Blue Jays vs Red Sox Game Breakdown
Blue Jays
35W-42L
June 25, 2024
07:10PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Red Sox
43W-36L
Get ready to rumble at Fenway tonight as the Toronto Blue Jays swoop into Boston, looking to claw back against the Red Sox in a rematch that’s got everyone buzzing! With the Jays trying to shake off a recent stumble and the Sox riding the high of yesterday’s nail-biter, this showdown is set to be a scorcher. Set your watches for a 07:10PM EST start and keep an eye on that scoreboard because with an over/under of 9.0, we’re expecting fireworks. The weather’s playing ball too—perfect sunny skies with a gentle breeze, just right for some high-flying action. So, who’s ready to see if the Jays can spread their wings or if the Sox will pull up their socks for another win?
Game Breakdown
Game Time: June 25, 2024 07:10PM EST
Location: Fenway Park, Boston
Weather: Sunny with winds from the NW at 6.5 mph. Temperature is at 78.7° with 40% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| TOR ML | BOS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -105 | -115 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +102 | -122 | 9.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +207 | -7 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
49.5% Win Probability
50.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/17/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 06/18/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 06/19/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 06/24/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | ||||
| 05/01/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | ||||
| 05/02/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | ||||
| 05/03/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 8 | ||||
| 05/04/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | Over | +7.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 11 | ||||
| 06/30/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 5 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 0 | ||||
| 07/01/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | ||||
| 07/02/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 5 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | ||||
| 08/04/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 7 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | ||||
| 08/05/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | ||||
| 08/06/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 13 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | ||||
| 09/15/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 09/16/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | ||||
| 09/17/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 |
Blue Jays Vs Over/Under
Red Sox Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19-24 | vsBOS | 7-3L | 5.7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 06-14-24 | vsCLE | 3-1L | 5.3 | 8 | 3 | 6 | Under |
| 06-08-24 | @OAK | 7-0W | 9.0 | 5 | 0 | 10 | Under |
| 06-03-24 | vsBAL | 7-2L | 6.3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | Under |
| 05-28-24 | @CWS | 7-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| 05-23-24 | @DET | 9-1W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | Over |
| 05-18-24 | vsTB | 5-4L | 6.0 | 8 | 3 | 6 | Under |
| 05-11-24 | vsMIN | 8-10W | 3.0 | 10 | 7 | 6 | Over |
| 05-04-24 | @WAS | 6-3W | 5.3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | Under |
| 04-28-24 | vsLAD | 1-3W | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19-24 | @TOR | 7-3W | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 6 | Over |
| 06-14-24 | vsNYY | 8-1L | 4.7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | Under |
| 06-08-24 | @CWS | 1-6L | 4.7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | Under |
| 06-02-24 | vsDET | 8-4L | 6.3 | 8 | 4 | 5 | Over |
| 05-28-24 | @BAL | 8-3W | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Over |
| 05-22-24 | @TB | 8-5W | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Over |
| 05-17-24 | @STL | 6-10L | 4.7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 05-12-24 | vsWAS | 2-3W | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | Under |
| 04-19-24 | @PIT | 8-1W | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 04-14-24 | vsLAA | 4-5W | 5.3 | 6 | 2 | 8 | Under |
Blue Jays Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/26 | vs BOS | 6-7L | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 06/25 | vs CLE | 5-6L | 9 | 3 | Over |
| 06/24 | vs CLE | 3-6L | 4 | 3 | Under |
| 06/23 | vs CLE | 1-7L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/21 | @ BOS | 3-7L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 06/20 | @ BOS | 3-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/19 | @ BOS | 3-7L | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/18 | @ CLE | 7-6W | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 06/17 | @ CLE | 5-0W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/16 | @ CLE | 1-3L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 06/14 | vs MIL | 4-5L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 06/13 | vs MIL | 3-0W | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 06/12 | vs MIL | 1-3L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 06/11 | vs OAK | 6-4W | 7 | 0 | Over |
| 06/10 | vs OAK | 7-0W | 10 | 1 | Under |
Red Sox Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/26 | @ TOR | 7-6W | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 06/25 | vs CIN | 7-4W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/24 | vs CIN | 4-3W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 06/23 | vs CIN | 2-5L | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 06/21 | vs TOR | 7-3W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/20 | vs TOR | 4-3W | 12 | 1 | Under |
| 06/19 | vs TOR | 7-3W | 11 | 4 | Over |
| 06/18 | @ NYY | 9-3W | 14 | 0 | Over |
| 06/17 | @ NYY | 8-4W | 12 | 0 | Over |
| 06/16 | @ NYY | 1-8L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/15 | @ PHI | 9-3W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 06/14 | @ PHI | 8-6W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 06/13 | @ PHI | 1-4L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 06/11 | vs CWS | 6-4W | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 06/10 | vs CWS | 1-6L | 5 | 1 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Toronto Blue Jays | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3 | 10.5 | 0.282 | 0.403 | 0.349 | 0.752 | 0.310 | 0.025 | |
| 8.6 | 11.2 | 0.364 | 0.545 | 0.591 | 1.136 | 0.430 | 0.045 | |
|
#3
V. Guerrero
|
8.9 | 11.5 | 0.286 | 0.429 | 0.415 | 0.844 | 0.339 | 0.033 |
|
#4
Bo Bichette
|
8.3 | 10.7 | 0.237 | 0.342 | 0.307 | 0.650 | 0.271 | 0.016 |
| 9.0 | 12.0 | 0.207 | 0.426 | 0.322 | 0.748 | 0.305 | 0.045 | |
| 7.4 | 9.8 | 0.243 | 0.372 | 0.399 | 0.771 | 0.312 | 0.023 | |
| 7.5 | 9.7 | 0.188 | 0.281 | 0.315 | 0.596 | 0.249 | 0.019 | |
|
#8
Danny Jansen
|
7.3 | 9.7 | 0.230 | 0.408 | 0.368 | 0.776 | 0.315 | 0.033 |
| 7.2 | 9.3 | 0.186 | 0.293 | 0.250 | 0.543 | 0.228 | 0.014 |
| Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jarren Duran
|
9.7 | 12.4 | 0.293 | 0.488 | 0.393 | 0.881 | 0.355 | 0.021 |
| 8.6 | 10.9 | 0.282 | 0.449 | 0.359 | 0.808 | 0.331 | 0.032 | |
|
#3
Wilyer Abreu
|
9.0 | 11.7 | 0.264 | 0.472 | 0.371 | 0.843 | 0.341 | 0.034 |
| 9.6 | 12.7 | 0.282 | 0.544 | 0.425 | 0.968 | 0.384 | 0.060 | |
| 8.9 | 11.9 | 0.261 | 0.538 | 0.412 | 0.950 | 0.377 | 0.075 | |
| 7.9 | 10.3 | 0.248 | 0.342 | 0.350 | 0.692 | 0.287 | 0.017 | |
| 6.5 | 8.8 | 0.221 | 0.336 | 0.374 | 0.710 | 0.290 | 0.023 | |
| 5.8 | 7.7 | 0.218 | 0.318 | 0.345 | 0.664 | 0.274 | 0.027 | |
| 5.9 | 7.7 | 0.242 | 0.390 | 0.286 | 0.677 | 0.282 | 0.030 |
Blue Jays Notable Injuries
- Alek Manoah OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 5.4
- Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.237 SLG:0.342 Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 1.8
- Yimi Garcia OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 1.5
- Orelvis Martinez OUT (2B): Avg: 0.333 SLG:0.333 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 1.2
- Jordan Romano OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 0.5
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- Connor Wong OUT (C): Avg: 0.33 SLG:0.48 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 4.0
- Vaughn Grissom OUT (2B): Avg: 0.148 SLG:0.16 Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 1.1
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