Blue Jays vs Mariners Game Breakdown

thefield
July 7, 2024
Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays

39W-48L

Toronto Blue Jays

July 07, 2024

04:10PM EST

Odds: 7.5 o/u

Mariners

49W-41L

Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at T-Mobile Park as the Toronto Blue Jays, looking to claw their way up the standings, fly west to battle the Seattle Mariners in a game that’s packed with more potential twists than a season finale. With the Jays sitting 16 games back and the Mariners holding their ground at the top of the American League, today’s 4:10 PM EST clash is not just about the win but about setting the tone for the rest of the season. Oddsmakers are buzzing, setting the game’s over/under at a tight 7.5, hinting at a pitching duel under Seattle’s sunny skies, gentle breezes, and perfect baseball weather. As the Mariners aim to rebound from yesterday’s narrow defeat and the Jays look to repeat their victorious performance, fans are in for a treat. So, as the Blue Jays spread their wings and the Mariners set sail, expect a game where feathers will fly and anchors aweigh!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 07, 2024 04:10PM EST
Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Weather: Sunny with winds from the WNW at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 69.1° with 65% humidity.

Vegas Odds

TOR ML SEA ML Over/Under Line
Open +132 -158 7.5 1.5/-1.5
Recent +124 -148 7.5 1.5/-1.5
Difference -8 +10 0 –

Team Performance

tor Team Logo
LAST 10
4W-6L
AWAY
151W-129L

44.6% Win Probability

sea Team Logo
LAST 10
4W-6L
HOME
160W-122L

55.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
04/08/24 Seattle Mariners SEA 2 Under -0.5
Toronto Blue Jays TOR 5
04/09/24 Seattle Mariners SEA 3 Over +0.5
Toronto Blue Jays TOR 5
04/10/24 Seattle Mariners SEA 6 Under -0.5
Toronto Blue Jays TOR 1
07/05/24 Toronto Blue Jays TOR 1 Under -4.5
Seattle Mariners SEA 2
07/06/24 Toronto Blue Jays TOR 5 Over +1.5
Seattle Mariners SEA 4
04/28/23 Seattle Mariners SEA 2 Under -2.5
Toronto Blue Jays TOR 3
04/29/23 Seattle Mariners SEA 0 Under -6.5
Toronto Blue Jays TOR 1
04/30/23 Seattle Mariners SEA 10 Over +10.5
Toronto Blue Jays TOR 8
07/21/23 Toronto Blue Jays TOR 2 Under -2.5
Seattle Mariners SEA 3
07/22/23 Toronto Blue Jays TOR 8 Over +9.5
Seattle Mariners SEA 9
07/23/23 Toronto Blue Jays TOR 4 Under -0.5
Seattle Mariners SEA 3

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Jose Berrios
Jose Berrios
ERA 3.633 | IP 109.0 | 8.0W-6.0L | KO 77.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
07-02-24 vsHOU 6-7W 5.0 5 5 1 Over
06-27-24 vsNYY 2-9W 7.0 2 2 8 Over
06-22-24 @CLE 3-6L 5.0 6 5 3 Over
06-16-24 vsCLE 6-7W 6.0 8 4 1 Over
06-10-24 @MIL 1-3L 5.7 5 3 4 Under
06-05-24 vsBAL 2-3W 6.0 6 2 2 Under
05-31-24 vsPIT 3-5W 7.0 6 1 5 Over
05-25-24 @DET 1-2L 7.0 7 2 5 Under
05-20-24 vsCWS 3-9W 6.0 8 3 6 Over
05-13-24 @BAL 3-2W 7.0 3 2 4 Under
George Kirby
George Kirby
ERA 3.322 | IP 105.7 | 7.0W-6.0L | KO 101.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
07-02-24 vsBAL 2-0L 6.3 7 2 5 Under
06-26-24 @TB 5-2W 6.0 4 1 7 Under
06-21-24 @MIA 2-3L 7.0 5 2 5 Under
06-15-24 vsTEX 5-7W 6.0 3 1 6 Over
06-09-24 @KC 6-5W 7.0 5 1 4 Over
06-04-24 @OAK 4-3W 5.0 6 2 9 Under
05-29-24 vsHOU 1-2W 6.0 6 1 8 Under
05-24-24 @WAS 1-6L 6.0 6 5 3 Under
05-19-24 @BAL 3-6L 6.0 9 5 3 Over
05-13-24 vsKC 2-6W 7.0 3 0 6 Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
07/08 vs SEA 5-4W 11 0 Over
07/07 vs SEA 1-2L 2 1 Under
07/06 @ HOU 3-5L 10 0 Over
07/05 @ HOU 2-9L 5 0 Over
07/04 @ HOU 7-6W 6 2 Over
07/03 @ HOU 1-3L 4 1 Under
07/02 @ NYY 1-8L 4 0 Over
07/01 @ NYY 9-3W 14 1 Over
06/30 @ NYY 5-16L 10 2 Over
06/29 @ NYY 9-2W 11 3 Over
06/27 vs BOS 9-4W 11 1 Over
06/26 vs BOS 6-7L 9 1 Over
06/25 vs CLE 5-6L 9 3 Over
06/24 vs CLE 3-6L 4 3 Over
06/23 vs CLE 1-7L 6 1 Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
07/08 @ TOR 4-5L 6 2 Over
07/07 @ TOR 2-1W 8 0 Under
07/06 @ BAL 7-3W 7 2 Over
07/05 @ BAL 1-4L 5 1 Under
07/04 @ BAL 0-2L 2 0 Under
07/02 @ MIN 3-5L 9 0 Over
07/01 @ MIN 1-5L 6 1 Under
06/30 @ MIN 3-2W 5 0 Under
06/28 vs TB 5-2W 5 1 Under
06/27 vs TB 3-11L 6 2 Over
06/26 vs TB 3-4L 3 2 Under
06/25 vs MIA 4-6L 7 1 Over
06/24 vs MIA 9-0W 15 1 Over
06/23 vs MIA 2-3L 6 0 Under
06/22 vs CLE 3-6L 5 1 Over

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 George Springer
7.1 9.3 0.221 0.354 0.357 0.711 0.291 0.031
#2 Spencer Horwitz
6.8 8.9 0.311 0.473 0.554 1.027 0.393 0.041
#3 V. Guerrero
7.5 9.8 0.295 0.462 0.415 0.877 0.353 0.038
#4 Bo Bichette
7.0 9.0 0.225 0.324 0.300 0.625 0.261 0.014
#5 Justin Turner
5.9 7.8 0.250 0.375 0.425 0.800 0.321 0.021
#6 Daulton Varsho
6.9 9.2 0.199 0.397 0.320 0.717 0.293 0.040
#7 Danny Jansen
6.1 8.1 0.218 0.379 0.351 0.730 0.299 0.029
#8 Ernie Clement
4.4 5.5 0.250 0.393 0.274 0.667 0.279 0.024
#9 Kevin Kiermaier
5.7 7.4 0.191 0.309 0.247 0.556 0.234 0.019
Seattle Mariners DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford
7.6 10.1 0.210 0.349 0.353 0.702 0.287 0.028
#2 Josh Rojas
7.3 9.3 0.257 0.380 0.363 0.743 0.304 0.016
#3 Cal Raleigh
8.4 11.3 0.201 0.387 0.331 0.718 0.294 0.053
#4 Mitch Garver
7.2 9.8 0.175 0.358 0.341 0.699 0.286 0.045
#5 Luke Raley
7.2 9.3 0.258 0.453 0.320 0.773 0.320 0.044
#6 Ty France
5.9 7.8 0.228 0.360 0.367 0.727 0.298 0.030
#7 Dominic Canzone
6.7 8.8 0.206 0.390 0.316 0.706 0.290 0.051
#8 Mitch Haniger
5.8 7.7 0.210 0.342 0.315 0.658 0.272 0.031
#9 Dylan Moore
5.4 7.1 0.209 0.409 0.373 0.782 0.317 0.036

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.292 SLG:0.42 Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 4.3
  • Yimi Garcia OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 1.5
  • Orelvis Martinez OUT (2B): Avg: 0.333 SLG:0.333 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 1.2

Mariners Notable Injuries

  • Bryan Woo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/26/24. Impact: 6.7
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