Blue Jays vs Phillies Game Breakdown

Strap in, sports fans, because it’s game day! The Toronto Blue Jays, with a record that’s been more roller coaster than smooth sailing, are swooping into Citizens Bank Park to clash with the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies, who’ve been stacking wins like cheesesteaks. With the first pitch set to fly at 06:40 PM EST, the stakes are high as the Jays look to claw their way up the American League, while the Phillies aim to keep their spotless standing in the National League. Vegas has the over/under at a tight 8.0, hinting at a battle that could swing either way. The Philly skies are clear, the bats are ready, and with recent performances hinting at both promise and peril, it’s anyone’s game. So, as the Blue Jays try to nest a win and the Phillies look to ring Liberty bells, let’s see whose feathers will fly higher tonight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 07, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NE at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 70.0° with 46% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+109	-131	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+106	-126	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-3	+5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

140W-116L

48.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

9W-1L

HOME

154W-103L

51.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/09/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Over	+4.0
05/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+4.0
05/10/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-5.0
05/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.0
08/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-5.0
08/15/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-5.0
08/16/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+5.0
08/16/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Over	+5.0

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Jose Berrios

ERA 1.443 | IP 43.7 | 4.0W-2.0L | KO 31.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-30-24	vsKC	4-1L	7.0	5	2	3	Under
04-25-24	@KC	1-2L	5.0	3	2	1	Under
04-20-24	@SD	5-2W	6.0	5	0	6	Under
04-14-24	vsCOL	0-5W	7.0	2	0	7	Under
04-08-24	vsSEA	2-5W	6.7	4	0	6	Under
04-02-24	@HOU	2-1W	6.0	6	1	2	Under
03-28-24	@TB	8-2W	6.0	6	2	6	Over
09-27-23	vsNYY	6-0L	6.0	5	4	10	Under
09-21-23	@NYY	3-5L	5.7	7	4	6	Push
09-15-23	vsBOS	0-3W	7.0	5	0	8	Under

Cristopher Sanchez

ERA 3.375 | IP 29.3 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 29.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-29-24	@LAA	5-6L	5.0	7	4	1	Over
04-23-24	@CIN	1-8L	3.0	4	5	3	Over
04-17-24	vsCOL	6-7W	6.0	5	1	10	Over
04-12-24	vsPIT	5-2L	6.0	4	2	6	Under
04-07-24	@WAS	2-3L	4.3	6	3	1	Under
04-01-24	vsCIN	6-3L	5.0	5	2	8	Over
09-30-23	@NYM	4-11L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-24-23	vsNYM	2-5W	7.0	3	2	10	Under
09-19-23	@ATL	3-9L	4.0	7	3	2	Over
09-13-23	vsATL	4-1L	7.3	8	4	10	Under

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/07	vs WAS	8-11L	10	1	Over
05/06	vs WAS	6-3W	9	1	Over
05/05	vs WAS	3-9L	7	0	Over
05/03	@ KC	1-6L	4	1	Under
05/02	@ KC	1-4L	4	0	Under
05/01	@ KC	6-5W	12	3	Over
04/30	@ LAD	3-1W	8	1	Under
04/29	@ LAD	2-4L	3	0	Under
04/28	@ LAD	2-12L	5	1	Over
04/27	vs KC	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/26	vs KC	2-3L	6	1	Under
04/25	vs KC	2-3L	9	0	Under
04/24	vs KC	5-3W	6	1	Push
04/23	vs SD	3-6L	6	2	Over
04/22	vs SD	5-2W	8	1	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/08	@ SF	6-1W	10	2	Under
05/07	@ SF	5-4W	9	1	Over
05/06	@ SF	14-3W	12	1	Over
05/05	@ SF	3-3L	6	0	Under
05/03	vs LAA	2-1W	7	0	Under
05/02	vs LAA	7-5W	11	3	Over
05/01	vs LAA	5-6L	6	0	Over
04/30	vs SD	8-6W	12	3	Over
04/29	vs SD	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/28	vs SD	9-3W	13	5	Over
04/27	vs CIN	5-0W	11	1	Under
04/26	vs CIN	4-7L	11	0	Over
04/25	vs CIN	1-8L	5	0	Over
04/24	vs CIN	7-0W	9	1	Under
04/23	@ CWS	8-2W	11	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	9.8	12.4	0.205	0.303	31.1%	61.4%	2.3%
#2 V. Guerrero	10.5	13.8	0.239	0.373	38.8%	76.1%	3.0%
#3 Justin Turner	9.1	12.0	0.283	0.472	41.5%	88.7%	3.8%
#4 Bo Bichette	9.7	12.5	0.195	0.276	27.6%	55.3%	0.8%
#5 Danny Jansen	9.0	11.9	0.297	0.676	48.6%	116.2%	8.1%
#6 Davis Schneider	9.7	13.1	0.257	0.459	41.9%	87.8%	4.1%
#7 Daulton Varsho	6.6	8.9	0.236	0.472	36.8%	84.0%	5.7%
#8 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	6.9	8.6	0.258	0.344	34.4%	68.8%	1.1%
#9 Ernie Clement	5.9	7.5	0.271	0.458	32.2%	78.0%	3.4%

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.2	13.9	0.214	0.407	38.6%	79.3%	6.4%
#2 J.T. Realmuto	7.9	10.3	0.264	0.438	34.7%	78.5%	4.1%
#3 Bryce Harper	8.9	12.1	0.243	0.496	45.2%	94.8%	7.0%
#4 Alec Bohm	7.3	9.7	0.349	0.558	47.3%	103.1%	3.1%
#5 Brandon Marsh	7.7	10.0	0.264	0.473	33.6%	80.9%	5.5%
#6 Nick Castellanos	7.4	9.6	0.197	0.265	28.8%	55.3%	1.5%
#7 Bryson Stott	7.2	9.5	0.235	0.373	39.2%	76.5%	2.9%
#8 Edmundo Sosa	6.1	7.8	0.276	0.414	34.5%	75.9%	3.4%
#9 Johan Rojas	5.8	7.3	0.21	0.29	28.0%	57.0%	1.0%