Blue Jays vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Fenway tonight as the Toronto Blue Jays swoop into Boston, looking to snag another win against the Red Sox in what’s shaping up to be a sizzling series showdown. With the Jays flapping their wings 13 games back and the Sox chasing just 8.5 games behind in the American League chase, every pitch counts in this 07:10 PM clash. The stakes are high with the betting lines buzzing—Toronto sitting pretty at 125, while Boston’s favored at -149, and a juicy over/under of 9.5 runs promising plenty of action. Under the perfect blanket of a 72-degree Boston evening, the stage is set for these two teams to continue their dance from last night’s drama where the Jays triumphed and the Sox looked to regroup. So, as the sun sets over Fenway, will the Jays continue to soar, or will the Sox stitch a comeback? It’s all to play for in a game that’s sure to have fans feathering through stats and swinging through emotions!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 27, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SE at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 72.0° with 79% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+125	-149	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+128	-153	10.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+3	-4	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

161W-140L

43.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

155W-148L

56.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/17/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+0.5
06/17/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+0.5
06/18/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-2.5
06/18/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-2.5
06/19/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+0.5
06/19/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+0.5
06/24/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+3.5
06/24/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+3.5
06/25/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	9	Over	+3.5
06/25/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+3.5
08/26/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-4.5
08/26/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-4.5
08/26/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+0.5
08/26/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+0.5
05/01/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+1.5
05/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+1.5
05/02/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+3.5
05/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+3.5
05/03/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+1.5
05/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+1.5
05/04/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+6.5
05/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	11	Over	+6.5
06/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-4.5
06/30/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-4.5
07/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+3.5
07/01/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+3.5
07/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-0.5
07/02/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-0.5
08/04/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+0.5
08/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+0.5
08/05/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-0.5
08/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-0.5
08/06/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	13	Over	+4.5
08/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Over	+4.5
09/15/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-6.5
09/15/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-6.5
09/16/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-2.5
09/16/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-2.5
09/17/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-4.5
09/17/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-4.5

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Yariel Rodriguez

ERA 4.326 | IP 60.3 | 1.0W-5.0L | KO 63.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-26-24	@BOS	4-1W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
08-21-24	vsCIN	11-7L	4.3	6	5	6	Over
08-16-24	@CHC	5-6L	5.0	4	4	5	Over
08-10-24	vsOAK	1-0L	5.7	5	1	5	Under
08-04-24	@NYY	3-4L	4.7	4	0	4	Under
07-29-24	@BAL	5-11L	0.7	1	4	1	Over
07-24-24	vsTB	3-6W	5.7	2	2	6	Under
07-12-24	@ARI	4-5L	4.0	4	2	7	Under
07-06-24	@SEA	5-4W	6.0	1	0	6	Under
07-01-24	vsHOU	3-1L	6.7	2	1	6	Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-21-24	@HOU	4-1W	4.7	4	1	4	Under
08-16-24	@BAL	12-10W	3.3	9	6	1	Over
08-05-24	@KC	9-5W	0.7	3	2	1	Over
08-03-24	@TEX	4-7L	2.0	2	0	0	Over
07-30-24	vsSEA	10-6L	3.0	0	0	0	Over
07-28-24	vsNYY	8-2L	1.0	2	1	1	Push
07-23-24	@COL	6-0W	7.0	5	0	4	Under
07-12-24	vsKC	6-1L	6.0	8	5	1	Under
06-15-24	vsNYY	4-8W	4.0	3	2	6	Over
06-07-24	@CWS	2-7L	4.3	5	4	2	Under

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/28	vs BOS	7-3W	9	1	Push
08/28	vs BOS	4-1W	6	1	Under
08/27	@ LAA	8-2W	7	2	Push
08/26	@ LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under
08/25	@ LAA	5-4W	10	2	Under
08/24	@ LAA	5-3W	8	1	Under
08/23	@ CIN	7-11L	10	3	Over
08/22	@ CIN	10-3W	13	5	Over
08/21	@ CIN	3-6L	6	2	Under
08/20	vs CHC	1-0W	8	1	Under
08/19	vs CHC	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/18	vs CHC	5-6L	10	1	Over
08/16	vs LAA	9-2W	8	3	Over
08/15	vs LAA	6-1W	7	2	Under
08/14	vs LAA	4-2W	9	1	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/28	@ TOR	1-4L	4	1	Under
08/28	@ TOR	3-7L	9	1	Push
08/27	@ ARI	5-7L	9	3	Over
08/26	@ ARI	1-4L	5	0	Under
08/25	@ ARI	2-12L	6	1	Over
08/23	vs HOU	4-1W	7	1	Under
08/22	vs HOU	6-5W	9	2	Over
08/21	vs HOU	4-5L	7	2	Under
08/20	vs BAL	2-4L	11	1	Under
08/19	vs BAL	5-1W	10	1	Under
08/18	vs BAL	12-9W	14	4	Over
08/17	vs BAL	1-5L	7	1	Under
08/16	@ TEX	7-9L	10	1	Over
08/15	@ TEX	9-4W	12	1	Over
08/14	@ TEX	5-4W	9	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	9.7	12.8	0.220	0.392	0.339	0.731	0.299	0.042
#2 Daulton Varsho	8.6	11.4	0.216	0.403	0.334	0.737	0.301	0.037
#3 V. Guerrero	10.2	13.4	0.319	0.549	0.451	1.000	0.397	0.052
#4 Spencer Horwitz	7.9	10.4	0.260	0.427	0.410	0.837	0.337	0.035
#5 Alejandro Kirk	7.6	10.0	0.243	0.351	0.367	0.717	0.294	0.020
#6 Will Wagner	6.5	8.4	0.282	0.359	0.333	0.692	0.288	0.000
#7 Ernie Clement	6.5	8.3	0.258	0.416	0.292	0.708	0.295	0.031
#8 Joey Loperfido	6.4	8.3	0.234	0.394	0.309	0.703	0.291	0.023
#9 Addison Barger	5.2	6.9	0.197	0.372	0.241	0.613	0.257	0.036

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	11.5	14.8	0.289	0.520	0.385	0.905	0.365	0.035
#2 Wilyer Abreu	9.0	12.0	0.265	0.495	0.377	0.872	0.352	0.045
#3 Triston Casas	10.8	14.2	0.277	0.513	0.420	0.933	0.370	0.067
#4 Rafael Devers	10.5	14.0	0.288	0.562	0.420	0.982	0.390	0.060
#5 Luis Garcia	9.1	9.1	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#5 Tyler O’Neill	9.8	13.1	0.261	0.528	0.403	0.931	0.371	0.072
#6 Masataka Yoshida	7.9	10.3	0.298	0.449	0.414	0.863	0.349	0.031
#7 Connor Wong	7.5	9.7	0.284	0.423	0.370	0.794	0.326	0.031
#8 David Hamilton	7.2	9.2	0.246	0.399	0.327	0.726	0.299	0.028
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	6.5	8.4	0.259	0.404	0.305	0.708	0.295	0.029

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.222 SLG:0.32 Last game: 08/28/24. Impact: 1.4

Red Sox Notable Injuries

James Paxton OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 4.1
Cam Booser OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 0.6