Blue Jays vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the action as the Toronto Blue Jays swoop into Target Field, looking to claw back in the standings against the Minnesota Twins under the lights tonight at 08:10 PM EST! With the Jays fluttering 12.5 games behind in the American League and the Twins just 3.5, every pitch counts in this high-stakes matchup. The Twins, fresh off a stumble against Atlanta, are hungry to regain their footing, while the Jays are flying high after shutting out Boston. With the odds set and the over/under teasing a tight game, tonight’s weather promises a cool, partly cloudy backdrop perfect for baseball. As these two teams cross bats, it’s all set to be a true battle of feathers versus finesse!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 30, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the WSW at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 64.9° with 73% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+126	-150	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+143	-174	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+17	-24	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

162W-142L

41.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

165W-137L

58.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-3.0
05/10/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-3.0
05/11/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+10.0
05/11/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	10	Over	+10.0
05/12/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-2.0
05/12/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-2.0
05/26/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-4.0
05/26/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.0
05/27/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+8.0
05/27/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	9	Over	+8.0
05/28/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-5.0
05/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-5.0
06/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-3.0
06/09/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-3.0
06/10/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	9	Over	+5.0
06/10/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Over	+5.0
06/11/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+5.0
06/11/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+5.0

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Kevin Gausman

ERA 4.104 | IP 151.3 | 12.0W-9.0L | KO 141.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-25-24	vsLAA	2-8W	7.0	2	1	10	Over
08-19-24	vsCIN	6-3L	5.0	5	4	5	Over
08-13-24	@LAA	6-1W	7.0	6	0	5	Under
08-08-24	vsBAL	6-7W	8.0	3	2	2	Over
08-02-24	@NYY	8-5W	4.7	8	5	2	Over
07-27-24	vsTEX	3-7W	9.0	4	3	8	Over
07-21-24	vsDET	4-5W	6.7	5	4	5	Over
07-11-24	@SF	5-3W	7.0	6	2	3	Push
07-05-24	@SEA	1-2L	6.0	6	2	10	Under
06-30-24	vsNYY	8-1L	4.3	7	7	7	Over

Pablo Lopez

ERA 4.257 | IP 148.0 | 12.0W-8.0L | KO 161.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-24-24	vsSTL	0-6W	7.0	4	0	9	Under
08-18-24	@TEX	5-6L	6.0	6	0	3	Over
08-12-24	vsKC	3-8W	6.0	6	3	5	Over
08-06-24	@CHC	3-7L	5.0	7	4	2	Over
07-31-24	@NYM	8-3W	6.0	3	2	7	Over
07-26-24	@DET	9-3W	7.0	6	2	7	Over
07-20-24	vsMIL	8-4L	7.0	4	1	7	Over
07-10-24	@CWS	3-2W	5.0	4	2	5	Under
07-05-24	vsHOU	13-12L	5.0	8	6	6	Over
06-29-24	@SEA	5-1W	6.0	4	1	9	Under

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/31	vs BOS	2-0W	7	0	Under
08/30	vs BOS	0-3L	2	0	Under
08/29	vs BOS	3-6L	11	2	Over
08/28	vs BOS	7-3W	9	1	Over
08/28	vs BOS	4-1W	6	1	Under
08/27	@ LAA	8-2W	7	2	Over
08/26	@ LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under
08/25	@ LAA	5-4W	10	2	Over
08/24	@ LAA	5-3W	8	1	Push
08/23	@ CIN	7-11L	10	3	Over
08/22	@ CIN	10-3W	13	5	Over
08/21	@ CIN	3-6L	6	2	Over
08/20	vs CHC	1-0W	8	1	Under
08/19	vs CHC	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/18	vs CHC	5-6L	10	1	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/30	@ ATL	1-5L	7	0	Under
08/29	@ ATL	6-8L	14	0	Over
08/28	@ ATL	6-10L	9	2	Over
08/27	@ STL	2-3L	6	1	Under
08/26	@ STL	6-0W	9	3	Under
08/25	@ STL	1-6L	5	0	Under
08/23	vs SD	11-4W	18	1	Over
08/22	vs SD	5-7L	13	1	Over
08/21	vs SD	3-5L	5	0	Push
08/20	vs TEX	5-6L	7	2	Over
08/19	vs TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under
08/18	vs TEX	4-3W	5	2	Under
08/17	vs TEX	3-2W	6	1	Under
08/16	@ KC	1-4L	7	1	Under
08/15	@ KC	13-3W	15	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	7.7	10.2	0.216	0.384	0.338	0.722	0.295	0.041
#2 Daulton Varsho	7.2	9.6	0.215	0.403	0.332	0.735	0.300	0.038
#3 V. Guerrero	8.5	11.1	0.321	0.550	0.450	1.000	0.397	0.051
#4 Spencer Horwitz	7.2	9.5	0.254	0.415	0.407	0.822	0.331	0.034
#5 Addison Barger	6.2	8.3	0.205	0.384	0.253	0.637	0.267	0.034
#6 Alejandro Kirk	5.8	7.7	0.240	0.345	0.360	0.705	0.290	0.019
#7 Joey Loperfido	5.5	7.1	0.227	0.378	0.297	0.676	0.281	0.022
#8 Ernie Clement	5.1	6.5	0.256	0.413	0.292	0.705	0.294	0.030
#9 Will Wagner	4.9	6.3	0.304	0.478	0.348	0.826	0.341	0.022

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro	8.3	10.9	0.258	0.410	0.385	0.795	0.323	0.023
#2 Trevor Larnach	7.5	10.0	0.255	0.448	0.360	0.808	0.329	0.049
#3 Matt Wallner	8.0	10.8	0.281	0.622	0.504	1.126	0.434	0.074
#4 Edouard Julien	7.2	9.4	0.217	0.354	0.368	0.722	0.294	0.033
#5 Royce Lewis	9.2	12.4	0.253	0.547	0.358	0.905	0.366	0.079
#6 Max Kepler	7.5	9.7	0.263	0.398	0.339	0.737	0.304	0.022
#7 Carlos Santana	6.0	7.9	0.241	0.425	0.377	0.802	0.325	0.042
#8 Ryan Jeffers	6.3	8.4	0.240	0.473	0.361	0.834	0.340	0.059
#9 Austin Martin	5.8	7.5	0.250	0.343	0.343	0.686	0.283	0.005

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.222 SLG:0.32 Last game: 08/28/24. Impact: 1.4

Twins Notable Injuries

Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
Byron Buxton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.275 SLG:0.528 Last game: 08/14/24. Impact: 3.6
Brooks Lee OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.263 SLG:0.347 Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 2.1
Brock Stewart OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 0.4