles, fresh off a feathery victory against these same Jays yesterday, look to tighten their grip on the league’s top spot, while Toronto is desperate to claw back from a 14-game deficit. Betting enthusiasts will note the game’s over/under tantalizingly set at 9 runs, with the odds tilting in Baltimore’s favor. Will the Orioles continue their dominant flight, or will the Jays find their wings? Today, it’s all about whether the Jays can hatch a plan or the Orioles continue to rule the roost!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: July 31, 2024 12:35PM EST
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the W at 6.3 mph. Temperature is at 89.0° with 47% humidity.
Vegas Odds
TOR ML | BAL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +195 | -240 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
Recent | +210 | -260 | 9.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
Difference | +15 | -20 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance

32.3% Win Probability

67.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05/13/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | Under | -4.0 | ![]() |
Baltimore Orioles BAL | 2 | ||||
07/29/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 8 | Over | +3.0 | ![]() |
Baltimore Orioles BAL | 4 | ||||
05/15/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | Under | -4.0 | ![]() |
Baltimore Orioles BAL | 3 | ||||
06/03/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 7 | Push | -0.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | ||||
06/04/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 10 | Over | +2.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 1 | ||||
06/05/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 2 | Under | -4.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
06/06/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 5 | Over | +2.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | ||||
07/29/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | Over | +7.0 | ![]() |
Baltimore Orioles BAL | 11 | ||||
07/30/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | Under | -1.0 | ![]() |
Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | ||||
05/19/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | Under | -1.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | ||||
05/20/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | Over | +2.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | ||||
05/21/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 8 | Over | +2.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
06/13/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | Over | +8.0 | ![]() |
Baltimore Orioles BAL | 11 | ||||
06/14/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | Under | -5.0 | ![]() |
Baltimore Orioles BAL | 1 | ||||
06/15/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | Under | -3.0 | ![]() |
Baltimore Orioles BAL | 4 | ||||
07/31/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 4 | Under | -3.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | ||||
08/01/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 13 | Over | +7.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
08/02/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 1 | Under | -4.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | ||||
08/03/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | Under | -2.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 1 | ||||
08/22/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | Push | -0.0 | ![]() |
Baltimore Orioles BAL | 3 | ||||
08/23/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 0 | Under | -2.0 | ![]() |
Baltimore Orioles BAL | 7 | ||||
08/24/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | Under | -1.0 | ![]() |
Baltimore Orioles BAL | 5 |
Blue Jays Vs Over/Under
Orioles Vs Over/Under

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-12-24 | vsCOL | 12-4L | 2.7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | Over |
04-07-24 | @NYY | 3-8L | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Over |
07-18-23 | @CHC | 3-17W | 0.3 | 7 | 8 | 1 | Over |
07-15-23 | @STL | 6-9W | 3.0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | Over |
06-25-23 | @SD | 8-3L | 0.7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | Over |
10-04-22 | @NYM | 8-3L | 0.3 | 5 | 7 | 0 | Over |
09-27-22 | @ATL | 8-3L | 5.0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | Over |
09-21-22 | @ATL | 8-3L | 4.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | Over |
09-16-22 | @MIA | 8-3L | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Over |
09-14-22 | @BAL | 8-3L | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | Over |

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-26-24 | vsSD | 6-4L | 5.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | Over |
07-20-24 | @TEX | 8-4W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | Over |
07-13-24 | vsNYY | 6-1L | 5.0 | 8 | 6 | 7 | Under |
07-07-24 | @OAK | 6-3W | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 8 | Under |
07-02-24 | @SEA | 2-0W | 6.3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | Under |
06-26-24 | vsCLE | 2-4W | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | Under |
06-21-24 | @HOU | 11-14L | 5.0 | 9 | 7 | 8 | Over |
06-15-24 | vsPHI | 2-6W | 7.0 | 7 | 2 | 6 | Under |
06-09-24 | @TB | 9-2W | 5.7 | 2 | 2 | 6 | Over |
06-03-24 | @TOR | 7-2W | 6.7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | Under |
Blue Jays Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/01 | vs BAL | 2-6L | 5 | 0 | Under |
07/31 | vs BAL | 8-4W | 13 | 1 | Over |
07/31 | vs BAL | 5-11L | 13 | 2 | Over |
07/30 | @ TEX | 7-3W | 9 | 2 | Over |
07/29 | @ TEX | 7-3W | 15 | 1 | Over |
07/28 | @ TEX | 6-5W | 12 | 0 | Over |
07/27 | @ TB | 0-13L | 2 | 0 | Over |
07/26 | @ TB | 6-3W | 8 | 1 | Under |
07/25 | @ TB | 2-4L | 6 | 2 | Under |
07/23 | @ DET | 5-4W | 11 | 2 | Under |
07/22 | @ DET | 3-6L | 6 | 1 | Under |
07/21 | @ DET | 4-5L | 7 | 2 | Under |
07/15 | vs ARI | 1-12L | 5 | 0 | Over |
07/14 | vs ARI | 4-5L | 8 | 0 | Under |
07/13 | vs SF | 5-3W | 10 | 2 | Under |
Orioles Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/01 | @ TOR | 6-2W | 11 | 2 | Under |
07/31 | @ TOR | 11-5W | 13 | 2 | Over |
07/31 | @ TOR | 4-8L | 9 | 2 | Over |
07/30 | @ SD | 8-6W | 9 | 0 | Over |
07/29 | @ SD | 4-9L | 7 | 1 | Over |
07/28 | @ SD | 4-6L | 8 | 2 | Over |
07/27 | vs MIA | 7-6W | 12 | 3 | Over |
07/26 | vs MIA | 3-6L | 4 | 0 | Under |
07/25 | vs MIA | 3-6L | 9 | 0 | Under |
07/23 | vs TEX | 2-3L | 5 | 1 | Under |
07/22 | vs TEX | 8-4W | 12 | 3 | Over |
07/21 | vs TEX | 9-1W | 11 | 4 | Over |
07/15 | @ NYY | 1-6L | 8 | 0 | Under |
07/14 | @ NYY | 1-4L | 6 | 0 | Under |
07/13 | @ CHC | 0-8L | 5 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
Toronto Blue Jays | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.9 | 11.7 | 0.224 | 0.378 | 0.351 | 0.729 | 0.298 | 0.036 | |
7.4 | 9.9 | 0.197 | 0.397 | 0.311 | 0.708 | 0.290 | 0.040 | |
#3
V. Guerrero
|
8.4 | 11.0 | 0.308 | 0.513 | 0.430 | 0.944 | 0.377 | 0.049 |
7.1 | 9.3 | 0.287 | 0.434 | 0.448 | 0.881 | 0.351 | 0.028 | |
6.3 | 8.1 | 0.258 | 0.406 | 0.288 | 0.694 | 0.290 | 0.026 | |
5.8 | 7.6 | 0.178 | 0.260 | 0.205 | 0.466 | 0.198 | 0.014 | |
#7
Leo Jimenez
|
5.7 | 7.1 | 0.222 | 0.259 | 0.315 | 0.574 | 0.244 | 0.000 |
4.5 | 5.9 | 0.214 | 0.286 | 0.357 | 0.643 | 0.265 | 0.000 | |
#9
Brian Serven
|
4.4 | 6.1 | 0.062 | 0.062 | 0.250 | 0.312 | 0.150 | 0.000 |
Baltimore Orioles | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.7 | 11.6 | 0.242 | 0.450 | 0.366 | 0.815 | 0.331 | 0.050 | |
9.4 | 12.4 | 0.266 | 0.428 | 0.372 | 0.800 | 0.325 | 0.043 | |
10.4 | 13.7 | 0.284 | 0.552 | 0.431 | 0.983 | 0.389 | 0.065 | |
8.9 | 11.9 | 0.244 | 0.523 | 0.346 | 0.869 | 0.353 | 0.077 | |
9.0 | 11.8 | 0.270 | 0.501 | 0.338 | 0.839 | 0.344 | 0.047 | |
#6
Ryan O’Hearn
|
7.3 | 9.6 | 0.277 | 0.463 | 0.389 | 0.851 | 0.344 | 0.041 |
7.7 | 10.0 | 0.219 | 0.391 | 0.290 | 0.680 | 0.282 | 0.037 | |
#8
James McCann
|
5.5 | 7.2 | 0.221 | 0.329 | 0.293 | 0.621 | 0.260 | 0.021 |
5.1 | 7.3 | 0.059 | 0.059 | 0.118 | 0.176 | 0.083 | 0.000 |
Blue Jays Notable Injuries
- Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.223 SLG:0.321 Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.7
Orioles Notable Injuries
- Jorge Mateo OUT (2B): Avg: 0.222 SLG:0.397 Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.1
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