Blue Jays vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to watch sparks fly at Fenway tonight as the Toronto Blue Jays swoop into Boston, looking to claw back some dignity against the Red Sox at 07:10 PM EST. It’s a battle of the birds and the beans, with the Jays trailing in the American League standings and hungry for a win, while the Sox aim to keep their recent victory momentum going. Fenway will be buzzing under partly cloudy skies, with a brisk breeze that might just carry a few homers out of the park. The stakes are high, the crowd’s pumped, and the lines are drawn—Toronto at +123, hoping to upset Boston’s favored -147. As these two teams collide on the diamond, it’s clear that tonight, it’s not just about baseball—it’s about pride. So, who will fly higher and who gets baked? Tune in as the Blue Jays try to peck their way to victory, or the Red Sox aim to cook up a storm!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 28, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the WSW at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 80.1° with 64% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+123	-147	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+124	-148	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

161W-141L

44.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

156W-148L

55.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/17/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+1.0
06/17/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+1.0
06/18/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-2.0
06/18/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-2.0
06/19/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+1.0
06/19/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+1.0
06/24/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+4.0
06/24/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+4.0
06/25/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	9	Over	+4.0
06/25/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+4.0
08/26/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-4.0
08/26/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-4.0
08/26/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+1.0
08/26/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+1.0
08/27/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Push	-0.0
08/27/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Push	-0.0
05/01/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+2.0
05/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+2.0
05/02/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+4.0
05/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+4.0
05/03/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+2.0
05/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+2.0
05/04/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+7.0
05/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	11	Over	+7.0
06/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-4.0
06/30/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-4.0
07/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+4.0
07/01/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+4.0
07/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Push	-0.0
07/02/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Push	-0.0
08/04/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+1.0
08/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+1.0
08/05/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Push	-0.0
08/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Push	-0.0
08/06/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	13	Over	+5.0
08/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Over	+5.0
09/15/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-6.0
09/15/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-6.0
09/16/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-2.0
09/16/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-2.0
09/17/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-4.0
09/17/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-4.0

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Chris Bassitt

ERA 4.407 | IP 145.0 | 9.0W-12.0L | KO 140.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-23-24	vsLAA	4-5W	6.0	4	4	6	Push
08-17-24	@CHC	2-3L	5.0	5	3	5	Under
08-11-24	vsOAK	8-4L	4.0	8	7	5	Over
08-06-24	vsBAL	2-5W	7.0	3	2	9	Under
07-30-24	@BAL	2-6L	4.0	9	5	3	Under
07-25-24	vsTB	13-0L	5.0	5	3	6	Over
07-19-24	vsDET	5-4L	6.7	7	5	6	Push
07-10-24	@SF	10-6W	5.0	5	3	6	Over
07-04-24	vsHOU	5-3L	5.0	8	4	3	Under
06-29-24	vsNYY	3-9W	6.0	6	1	8	Over

Brayan Bello

ERA 4.989 | IP 122.7 | 10.0W-6.0L | KO 119.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-23-24	vsARI	12-2L	5.3	7	5	2	Over
08-17-24	@BAL	5-1W	6.0	2	1	6	Under
08-12-24	vsTEX	4-5W	6.0	4	1	5	Push
08-06-24	@KC	6-5W	4.7	5	3	6	Over
07-31-24	vsSEA	2-3W	6.3	7	2	7	Under
07-26-24	vsNYY	7-9W	5.0	5	3	4	Over
07-20-24	@LAD	6-7L	6.0	5	3	7	Over
07-09-24	vsOAK	9-12W	5.3	9	5	11	Over
07-03-24	@MIA	7-2W	6.7	7	1	7	Push
06-25-24	vsTOR	9-4L	2.3	5	7	2	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/29	vs BOS	3-6L	11	2	Push
08/28	vs BOS	7-3W	9	1	Over
08/28	vs BOS	4-1W	6	1	Under
08/27	@ LAA	8-2W	7	2	Over
08/26	@ LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under
08/25	@ LAA	5-4W	10	2	Push
08/24	@ LAA	5-3W	8	1	Under
08/23	@ CIN	7-11L	10	3	Over
08/22	@ CIN	10-3W	13	5	Over
08/21	@ CIN	3-6L	6	2	Push
08/20	vs CHC	1-0W	8	1	Under
08/19	vs CHC	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/18	vs CHC	5-6L	10	1	Over
08/16	vs LAA	9-2W	8	3	Over
08/15	vs LAA	6-1W	7	2	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/29	@ TOR	6-3W	9	1	Push
08/28	@ TOR	3-7L	9	1	Over
08/28	@ TOR	1-4L	4	1	Under
08/27	@ ARI	5-7L	9	3	Over
08/26	@ ARI	1-4L	5	0	Under
08/25	@ ARI	2-12L	6	1	Over
08/23	vs HOU	4-1W	7	1	Under
08/22	vs HOU	6-5W	9	2	Over
08/21	vs HOU	4-5L	7	2	Push
08/20	vs BAL	2-4L	11	1	Under
08/19	vs BAL	5-1W	10	1	Under
08/18	vs BAL	12-9W	14	4	Over
08/17	vs BAL	1-5L	7	1	Under
08/16	@ TEX	7-9L	10	1	Over
08/15	@ TEX	9-4W	12	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	9.4	12.4	0.219	0.389	0.341	0.731	0.299	0.042
#2 Daulton Varsho	10.3	13.7	0.218	0.410	0.335	0.745	0.304	0.039
#3 V. Guerrero	9.6	12.6	0.319	0.550	0.450	1.000	0.397	0.052
#4 Spencer Horwitz	8.7	11.5	0.262	0.428	0.419	0.847	0.340	0.035
#5 Addison Barger	8.2	10.9	0.200	0.371	0.243	0.614	0.258	0.036
#6 Alejandro Kirk	7.7	10.2	0.243	0.349	0.365	0.714	0.293	0.020
#7 Joey Loperfido	7.1	9.2	0.235	0.391	0.307	0.698	0.289	0.022
#8 Ernie Clement	5.7	7.3	0.255	0.412	0.292	0.705	0.294	0.031
#9 Will Wagner	6.2	7.9	0.326	0.512	0.372	0.884	0.364	0.023

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	11.3	14.6	0.290	0.525	0.386	0.911	0.368	0.037
#2 David Hamilton	8.6	11.0	0.246	0.396	0.326	0.723	0.298	0.028
#3 Triston Casas	9.9	13.0	0.279	0.516	0.426	0.943	0.374	0.066
#4 Rafael Devers	11.2	14.9	0.288	0.562	0.420	0.982	0.390	0.060
#5 Tyler O’Neill	8.0	10.7	0.258	0.522	0.398	0.919	0.367	0.071
#6 Wilyer Abreu	7.9	10.5	0.268	0.498	0.379	0.877	0.354	0.044
#7 Masataka Yoshida	7.6	10.0	0.297	0.446	0.412	0.858	0.348	0.030
#8 Connor Wong	5.5	7.1	0.284	0.423	0.370	0.794	0.326	0.031
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.7	7.4	0.259	0.405	0.305	0.710	0.295	0.028

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.222 SLG:0.32 Last game: 08/28/24. Impact: 1.4

Red Sox Notable Injuries

James Paxton OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 4.1
Cam Booser OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 0.6
Lucas Sims OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.2