Blue Jays vs Mariners Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at T-Mobile Park as the Toronto Blue Jays, looking to claw their way up the standings, fly west to battle the Seattle Mariners in a game that’s packed with more potential twists than a season finale. With the Jays sitting 16 games back and the Mariners holding their ground at the top of the American League, today’s 4:10 PM EST clash is not just about the win but about setting the tone for the rest of the season. Oddsmakers are buzzing, setting the game’s over/under at a tight 7.5, hinting at a pitching duel under Seattle’s sunny skies, gentle breezes, and perfect baseball weather. As the Mariners aim to rebound from yesterday’s narrow defeat and the Jays look to repeat their victorious performance, fans are in for a treat. So, as the Blue Jays spread their wings and the Mariners set sail, expect a game where feathers will fly and anchors aweigh!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 07, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: Sunny with winds from the WNW at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 69.1° with 65% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	SEA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+132	-158	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+124	-148	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-8	+10	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

151W-129L

44.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

160W-122L

55.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-0.5
04/08/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-0.5
04/09/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+0.5
04/09/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+0.5
04/10/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Under	-0.5
04/10/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-0.5
07/05/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-4.5
07/05/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-4.5
07/06/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+1.5
07/06/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+1.5
04/28/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-2.5
04/28/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-2.5
04/29/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	0	Under	-6.5
04/29/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-6.5
04/30/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+10.5
04/30/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	8	Over	+10.5
07/21/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-2.5
07/21/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-2.5
07/22/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	8	Over	+9.5
07/22/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	9	Over	+9.5
07/23/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-0.5
07/23/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-0.5

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Jose Berrios

ERA 3.633 | IP 109.0 | 8.0W-6.0L | KO 77.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-02-24	vsHOU	6-7W	5.0	5	5	1	Over
06-27-24	vsNYY	2-9W	7.0	2	2	8	Over
06-22-24	@CLE	3-6L	5.0	6	5	3	Over
06-16-24	vsCLE	6-7W	6.0	8	4	1	Over
06-10-24	@MIL	1-3L	5.7	5	3	4	Under
06-05-24	vsBAL	2-3W	6.0	6	2	2	Under
05-31-24	vsPIT	3-5W	7.0	6	1	5	Over
05-25-24	@DET	1-2L	7.0	7	2	5	Under
05-20-24	vsCWS	3-9W	6.0	8	3	6	Over
05-13-24	@BAL	3-2W	7.0	3	2	4	Under

George Kirby

ERA 3.322 | IP 105.7 | 7.0W-6.0L | KO 101.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-02-24	vsBAL	2-0L	6.3	7	2	5	Under
06-26-24	@TB	5-2W	6.0	4	1	7	Under
06-21-24	@MIA	2-3L	7.0	5	2	5	Under
06-15-24	vsTEX	5-7W	6.0	3	1	6	Over
06-09-24	@KC	6-5W	7.0	5	1	4	Over
06-04-24	@OAK	4-3W	5.0	6	2	9	Under
05-29-24	vsHOU	1-2W	6.0	6	1	8	Under
05-24-24	@WAS	1-6L	6.0	6	5	3	Under
05-19-24	@BAL	3-6L	6.0	9	5	3	Over
05-13-24	vsKC	2-6W	7.0	3	0	6	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/08	vs SEA	5-4W	11	0	Over
07/07	vs SEA	1-2L	2	1	Under
07/06	@ HOU	3-5L	10	0	Over
07/05	@ HOU	2-9L	5	0	Over
07/04	@ HOU	7-6W	6	2	Over
07/03	@ HOU	1-3L	4	1	Under
07/02	@ NYY	1-8L	4	0	Over
07/01	@ NYY	9-3W	14	1	Over
06/30	@ NYY	5-16L	10	2	Over
06/29	@ NYY	9-2W	11	3	Over
06/27	vs BOS	9-4W	11	1	Over
06/26	vs BOS	6-7L	9	1	Over
06/25	vs CLE	5-6L	9	3	Over
06/24	vs CLE	3-6L	4	3	Over
06/23	vs CLE	1-7L	6	1	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/08	@ TOR	4-5L	6	2	Over
07/07	@ TOR	2-1W	8	0	Under
07/06	@ BAL	7-3W	7	2	Over
07/05	@ BAL	1-4L	5	1	Under
07/04	@ BAL	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/02	@ MIN	3-5L	9	0	Over
07/01	@ MIN	1-5L	6	1	Under
06/30	@ MIN	3-2W	5	0	Under
06/28	vs TB	5-2W	5	1	Under
06/27	vs TB	3-11L	6	2	Over
06/26	vs TB	3-4L	3	2	Under
06/25	vs MIA	4-6L	7	1	Over
06/24	vs MIA	9-0W	15	1	Over
06/23	vs MIA	2-3L	6	0	Under
06/22	vs CLE	3-6L	5	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	7.1	9.3	0.221	0.354	0.357	0.711	0.291	0.031
#2 Spencer Horwitz	6.8	8.9	0.311	0.473	0.554	1.027	0.393	0.041
#3 V. Guerrero	7.5	9.8	0.295	0.462	0.415	0.877	0.353	0.038
#4 Bo Bichette	7.0	9.0	0.225	0.324	0.300	0.625	0.261	0.014
#5 Justin Turner	5.9	7.8	0.250	0.375	0.425	0.800	0.321	0.021
#6 Daulton Varsho	6.9	9.2	0.199	0.397	0.320	0.717	0.293	0.040
#7 Danny Jansen	6.1	8.1	0.218	0.379	0.351	0.730	0.299	0.029
#8 Ernie Clement	4.4	5.5	0.250	0.393	0.274	0.667	0.279	0.024
#9 Kevin Kiermaier	5.7	7.4	0.191	0.309	0.247	0.556	0.234	0.019

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	7.6	10.1	0.210	0.349	0.353	0.702	0.287	0.028
#2 Josh Rojas	7.3	9.3	0.257	0.380	0.363	0.743	0.304	0.016
#3 Cal Raleigh	8.4	11.3	0.201	0.387	0.331	0.718	0.294	0.053
#4 Mitch Garver	7.2	9.8	0.175	0.358	0.341	0.699	0.286	0.045
#5 Luke Raley	7.2	9.3	0.258	0.453	0.320	0.773	0.320	0.044
#6 Ty France	5.9	7.8	0.228	0.360	0.367	0.727	0.298	0.030
#7 Dominic Canzone	6.7	8.8	0.206	0.390	0.316	0.706	0.290	0.051
#8 Mitch Haniger	5.8	7.7	0.210	0.342	0.315	0.658	0.272	0.031
#9 Dylan Moore	5.4	7.1	0.209	0.409	0.373	0.782	0.317	0.036

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Isiah Kiner-Falefa OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.292 SLG:0.42 Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 4.3
Yimi Garcia OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 1.5
Orelvis Martinez OUT (2B): Avg: 0.333 SLG:0.333 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 1.2