Blue Jays vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into Nationals Park where the drama unfolds as the Toronto Blue Jays, looking to claw back from a recent stumble, face off against the Washington Nationals in a mid-afternoon clash that’s brewing with anticipation! With the Jays fluttering 6.5 games behind in the AL and the Nats 5.0 back in the NL, both squads are desperate to claw their way up the standings. Set your watches for a 04:05 PM EST first pitch with the game’s odds tipping in favor of Toronto despite their recent 9-3 tumble against these very Nationals. As mist hangs over the field with a brisk ENE wind, the atmosphere is as charged as the betting lines. Will the Blue Jays soar above the adversity, or will the Nationals capitalize on their home turf advantage and continue their ascent? Either way, expect feathers to fly and bats to swing in this showdown that’s anything but for the birds!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 04, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Mist with winds from the ENE at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 54.0° with 90% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-168	+140	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-168	+140	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	0	0	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

139W-115L

62.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

97W-155L

37.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/03/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+3.5
05/03/24	Washington Nationals WAS	9	Over	+3.5
08/28/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+0.5
08/28/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+0.5
08/29/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+0.5
08/29/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Over	+0.5
08/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-1.5
08/30/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Under	-1.5

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Kevin Gausman

ERA 4.5 | IP 28.0 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 23.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-28-24	vsLAD	1-3W	7.0	5	1	5	Under
04-23-24	@KC	2-3L	6.7	7	3	2	Under
04-17-24	vsNYY	6-4L	5.0	4	1	6	Over
04-12-24	vsCOL	12-4L	3.7	10	6	4	Over
04-06-24	@NYY	8-9L	1.3	4	6	0	Over
03-31-24	@TB	9-2W	4.3	2	1	6	Over
09-26-23	vsNYY	2-0L	7.0	3	0	5	Under
09-20-23	@NYY	6-1W	6.0	3	0	10	Under
09-14-23	vsTEX	9-2L	4.7	6	4	5	Over
09-09-23	vsKC	1-5W	8.0	2	1	10	Under

Jake Irvin

ERA 4.277 | IP 33.7 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 26.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-29-24	@MIA	7-2W	6.0	4	2	3	Over
04-24-24	vsLAD	11-2L	4.7	12	6	3	Over
04-17-24	@LAD	2-0W	6.0	4	0	6	Under
04-12-24	@OAK	1-2L	6.0	1	1	5	Under
04-06-24	vsPHI	5-2L	6.0	5	4	5	Under
03-31-24	@CIN	5-6L	5.0	7	3	4	Over
09-21-23	vsATL	10-3L	2.7	7	5	1	Over
09-15-23	@MIL	3-5L	4.7	3	4	6	Push
09-09-23	vsLAD	6-7W	6.0	3	1	4	Over
09-01-23	vsMIA	8-5L	5.0	4	3	4	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/05	vs WAS	3-9L	7	0	Over
05/03	@ KC	1-6L	4	1	Under
05/02	@ KC	1-4L	4	0	Under
05/01	@ KC	6-5W	12	3	Over
04/30	@ LAD	3-1W	8	1	Under
04/29	@ LAD	2-4L	3	0	Under
04/28	@ LAD	2-12L	5	1	Over
04/27	vs KC	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/26	vs KC	2-3L	6	1	Under
04/25	vs KC	2-3L	9	0	Under
04/24	vs KC	5-3W	6	1	Push
04/23	vs SD	3-6L	6	2	Over
04/22	vs SD	5-2W	8	1	Under
04/21	vs SD	5-1W	11	1	Under
04/19	@ NYY	4-6L	9	2	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/05	@ TOR	9-3W	12	1	Over
05/04	vs TEX	0-6L	4	0	Under
05/03	vs TEX	1-0W	5	0	Under
05/02	vs TEX	1-7L	3	0	Push
05/01	vs MIA	7-2W	7	1	Over
04/30	vs MIA	12-9W	14	2	Over
04/29	vs MIA	11-4W	11	3	Over
04/28	vs MIA	3-1W	8	0	Under
04/27	@ LAD	1-2L	7	0	Under
04/26	@ LAD	2-11L	3	1	Over
04/25	@ LAD	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/23	@ HOU	6-0W	11	1	Under
04/22	@ HOU	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/21	@ HOU	3-5L	8	1	Push
04/19	vs LAD	2-0W	4	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	9.3	11.8	0.205	0.311	32.0%	63.1%	2.5%
#2 V. Guerrero	10.1	13.2	0.232	0.352	38.4%	73.6%	2.4%
#3 Bo Bichette	8.3	10.7	0.198	0.284	27.6%	56.0%	0.9%
#4 Justin Turner	7.7	10.2	0.296	0.5	42.9%	92.9%	4.1%
#5 Daulton Varsho	9.3	12.5	0.227	0.485	36.1%	84.5%	6.2%
#6 Davis Schneider	9.0	12.1	0.239	0.437	38.0%	81.7%	4.2%
#7 Cavan Biggio	7.6	10.0	0.216	0.311	40.5%	71.6%	1.4%
#8 Alejandro Kirk	6.5	8.6	0.194	0.254	32.8%	58.2%	1.5%

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	9.1	11.9	0.28	0.576	39.0%	96.6%	5.9%
#2 Nick Senzel	6.1	8.2	0.25	0.577	38.5%	96.2%	9.6%
#3 Luis Garcia Jr.	7.4	9.4	0.3	0.456	36.7%	82.2%	2.2%
#4 Joey Meneses	6.9	8.8	0.229	0.257	32.1%	57.8%	0.0%
#5 Jesse Winker	6.5	8.6	0.25	0.389	42.6%	81.5%	2.8%
#6 Keibert Ruiz	6.4	8.2	0.155	0.259	24.1%	50.0%	3.4%
#7 Eddie Rosario	6.2	8.1	0.086	0.157	14.3%	30.0%	1.4%
#8 Ildemaro Vargas	5.9	7.5	0.31	0.431	44.8%	87.9%	0.0%
#9 Alex Call	5.4	7.2	0.385	0.462	69.2%	115.4%	0.0%