Blue Jays vs Padres Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 20th 2024

Get ready to dive into a coast-to-coast diamond clash as the Toronto Blue Jays, boasting a solid 11W-9L record, swoop into the sunny confines of Petco Park to face the equally determined San Diego Padres, who are balancing the scales at 11W-11L. Tonight’s showdown, kicking off at 08:40 PM EST, isn’t just another game; it’s a strategic battle with the Jays flying 3 games back in the American League and the Padres swinging 1 game back in the National League. With the over/under teasing at 8.5 and betting lines drawing a thin line between hope and despair, the stage is set under an overcast sky, a gentle northern breeze, and a hint of coastal humidity. Fresh off their respective last encounters where fortunes flipped — the Jays triumphed and the Padres stumbled — tonight’s game promises sparks. As the Blue Jays try to nest another win and the Padres swing for redemption, it’s all about whether the Jays can keep their wings spread or if the Padres will ride the wave back to victory lane!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 20, 2024 08:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 60.1° with 69% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-103	-117	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-113	-107	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-10	+10	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

137W-110L

53.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

134W-116L

46.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/19/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-2.5
04/19/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-2.5
07/18/23	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+1.5
07/18/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Over	+1.5
07/19/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-6.5
07/19/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-6.5
07/20/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-4.5
07/20/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-4.5

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Yariel Rodriguez

ERA 2.348 | IP 7.7 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 13.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	vsCOL	0-5W	7.0	2	0	7	Under
04-08-24	vsSEA	2-5W	6.7	4	0	6	Under
04-02-24	@HOU	2-1W	6.0	6	1	2	Under
03-28-24	@TB	8-2W	6.0	6	2	6	Over
09-27-23	vsNYY	6-0L	6.0	5	4	10	Under
09-21-23	@NYY	3-5L	5.7	7	4	6	Over
09-15-23	vsBOS	0-3W	7.0	5	0	8	Under
09-10-23	vsKC	2-5W	7.0	5	2	7	Under
09-04-23	@OAK	6-5W	6.0	4	2	7	Over
08-29-23	vsWAS	5-4L	6.0	6	5	2	Over
04-19-24	@SD	5-1W	4.0	3	1	7	Under
04-13-24	vsCOL	3-5W	3.7	4	1	6	Over

Matt Waldron

ERA 4.737 | IP 19.0 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 18.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-19-24	vsTOR	5-1L	4.7	7	5	2	Under
04-13-24	@LAD	2-5L	5.0	3	1	4	Under
04-07-24	@SF	2-3L	5.3	3	1	5	Under
04-01-24	vsSTL	6-2L	4.0	9	4	7	Over
09-27-23	@SF	5-2W	6.0	5	2	2	Under
09-22-23	vsSTL	2-4W	5.7	3	1	9	Under
09-16-23	@OAK	5-2W	5.3	7	2	5	Under
09-10-23	@HOU	2-12L	5.0	4	4	1	Over
09-04-23	vsPHI	9-7L	4.7	8	3	3	Over
08-31-23	vsSF	7-2L	5.0	3	1	4	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/21	vs SD	5-1W	11	1	Under
04/19	@ NYY	4-6L	9	2	Over
04/18	@ NYY	5-4W	8	0	Over
04/17	@ NYY	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/16	@ COL	5-0W	12	0	Under
04/15	@ COL	5-3W	9	1	Over
04/14	@ COL	4-12L	11	2	Over
04/12	@ SEA	1-6L	6	1	Under
04/11	@ SEA	5-3W	11	1	Over
04/10	@ SEA	5-2W	11	0	Under
04/09	vs NYY	3-8L	5	0	Over
04/08	vs NYY	8-9L	12	1	Over
04/07	vs NYY	3-0W	7	1	Under
04/05	vs HOU	0-8L	1	0	Over
04/04	vs HOU	2-1W	8	1	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/21	@ TOR	1-5L	5	1	Under
04/19	vs MIL	0-1L	5	0	Under
04/18	vs MIL	6-3W	10	1	Over
04/17	vs MIL	7-3W	12	0	Over
04/16	vs LAD	6-3W	8	1	Over
04/15	vs LAD	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/14	vs LAD	8-7W	10	4	Over
04/12	@ CHC	10-2W	12	2	Over
04/11	@ CHC	1-5L	4	1	Under
04/10	@ CHC	9-8W	8	3	Over
04/09	vs SF	2-3L	11	0	Under
04/08	vs SF	4-0W	5	1	Under
04/07	vs SF	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/05	@ STL	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/04	@ STL	2-5L	9	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	8.8	11.4	0.219	0.329	39.7%	72.6%	2.7%
#2 V. Guerrero	9.2	12.2	0.224	0.368	42.1%	78.9%	3.9%
#3 Bo Bichette	8.7	11.3	0.239	0.352	33.8%	69.0%	1.4%
#4 Justin Turner	7.9	10.4	0.345	0.569	51.7%	108.6%	3.4%
#5 Cavan Biggio	8.0	10.2	0.275	0.392	41.2%	80.4%	2.0%
#6 Davis Schneider	7.7	10.5	0.22	0.415	31.7%	73.2%	4.9%
#7 Daulton Varsho	7.0	9.4	0.203	0.441	30.5%	74.6%	6.8%
#8 Danny Jansen	7.2	9.3	0.286	0.571	42.9%	100.0%	0.0%
#8 Alejandro Kirk	6.4	8.5	0.192	0.212	34.6%	55.8%	0.0%
#9 Kevin Kiermaier	7.2	9.2	0.204	0.245	28.6%	53.1%	0.0%

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Xander Bogaerts	7.8	10.3	0.16	0.227	25.3%	48.0%	1.3%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	9.3	12.3	0.28	0.547	41.3%	96.0%	8.0%
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.2	9.7	0.224	0.418	34.3%	76.1%	4.5%
#4 Manny Machado	7.8	10.2	0.247	0.395	32.1%	71.6%	3.7%
#5 Jurickson Profar	6.7	9.0	0.303	0.485	45.5%	93.9%	3.0%
#6 Ha-Seong Kim	6.6	8.7	0.254	0.479	42.3%	90.1%	4.2%
#7 Jackson Merrill	5.8	7.4	0.339	0.452	46.8%	91.9%	1.6%
#8 Luis Campusano	5.2	6.7	0.263	0.333	28.1%	61.4%	1.8%
#9 Tyler Wade	5.0	6.5	0.154	0.179	25.6%	43.6%	0.0%