Blue Jays vs Royals Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 24th 2024

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Kauffman Stadium tonight as the Toronto Blue Jays swoop into Kansas City to clash with the Royals at 07:40 PM EST! With the Jays just a few swings behind in the American League standings and the Royals hot on their heels, this matchup is more than just a game—it’s a battle for supremacy. The stakes are high with the betting lines buzzing: the Jays are slight favorites, but with the Royals riding the wave of a recent victory over their northern rivals, anything could happen. Factor in perfect baseball weather—sunny skies and a gentle northern breeze—and you’ve got the recipe for an epic evening. As the over/under teeters at a tantalizing 9.0, tonight’s game promises to be a royal affair with the Blue Jays looking to rule the roost!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 24, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 55.0° with 57% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	KC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-125	+105	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-128	+107	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-3	+2	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

139W-112L

56.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

115W-136L

43.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/22/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-1.0
04/22/24	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-1.0
04/23/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-4.0
04/23/24	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-4.0
04/03/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+5.0
04/03/23	Kansas City Royals KC	9	Over	+5.0
04/04/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-4.0
04/04/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-4.0
04/05/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-6.0
04/05/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-6.0
04/06/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Push	-0.0
04/06/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Push	-0.0
09/08/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Push	-0.0
09/08/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Push	-0.0
09/09/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-3.0
09/09/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-3.0
09/10/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-2.0
09/10/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-2.0

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Royals Vs Over/Under

Yariel Rodriguez

ERA 2.348 | IP 7.7 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 13.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-23-24	@KC	2-3L	6.7	7	3	2	Under
04-17-24	vsNYY	6-4L	5.0	4	1	6	Over
04-12-24	vsCOL	12-4L	3.7	10	6	4	Over
04-06-24	@NYY	8-9L	1.3	4	6	0	Over
03-31-24	@TB	9-2W	4.3	2	1	6	Over
09-26-23	vsNYY	2-0L	7.0	3	0	5	Under
09-20-23	@NYY	6-1W	6.0	3	0	10	Under
09-14-23	vsTEX	9-2L	4.7	6	4	5	Over
09-09-23	vsKC	1-5W	8.0	2	1	10	Under
09-03-23	@COL	7-5W	4.0	6	3	5	Over
04-19-24	@SD	5-1W	4.0	3	1	7	Under
04-13-24	vsCOL	3-5W	3.7	4	1	6	Under

Will Smith

ERA 12.375 | IP 8.0 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 7.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-23-24	vsTOR	2-3W	4.3	8	2	4	Under
04-17-24	@CWS	1-2L	6.0	4	2	4	Under
04-12-24	@NYM	1-6L	6.0	10	5	4	Under
04-06-24	vsCWS	0-3W	7.0	2	0	8	Under
04-01-24	@BAL	4-6L	5.0	3	3	5	Over
09-30-23	@CWS	6-1L	7.0	3	0	7	Under
09-24-23	@STL	2-12W	7.0	6	2	6	Over
09-18-23	@COL	9-11W	5.0	5	3	6	Over
09-12-23	@LAD	2-11W	4.0	7	7	3	Over
09-06-23	@PHI	5-1L	4.0	7	3	6	Under
04-19-24	vsBAL	4-9W	5.7	3	0	6	Over
04-13-24	@NYM	11-7W	5.0	5	4	2	Over
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	4.7	8	3	3	Under
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	7.0	2	1	5	Under
09-30-23	vsNYY	5-2L	4.3	6	3	6	Under
09-24-23	@HOU	6-5W	5.3	3	4	6	Over
09-19-23	vsCLE	6-7W	4.3	5	4	2	Over
09-13-23	@CWS	7-1W	4.3	3	1	5	Under
09-08-23	@TOR	4-5L	4.0	3	1	6	Over
09-02-23	vsBOS	9-5L	2.7	7	6	1	Over
04-21-24	vsBAL	5-0L	1.0	0	0	0	Under
04-19-24	vsBAL	4-9W	1.0	4	4	1	Over
04-17-24	@CWS	4-2W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
04-12-24	@NYM	1-6L	1.0	4	1	1	Under
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
04-05-24	vsCWS	1-2W	0.3	1	0	1	Under
04-03-24	@BAL	3-4L	0.7	2	2	1	Under
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
03-30-24	vsMIN	5-1L	1.0	2	4	0	Under
09-29-23	@SEA	0-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Under

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/25	vs KC	2-3L	9	0	Under
04/24	vs KC	5-3W	6	1	Under
04/23	vs SD	3-6L	6	2	Over
04/22	vs SD	5-2W	8	1	Under
04/21	vs SD	5-1W	11	1	Under
04/19	@ NYY	4-6L	9	2	Over
04/18	@ NYY	5-4W	8	0	Over
04/17	@ NYY	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/16	@ COL	5-0W	12	0	Under
04/15	@ COL	5-3W	9	1	Under
04/14	@ COL	4-12L	11	2	Over
04/12	@ SEA	1-6L	6	1	Under
04/11	@ SEA	5-3W	11	1	Under
04/10	@ SEA	5-2W	11	0	Under
04/09	vs NYY	3-8L	5	0	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/25	@ TOR	3-2W	8	0	Under
04/24	@ TOR	3-5L	8	2	Under
04/23	@ BAL	0-5L	5	0	Under
04/22	@ BAL	6-9L	8	1	Over
04/21	@ BAL	9-4W	9	2	Over
04/19	vs CWS	1-2L	5	0	Under
04/19	vs CWS	4-2W	7	2	Under
04/17	vs CWS	2-0W	5	1	Under
04/16	vs NYM	1-2L	3	1	Under
04/15	vs NYM	11-7W	13	1	Over
04/14	vs NYM	1-6L	3	1	Under
04/13	@ HOU	13-3W	16	2	Over
04/12	@ HOU	11-2W	11	1	Over
04/11	@ HOU	3-3L	7	0	Under
04/09	@ CWS	5-3W	6	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	9.3	11.8	0.22	0.308	36.3%	67.0%	2.2%
#2 V. Guerrero	9.8	12.9	0.217	0.348	39.1%	73.9%	3.3%
#3 Bo Bichette	8.6	11.1	0.241	0.356	33.3%	69.0%	1.1%
#4 Justin Turner	8.3	11.0	0.31	0.493	49.3%	98.6%	2.8%
#5 Daulton Varsho	7.2	9.6	0.25	0.569	36.1%	93.1%	8.3%
#6 Davis Schneider	8.8	11.9	0.216	0.431	31.4%	74.5%	5.9%
#7 Danny Jansen	7.9	10.0	0.214	0.429	28.6%	71.4%	0.0%
#7 Alejandro Kirk	6.4	8.6	0.172	0.19	32.8%	51.7%	0.0%
#8 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	6.7	8.2	0.262	0.385	36.9%	75.4%	1.5%
#9 Cavan Biggio	6.8	8.8	0.263	0.386	42.1%	80.7%	1.8%
#9 Kevin Kiermaier	6.4	8.2	0.193	0.246	26.3%	50.9%	0.0%

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	7.7	10.2	0.194	0.376	26.9%	64.5%	4.3%
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	9.9	12.7	0.316	0.582	38.8%	96.9%	4.1%
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	8.7	11.7	0.253	0.468	41.8%	88.6%	5.1%
#4 Salvador Perez	7.2	9.5	0.337	0.593	43.0%	102.3%	7.0%
#4 Will Smith	-5.0	13.9	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#5 MJ Melendez	7.5	10.1	0.219	0.452	32.9%	78.1%	5.5%
#6 Adam Frazier	6.7	9.0	0.184	0.224	40.8%	63.3%	0.0%
#6 Nelson Velazquez	8.1	10.6	0.257	0.4	35.7%	75.7%	2.9%
#7 Dairon Blanco	5.8	7.7	0.143	0.286	35.7%	64.3%	0.0%
#8 Michael Massey	6.1	8.1	0.214	0.286	21.4%	50.0%	0.0%
#8 Hunter Renfroe	6.4	8.8	0.159	0.302	23.8%	54.0%	3.2%
#9 Kyle Isbel	6.5	8.2	0.203	0.312	23.4%	54.7%	3.1%