Blue Jays vs Cubs Game Breakdown

Today’s MLB showdown sends the Toronto Blue Jays swooping into the historic Wrigley Field, ready to claw back against the Chicago Cubs in an afternoon clash that’s ripe with playoff implications. With the first pitch at 02:20 PM EST, the Jays look to flip their recent script and close the gap in the AL rankings, while the Cubs aim to solidify their stance in the NL. Today’s game, set under a partly cloudy Chicago sky with a gentle western breeze, promises to keep fans on the edge of their seats with an over/under tantalizingly pegged at 8.0. Fresh off a nail-biter where the Cubs edged out a one-run victory, both teams are hungry to dominate the diamond today. So, as these two teams prepare to battle it out, let’s see if the Cubs can bear the charge or if the Jays will fly high in the Windy City!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 17, 2024 02:20PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 73.0° with 84% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+143	-174	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+140	-168	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-3	+6	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

159W-138L

41.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

150W-146L

58.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/16/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+3.0
08/16/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+3.0
08/11/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Push	-0.0
08/11/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Push	-0.0
08/12/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+1.0
08/12/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Over	+1.0
08/13/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+7.0
08/13/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	11	Over	+7.0

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Chris Bassitt

ERA 4.299 | IP 134.0 | 9.0W-11.0L | KO 129.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-11-24	vsOAK	8-4L	4.0	8	7	5	Over
08-06-24	vsBAL	2-5W	7.0	3	2	9	Under
07-30-24	@BAL	2-6L	4.0	9	5	3	Push
07-25-24	vsTB	13-0L	5.0	5	3	6	Over
07-19-24	vsDET	5-4L	6.7	7	5	6	Over
07-10-24	@SF	10-6W	5.0	5	3	6	Over
07-04-24	vsHOU	5-3L	5.0	8	4	3	Push
06-29-24	vsNYY	3-9W	6.0	6	1	8	Over
06-24-24	@BOS	6-7L	7.0	5	2	2	Over
06-18-24	vsBOS	4-3L	6.0	7	2	6	Under

Justin Steele

ERA 3.395 | IP 114.0 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 112.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-10-24	@CWS	3-1W	6.0	6	1	8	Under
08-04-24	vsSTL	2-6W	6.7	3	2	6	Push
07-30-24	@CIN	3-6L	5.0	6	5	7	Over
07-24-24	vsMIL	3-2L	5.3	6	2	4	Under
07-19-24	vsARI	5-2L	4.7	9	5	6	Under
07-11-24	@BAL	8-0W	7.0	3	0	4	Push
07-05-24	vsLAA	1-5W	9.0	2	1	7	Under
06-29-24	@MIL	5-3W	6.0	7	3	5	Push
06-24-24	@SF	4-5L	7.3	6	2	9	Over
06-18-24	vsSF	2-5W	6.7	4	2	8	Under

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/18	vs CHC	5-6L	10	1	Over
08/16	vs LAA	9-2W	8	3	Over
08/15	vs LAA	6-1W	7	2	Under
08/14	vs LAA	4-2W	9	1	Under
08/13	@ OAK	4-8L	5	1	Over
08/12	@ OAK	0-1L	2	0	Under
08/11	@ OAK	3-1W	10	2	Under
08/10	@ BAL	7-6W	7	1	Over
08/09	@ BAL	3-7L	10	0	Over
08/08	@ BAL	5-2W	9	1	Under
08/06	vs NYY	3-4L	7	0	Under
08/05	vs NYY	3-8L	8	1	Over
08/04	vs NYY	8-5W	13	0	Over
08/02	vs BAL	4-10L	7	1	Over
08/01	vs BAL	2-6L	5	0	Push

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/18	@ TOR	6-5W	7	4	Over
08/16	vs CLE	1-6L	5	0	Under
08/15	vs CLE	1-2L	5	0	Under
08/14	vs CLE	8-9L	9	2	Over
08/12	vs CWS	3-1W	9	0	Under
08/11	vs CWS	7-6W	16	4	Over
08/09	@ MIN	8-2W	8	2	Over
08/08	@ MIN	7-3W	11	1	Over
08/07	@ MIN	0-3L	4	0	Under
08/06	@ STL	6-2W	11	2	Push
08/05	@ STL	4-5L	5	1	Over
08/04	@ STL	6-3W	8	2	Over
08/03	@ STL	5-4W	9	2	Over
08/02	vs CIN	13-4W	17	1	Over
08/01	vs CIN	3-6L	7	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	7.4	9.8	0.217	0.367	0.338	0.706	0.289	0.034
#2 Daulton Varsho	6.9	9.2	0.205	0.400	0.328	0.728	0.297	0.040
#3 V. Guerrero	8.7	11.4	0.316	0.542	0.437	0.978	0.390	0.052
#4 Alejandro Kirk	6.7	8.8	0.239	0.324	0.356	0.680	0.280	0.014
#5 Ernie Clement	5.9	7.5	0.269	0.409	0.301	0.710	0.296	0.024
#6 Will Wagner	5.4	6.8	0.583	0.833	0.583	1.417	0.582	0.000
#7 Davis Schneider	6.1	8.1	0.202	0.356	0.340	0.696	0.286	0.032
#8 Leo Jimenez	5.6	7.3	0.217	0.359	0.337	0.696	0.290	0.022
#9 Addison Barger	4.5	6.0	0.173	0.296	0.224	0.520	0.221	0.020

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	8.7	11.7	0.228	0.439	0.393	0.833	0.333	0.049
#2 Michael Busch	8.7	11.5	0.261	0.459	0.402	0.861	0.345	0.043
#3 Seiya Suzuki	8.4	11.0	0.263	0.472	0.377	0.848	0.343	0.043
#4 Cody Bellinger	8.5	11.0	0.276	0.432	0.369	0.801	0.327	0.036
#5 Isaac Paredes	6.7	9.0	0.236	0.424	0.407	0.831	0.333	0.043
#6 Nico Hoerner	6.2	7.9	0.254	0.346	0.362	0.707	0.292	0.011
#7 Dansby Swanson	6.5	8.5	0.230	0.354	0.333	0.687	0.283	0.023
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong	6.8	8.6	0.204	0.328	0.260	0.587	0.246	0.013
#9 Miguel Amaya	5.1	6.6	0.220	0.326	0.305	0.631	0.263	0.021

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.223 SLG:0.321 Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.7

Cubs Notable Injuries

Hayden Wesneski OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 2.6
Tomas Nido OUT (C): Avg: 0.19 SLG:0.294 Last game: 07/26/24. Impact: 0.8