Blue Jays vs Guardians Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heat of the action as the Toronto Blue Jays swoop into Progressive Field, ready to claw back some pride against the soaring Cleveland Guardians this afternoon at 4:10 PM EST! With the Blue Jays flapping hard to make up a 13.5-game deficit and the Guardians perched comfortably at the top of the American League, today’s matchup is more than just a game—it’s a battle for supremacy. The stakes? A cool over/under of 8.5 with the odds tipping slightly in favor of the Guardians. Fresh off a dominant victory against the Jays just yesterday, the Guardians are looking to repeat their performance, but under today’s misty skies with a gentle breeze from the west, anything could happen. It’s not just about the standings; it’s about pride and performance. So, as the Blue Jays try to feather their nest and the Guardians aim to guard their turf, expect feathers to fly in this clash of the avian titans!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 22, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Mist with winds from the WNW at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 86.2° with 67% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+110	-132	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+124	-148	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+14	-16	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

149W-125L

44.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

150W-120L

55.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/14/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-4.5
06/14/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-4.5
06/15/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-3.5
06/15/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-3.5
06/16/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+4.5
06/16/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+4.5
06/21/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-0.5
06/21/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	7	Under	-0.5
08/07/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-4.5
08/07/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Under	-4.5
08/08/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-7.5
08/08/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Under	-7.5
08/09/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-7.5
08/09/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-7.5
08/10/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-1.5
08/10/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
08/25/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-1.5
08/25/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-1.5
08/26/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+2.5
08/26/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	8	Over	+2.5
08/27/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	10	Over	+8.5
08/27/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+8.5

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Jose Berrios

ERA 3.13 | IP 92.0 | 6.0W-5.0L | KO 65.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-16-24	vsCLE	6-7W	6.0	8	4	1	Over
06-10-24	@MIL	1-3L	5.7	5	3	4	Under
06-05-24	vsBAL	2-3W	6.0	6	2	2	Under
05-31-24	vsPIT	3-5W	7.0	6	1	5	Under
05-25-24	@DET	1-2L	7.0	7	2	5	Under
05-20-24	vsCWS	3-9W	6.0	8	3	6	Over
05-13-24	@BAL	3-2W	7.0	3	2	4	Under
05-07-24	@PHI	1-10L	3.7	7	8	7	Over
04-30-24	vsKC	4-1L	7.0	5	2	3	Under
04-25-24	@KC	1-2L	5.0	3	2	1	Under

Ben Lively

ERA 3.017 | IP 59.7 | 6.0W-3.0L | KO 52.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-16-24	@TOR	6-7L	4.0	6	4	4	Over
06-08-24	@MIA	8-0W	5.0	3	0	1	Under
06-01-24	vsWAS	2-3W	5.7	5	2	4	Under
05-26-24	@LAA	5-4W	7.0	4	2	5	Push
05-20-24	vsNYM	1-3W	5.7	6	1	7	Under
05-14-24	@TEX	7-4W	5.0	5	3	5	Over
05-09-24	@CWS	2-3L	5.7	8	3	2	Under
05-04-24	vsLAA	1-7W	6.0	4	1	5	Under
04-28-24	@ATL	3-4L	4.3	4	1	5	Under
04-23-24	vsBOS	1-4W	6.3	5	1	7	Under

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/23	vs CLE	1-7L	6	1	Under
06/21	@ BOS	3-7L	10	0	Over
06/20	@ BOS	3-4L	7	0	Under
06/19	@ BOS	3-7L	10	2	Over
06/18	@ CLE	7-6W	11	2	Over
06/17	@ CLE	5-0W	7	0	Under
06/16	@ CLE	1-3L	3	0	Under
06/14	vs MIL	4-5L	7	1	Push
06/13	vs MIL	3-0W	9	0	Under
06/12	vs MIL	1-3L	4	1	Under
06/11	vs OAK	6-4W	7	0	Over
06/10	vs OAK	7-0W	10	1	Under
06/09	vs OAK	1-2L	5	0	Under
06/08	@ BAL	6-5W	7	1	Over
06/07	@ BAL	3-2W	9	0	Under

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/23	@ TOR	7-1W	5	0	Under
06/22	@ SEA	6-3W	9	3	Push
06/21	@ SEA	8-0W	9	3	Under
06/20	@ SEA	5-8L	10	0	Over
06/18	vs TOR	6-7L	13	2	Over
06/17	vs TOR	0-5L	8	0	Under
06/16	vs TOR	3-1W	9	1	Under
06/14	vs CIN	2-4L	7	0	Under
06/13	vs CIN	5-3W	9	1	Under
06/11	vs MIA	6-3W	10	2	Push
06/10	vs MIA	8-0W	11	2	Under
06/09	vs MIA	2-3L	6	1	Under
06/08	@ KC	3-4L	9	1	Under
06/06	@ KC	8-5W	7	2	Over
06/04	@ WAS	2-5L	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Davis Schneider	9.5	12.9	0.222	0.420	0.368	0.788	0.319	0.042
#2 Justin Turner	7.7	10.2	0.235	0.366	0.376	0.742	0.303	0.023
#3 V. Guerrero	8.9	11.4	0.281	0.406	0.417	0.823	0.331	0.028
#4 Daulton Varsho	8.1	10.8	0.210	0.433	0.328	0.761	0.310	0.046
#5 George Springer	7.3	9.5	0.194	0.286	0.323	0.609	0.253	0.020
#6 Alejandro Kirk	6.6	8.7	0.197	0.282	0.325	0.607	0.253	0.017
#7 Addison Barger	6.3	7.9	0.200	0.229	0.229	0.457	0.195	0.000
#8 Orelvis Martinez	7.6	7.6	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.667	0.279	0.000
#9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	5.9	7.4	0.276	0.378	0.342	0.720	0.297	0.018

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	8.2	10.5	0.389	0.547	0.500	1.047	0.415	0.026
#2 Andres Gimenez	8.9	11.6	0.244	0.343	0.325	0.668	0.279	0.018
#3 Jose Ramirez	10.0	13.4	0.266	0.518	0.356	0.874	0.355	0.065
#4 Josh Naylor	9.0	12.2	0.235	0.488	0.362	0.850	0.343	0.073
#5 David Fry	6.9	9.2	0.307	0.523	0.523	1.046	0.403	0.052
#6 Will Brennan	6.4	8.3	0.256	0.422	0.347	0.769	0.315	0.040
#7 Daniel Schneemann	5.7	7.6	0.303	0.515	0.545	1.061	0.402	0.030
#8 Tyler Freeman	5.7	7.6	0.214	0.348	0.353	0.701	0.290	0.027
#9 Bo Naylor	5.7	7.5	0.182	0.273	0.279	0.552	0.232	0.019

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Alek Manoah OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 5.4
Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.237 SLG:0.342 Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 1.8
Yimi Garcia OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 1.5
Jordan Romano OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 0.5

Guardians Notable Injuries

Eli Morgan OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 1.4
Nick Sandlin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 0.4