Nationals vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some prime-time baseball action as the Washington Nationals try to steal a win at the fortress of the Atlanta Braves in Truist Park tonight at 07:20 PM EST. With the Nationals lagging behind in the standings and the Braves swinging to close the gap in the National League, every pitch counts in this high-stakes showdown. The stakes are as hot as the weather, which is looking partly cloudy with a gentle eastern breeze perfect for flying balls. The odds are tilting at 8 runs on the board, favoring the Braves, but as last night’s nail-biter showed us, anything can happen on the diamond. So, as the Nationals plot their course and the Braves aim to fortify their stronghold, tonight’s game promises to be more than just peanuts and Cracker Jacks—expect a battle that could only be called a true ‘Capital Conquest’!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 24, 2024 07:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 77.7° with 50% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+151	-183	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+155	-188	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+4	-5	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

123W-180L

39.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

181W-119L

60.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/27/24	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+4.0
05/27/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+4.0
05/28/24	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-6.0
05/28/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-6.0
05/29/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+1.0
05/29/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Over	+1.0
05/30/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-4.0
05/30/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-4.0
06/06/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-1.0
06/06/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.0
06/07/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-5.0
06/07/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-5.0
06/08/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Over	+2.0
06/08/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+2.0
06/09/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+5.0
06/09/24	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+5.0
08/23/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-3.0
08/23/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-3.0
03/30/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+1.0
03/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+1.0
10/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+11.0
10/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+11.0
04/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Push	-0.0
04/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Push	-0.0
04/02/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-3.0
04/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-3.0
06/09/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-3.0
06/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-3.0
06/10/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+2.0
06/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.0
06/11/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Push	-0.0
06/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Push	-0.0
09/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+5.0
09/21/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+5.0
09/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+7.0
09/22/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+7.0
09/24/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+5.0
09/24/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+5.0
09/24/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-3.0
09/24/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-3.0
09/29/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+8.0
09/29/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+8.0
09/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Push	-0.0
09/30/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Push	-0.0

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Jake Irvin

ERA 3.551 | IP 147.0 | 9.0W-9.0L | KO 124.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-18-24	@PHI	6-4W	6.0	8	4	5	Over
08-13-24	@BAL	9-3W	6.0	7	2	3	Over
08-07-24	vsSF	7-4L	5.0	8	5	4	Over
08-02-24	vsMIL	8-3L	5.7	6	4	4	Over
07-27-24	@STL	14-3W	5.3	4	2	5	Over
07-21-24	vsCIN	2-5W	7.0	5	2	7	Under
07-09-24	@NYM	5-7L	6.0	9	6	2	Over
07-04-24	vsNYM	0-1W	8.0	1	0	8	Under
06-29-24	@TB	8-1W	6.0	1	1	5	Over
06-23-24	@COL	2-1W	6.0	3	1	10	Under

Charlie Morton

ERA 4.369 | IP 125.7 | 7.0W-7.0L | KO 127.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-18-24	@LAA	3-1W	5.3	2	1	7	Under
08-13-24	@SF	4-3W	6.0	6	2	8	Under
08-08-24	vsMIL	16-7L	2.7	9	8	3	Over
08-01-24	vsMIA	2-4W	6.0	5	1	6	Under
07-26-24	@NYM	4-8L	2.7	6	7	2	Over
07-20-24	vsSTL	2-3W	6.0	6	1	4	Under
07-10-24	@ARI	5-7L	6.3	5	4	5	Over
07-04-24	vsSF	4-2L	5.3	5	4	5	Under
06-28-24	vsPIT	1-6W	6.3	3	0	7	Under
06-22-24	@NYY	3-8L	5.7	5	5	4	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/25	vs ATL	2-3L	10	0	Under
08/24	@ COL	8-3W	11	1	Over
08/23	@ COL	6-1W	12	1	Under
08/22	@ COL	1-3L	5	1	Under
08/20	vs PHI	6-4W	11	3	Over
08/19	vs PHI	1-5L	2	1	Under
08/18	vs PHI	2-3L	11	0	Under
08/17	vs PHI	3-13L	8	2	Over
08/16	vs BAL	1-4L	5	0	Under
08/15	vs BAL	9-3W	14	0	Over
08/13	@ LAA	4-6L	9	1	Over
08/12	@ LAA	5-4W	9	1	Over
08/11	@ LAA	3-2W	7	0	Under
08/10	@ SF	5-9L	7	1	Over
08/09	@ SF	4-7L	8	1	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/25	@ WAS	3-2W	8	1	Under
08/24	@ PHI	3-2W	10	1	Under
08/23	@ PHI	2-3L	9	1	Under
08/22	@ PHI	3-1W	7	1	Under
08/20	vs LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under
08/19	vs LAA	11-3W	12	3	Over
08/18	vs LAA	2-3L	8	0	Under
08/17	vs SF	0-6L	4	0	Under
08/16	vs SF	13-2W	11	4	Over
08/15	vs SF	4-3W	10	2	Under
08/14	vs SF	1-0W	4	0	Under
08/13	vs COL	8-9L	13	4	Over
08/12	vs COL	11-8W	11	4	Over
08/11	vs COL	5-6L	12	3	Over
08/10	@ MIL	7-16L	10	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Alex Call	8.2	10.6	0.343	0.525	0.485	1.010	0.399	0.030
#2 CJ Abrams	8.3	10.8	0.246	0.440	0.358	0.797	0.325	0.039
#3 James Wood	8.7	11.4	0.289	0.458	0.434	0.892	0.355	0.030
#4 Keibert Ruiz	7.1	9.3	0.232	0.375	0.278	0.653	0.274	0.034
#5 Luis Garcia Jr.	7.4	9.5	0.296	0.465	0.350	0.814	0.335	0.037
#6 Jose Tena	6.1	7.5	0.314	0.343	0.371	0.714	0.295	0.000
#7 Andres Chaparro	5.6	7.3	0.273	0.424	0.364	0.788	0.323	0.000
#8 Joey Gallo	6.3	8.4	0.172	0.325	0.344	0.669	0.275	0.033
#9 Jacob Young	5.1	6.5	0.253	0.325	0.344	0.669	0.279	0.005

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Michael Harris II	9.4	12.0	0.247	0.365	0.314	0.679	0.282	0.023
#2 Jorge Soler	8.7	11.6	0.243	0.437	0.393	0.829	0.333	0.041
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.8	11.7	0.308	0.591	0.428	1.019	0.405	0.078
#4 Matt Olson	9.6	12.7	0.226	0.418	0.352	0.770	0.314	0.045
#5 Travis d’Arnaud	7.3	9.7	0.248	0.453	0.338	0.791	0.325	0.047
#6 Jarred Kelenic	7.7	10.0	0.245	0.411	0.324	0.736	0.303	0.035
#7 Orlando Arcia	6.0	7.7	0.224	0.355	0.297	0.652	0.271	0.028
#8 Gio Urshela	5.8	7.5	0.248	0.341	0.315	0.656	0.273	0.016
#9 Whit Merrifield	5.9	7.6	0.212	0.323	0.345	0.668	0.274	0.018

Nationals Notable Injuries

Derek Law OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/18/24. Impact: 1.6

Braves Notable Injuries

Austin Riley OUT (3B): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.464 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.8
Travis d’Arnaud OUT (C): Avg: 0.248 SLG:0.453 Last game: 08/19/24. Impact: 3.2
A.J. Minter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 1.2