Blue Jays vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready for a clash of titans under the partly cloudy skies of Target Field tonight as the Toronto Blue Jays swoop into Minnesota to challenge the Twins at 07:10 PM EST. With the Jays trying to claw back from a 13.5-game deficit and the Twins looking to solidify their standing just 3.5 games shy of the top spot in the American League, tensions are high. Fresh off their recent face-off where the Twins shut out the Jays, both teams are fired up to tip the scales tonight. The betting world’s buzzing too, setting the stakes with an over/under of 8.5, favoring the home team slightly. As the winds whip from the southwest, will the Blue Jays spread their wings or will the Twins mine their home field advantage for another win? Tonight’s game could just be a case of ‘may the best birds or bats win’!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 31, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 75.9° with 50% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+132	-158	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+121	-144	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-11	+14	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

162W-143L

45.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

166W-137L

54.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-3.5
05/10/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-3.5
05/11/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+9.5
05/11/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	10	Over	+9.5
05/12/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-2.5
05/12/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-2.5
08/30/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-6.5
08/30/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-6.5
05/26/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-4.5
05/26/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
05/27/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+7.5
05/27/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	9	Over	+7.5
05/28/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-5.5
05/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-5.5
06/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-3.5
06/09/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-3.5
06/10/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	9	Over	+4.5
06/10/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Over	+4.5
06/11/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+4.5
06/11/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+4.5

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Jose Berrios

ERA 3.724 | IP 164.3 | 13.0W-9.0L | KO 129.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-26-24	@BOS	7-3W	7.7	8	3	6	Over
08-20-24	vsCIN	3-10W	7.0	6	2	7	Over
08-14-24	@LAA	9-2W	7.0	2	1	5	Over
08-09-24	vsOAK	1-3W	7.0	6	1	8	Under
08-03-24	@NYY	3-8L	5.0	7	6	6	Over
07-28-24	vsTEX	3-7W	7.0	6	1	5	Over
07-23-24	vsTB	4-2L	4.7	3	3	5	Under
07-13-24	@ARI	1-12L	4.0	7	5	0	Over
07-07-24	@SEA	5-4W	6.0	7	4	10	Push
07-02-24	vsHOU	6-7W	5.0	5	5	1	Over

Zebby Matthews

ERA 3.0 | IP 15.0 | 1.0W-1.0L | KO 13.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-25-24	vsSTL	3-2L	5.0	4	1	7	Under
08-19-24	@SD	3-5L	5.0	4	5	1	Under
08-13-24	vsKC	3-13W	5.0	5	2	5	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/01	vs MIN	0-2L	7	0	Under
08/31	vs BOS	2-0W	7	0	Under
08/30	vs BOS	0-3L	2	0	Under
08/29	vs BOS	3-6L	11	2	Push
08/28	vs BOS	4-1W	6	1	Under
08/28	vs BOS	7-3W	9	1	Over
08/27	@ LAA	8-2W	7	2	Over
08/26	@ LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under
08/25	@ LAA	5-4W	10	2	Push
08/24	@ LAA	5-3W	8	1	Under
08/23	@ CIN	7-11L	10	3	Over
08/22	@ CIN	10-3W	13	5	Over
08/21	@ CIN	3-6L	6	2	Push
08/20	vs CHC	1-0W	8	1	Under
08/19	vs CHC	2-3L	7	1	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/01	@ TOR	2-0W	4	0	Under
08/30	@ ATL	1-5L	7	0	Under
08/29	@ ATL	6-8L	14	0	Over
08/28	@ ATL	6-10L	9	2	Over
08/27	@ STL	2-3L	6	1	Under
08/26	@ STL	6-0W	9	3	Under
08/25	@ STL	1-6L	5	0	Under
08/23	vs SD	11-4W	18	1	Over
08/22	vs SD	5-7L	13	1	Over
08/21	vs SD	3-5L	5	0	Under
08/20	vs TEX	5-6L	7	2	Over
08/19	vs TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under
08/18	vs TEX	4-3W	5	2	Under
08/17	vs TEX	3-2W	6	1	Under
08/16	@ KC	1-4L	7	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	8.7	11.5	0.216	0.384	0.338	0.722	0.295	0.041
#2 Daulton Varsho	8.6	11.4	0.213	0.400	0.329	0.728	0.298	0.038
#3 V. Guerrero	8.9	11.7	0.318	0.546	0.447	0.992	0.394	0.050
#4 Spencer Horwitz	7.2	9.5	0.258	0.417	0.408	0.825	0.332	0.033
#5 Addison Barger	6.8	9.0	0.208	0.383	0.255	0.638	0.267	0.034
#6 Alejandro Kirk	7.1	9.4	0.238	0.341	0.356	0.697	0.287	0.019
#7 Joey Loperfido	5.7	7.4	0.227	0.378	0.297	0.676	0.281	0.022
#8 Ernie Clement	5.3	6.8	0.254	0.409	0.290	0.699	0.291	0.030
#9 Will Wagner	5.3	6.8	0.300	0.460	0.340	0.800	0.331	0.020

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro	8.9	11.7	0.256	0.408	0.382	0.790	0.322	0.023
#2 Trevor Larnach	8.1	10.7	0.253	0.444	0.361	0.806	0.328	0.049
#3 Royce Lewis	9.4	12.7	0.253	0.541	0.356	0.897	0.363	0.077
#4 Matt Wallner	8.8	11.8	0.281	0.612	0.496	1.108	0.428	0.072
#5 Edouard Julien	7.6	10.0	0.215	0.350	0.369	0.720	0.293	0.033
#6 Max Kepler	7.6	9.8	0.263	0.398	0.339	0.737	0.304	0.022
#7 Carlos Santana	7.3	9.6	0.241	0.424	0.377	0.801	0.324	0.042
#8 Christian Vazquez	5.4	6.9	0.238	0.365	0.279	0.643	0.269	0.029
#9 Austin Martin	5.3	6.9	0.248	0.340	0.340	0.680	0.281	0.005

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.222 SLG:0.32 Last game: 08/28/24. Impact: 1.4

Twins Notable Injuries

Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
Byron Buxton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.275 SLG:0.528 Last game: 08/14/24. Impact: 3.6
Brooks Lee OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.263 SLG:0.347 Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 2.1